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A low over the Tasman Sea will move further east, causing waves to ease & rain to clear in eastern NSW, Vic & Tas. Showers will become isolated & light in WA's south as a high forms in the wake of low. The high will keep elsewhere dry, leading to a chilly morning in many areas.
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Today, 1:29AM UTC
Big snow on the horizon after soggy alpine week
After a week which featured a mix of rain and snow in Australia’s ski resorts, heavy snow is likely in the second week of July, just in time for school holidays in the southern states. Let’s start with a brief recap of the past few days, when the East Coast Low which brought heavy rain and strong winds to coastal NSW and eastern Victoria also dragged warm air from the Coral Sea all the way southwards to the alpine region. There’s an old saying in the Australian snowfields that nothing good ever comes from the east – a reference to easterly systems often being too warm for reliable snow. And while East Coast Lows can occasionally deliver heavy snowfalls under the right conditions, that was not the case this week. While at times it snowed at higher elevations, there was also plenty of rain, especially lower down. Image: Even at Charlotte Pass, the Australian ski resort with the highest base, there were a few extra rocks poking through by Friday, July 4, due to the week's often damp conditions. Most of them should be covered by this time next week. Source: ski.com.au. For example, mainland Australia’s lowest ski resort – Victoria’s Mt Baw Baw – saw 127.2mm of precipitation between July 1 and July 3, but the mercury only dipped to 0°C or lower for about six hours of that entire period. Rain, brief heavy snow, then more rain was the result. Next week, the majority of precipitation at all elevations promises to be of the frozen variety, as the broad-scale weather outlook shifts to the classic winter pattern of westerly winds across southern Australia with outbreaks of polar air from the southwest. Image: Predicted synoptic chart for next Tuesday, July 8, showing a strong cold front approaching SE Australia. Winds will begin to pick up across the alpine region on Sunday as a relatively weak cold front crosses the area, with a few flakes likely on that day and Monday at higher elevations. By late Tuesday, blizzard conditions should set in, with a total of 35-70cm of fluffy white goodness possible across the mountains in the three-day period through to Thursday. While it's difficult to predict weather conditions with confidence beyond the middle of next week, there's definite potential for further cold fronts to push through to the southeast of the continent, allowing for additional snowfalls. The 2025 snow season to date The season started well, with heavy falls on the traditional June long weekend season opening. READ MORE: Before and after images of the June long weekend snowfall A second major June snowfall event occurred about 10 days ago. Both of June’s big snowy systems delivered about 50cm, but with natural snowpack compaction plus a couple of bouts of rain, the current natural snow depth is closer to 50cm than a metre at the higher elevations of most resorts. The latest Snowy Hydro reading at Spencers Creek – at an elevation of 1830m approximately halfway between the NSW ski resorts of Perisher and Thredbo – showed a depth of 74.9cm on June 26. The depth is likely quite similar (or slightly lower) this Friday, July 4, after the week’s mix of rain and snow. Image: The dark blue line shows depths for the 2025 season so far compared to 2024 (aqua line). Source: Snowy Hydro. It's interesting to note that the trend on the current Spencers Creek graph is quite similar to last year at this stage, albeit that the 2025 season kicked off a little earlier. It’s possible that by the end of next week, last year’s peak snow depth of 124.6cm of could have been exceeded. If that happens, snow lovers will then be hoping that the 2025 graph doesn’t continue to imitate both 2024 and 2023, two seasons in which the snow depth declined rapidly in August after relatively early season peaks. Image: 14-Day Snow Forecast on the Weatherzone app for the mainland Australian alpine region. Don’t forget to check the Weatherzone snow page throughout the 2025 season for the latest forecasts, live cams and much more.
03 Jul 2025, 5:29AM UTC
Rain clearing NSW, Vic as complex low engulfs Tasman Sea
The system that brought destructive weather to NSW and heavy rain in Vic over the last few days is finally moving away from Australia, forming a colossal low pressure complex that covers most of the Tasman Sea. The satellite images below show a large multi-centred low pressure complex covering much of the Tasman Sea on Thursday. The clouds being driven towards eastern Victoria and the thick cloud covering New Zealand are all being influenced by the broad area of low pressure spanning the Tasman. Image: Visible satellite images captured during the four hours ending at 12:30pm AEST on Thursday, July 3, 2025. This broad region of low pressure is made of up multiple individual low pressure centres, including the one that produced destructive winds, flooding rain and damaging surf in NSW earlier in the week. Some of the notable falls from the 24 hours to 9am AEST on Thursday included: Victoria Multiple readings between 50mm and 95mm in Victoria's East Gippsland and West and South Gippsland forecast districts. 95 mm at Mt Wellington, a 1634m peak not to be confused with the 1271m kunanyi/Mt Wellington above Hobart in Tasmania. 15mm in Melbourne. New South Wales 64mm at Jervis Bay, taking their three-day total to 331mm 67mm at Point Perpendicular, the third straight day of totals between 66mm and 80mm at that dramatic cliffside location on the northern tip of the entrance to Jervis Bay. A further 44 mm at Ulladulla, bringing that South Coast town’s total for the first three days of July to 308 mm. The long-term July monthly average is 87.2mm. https://www.weatherzone.com.au/station/SITE/69138/daily-summaries With the low now moving away from southeastern Australia, rain is clearing, and wind and swell will continue to ease over the coming days.
03 Jul 2025, 1:19AM UTC
Heavy rain in southwest WA
The southwestern tip of Western Australia is the latest corner of the country to see exceptionally heavy winter rainfall, with 24-hour totals topping 100mm at some locations. Storms and heavy downpours pelted much of the South West Land Division on Wednesday as a cold front and associated low pressure system moved in from the Indian Ocean, with the most intense rainfall occurring in the late afternoon and early evening. Skies were ablaze as the storms crossed the coastline, with more than 250,000 lightning strikes detected within 500km of Perth. Image: Four-hour radar loop showing heavy falls and storms in southwest WA on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. Rainfall totals were heaviest near the coast, and especially in the Margaret River region. Notable accumulations to 9am (AWST) included: 130mm at the Vasse Highway CB3 weather station just south of Busselton, with falls exceeding 100mm at two other nearby stations. 89.2mm at Busselton Airport, the heaviest rain day in any month in almost two years, and the heaviest July fall since the current site opened in 1998. 63mm at Bridgetown, the heaviest rain day in any month for four years in the inland town located approximately 100km southeast of Busselton. 40.6mm at Mandurah, the heaviest rain day to date in 2025 and the heaviest July rain day since 2019 for WA’s second most populous city. 18.8mm at Perth Airport. The West Australian rain has cleared the far southwest of the state this Thursday morning, with the exception of a few very light showers, however bands of showers continue to dampen parts of the Wheatbelt, north and east of Perth. Mostly clear skies will set in for a couple of days from this afternoon, before a classic winter pattern returns to the southwest later on Sunday as a strong cold front approaches.