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Today, 2:35AM UTC
Tropical Storm Hilary floods hottest place on Earth
The remnants of Hurricane Hilary are bringing life-threatening severe weather to parts of California and Nevada, with flooding even reaching the hottest place on Earth – Death Valley National Park. Tropical Storm Hillary crashed into the Baja California Peninsula in Mexico on Sunday local time. The system then crossed the border into Southern California on Sunday afternoon, becoming the first tropical storm to pass over California since 1997. Video: Tropical Storm Hilary making landfall on Sunday, August 20, 2023. Source: RAMMB-CIRA The decaying former hurricane will continue to track towards the north on Sunday night into Monday, dragging a torrent of tropical moisture across parts of California and Nevada. Image: Forecast track may for Tropical Storm Hilary, issues at 5pm PDT on Sunday, August 20, 2023. Visit https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/?epac for the latest track map. Source: NOAA Hilary is producing rainfall that is seldom seen in these parts of the United States. The National Weather Service warns that Hilary will "produce potentially historic rainfall amounts expected to cause flash, urban, and steep-sided gully flooding, including landslides, mudslides, and debris flows. “Severe, widespread flash flooding is expected. Areas that normally do not experience flash flooding will flood. Lives and property are in great danger through Monday.” Here comes Hurricane Hilary. A surge of deep tropical moisture will push through the desert south-west. A high-impact and extremely rare event for places like San Diego, Los Angeles and Las Vegas is on the cards. pic.twitter.com/8nXOsfsPGT — Scott Duncan (@ScottDuncanWX) August 20, 2023 Palm Springs International Airport received 58 mm (2.27 in) of rain in six hours on Sunday afternoon. This site’s monthly average for August is 3.6 mm (0.14 in). China Lake Naval Air Facility, located near Ridgecrest just outside Death Valley National Park, received 63 mm (2.49 in) of rain in the 13 hours ending at 5:56pm local tine on Sunday. This is more than 20 times its July monthly average of 2.8 mm (0.11 in). Image: Hourly rainfall observations at China Lake Naval Air Facility, ending at 6pm local time on Sunday, August 20, 2023. Source: NOAA Hilary's heavy rain is reaching so far inland that it is flooding desert areas in California and Nevada. Death Valley National Park, internationally renowned as the hottest place on Earth, has been closed due to flooding. A warning on the National Park Service’s website states that “many roadways have already experienced significant debris flows, undercutting and complete shoulder loss.” Incredibly, a shallow earthquake occurred to the northwest of Los Angeles as heavy rain was hitting the region on Sunday. Visit the National Weather Service website to stay up to date with the latest warnings and advisories for Hilary.
20 Aug 2023, 2:12AM UTC
Women's World Cup Final Forecast
Whilst the Matilda's dream of winning the World Cup has come to an end, it lives on for Spain and England as they clash in the World Cup Final in Sydney on Sunday night. Let's take a look at what the weather has in store for those heading to the match. The final is being held at Stadium Australia, in the Sydney Olympic Park Precinct in Homebush. Over 70,000 people are expected to attend the event, with gates opening at 5:30pm, ahead of an 8pm kick off. Sunday morning brought brilliant blue skies to Sydney. That will be the case for much of the afternoon and for those heading in early to enjoy the atmosphere. There will be a bit of an increase in cloud cover closer to kick off, though skies will remain mostly clear. The good news is that despite some extra clouds about, it will remain dry throughout the match. Image: Cloud cover and temperatures on Sunday evening according to the ECMWF model. Temperatures when gates open are expected to be around 17°C, cooling to close to 13°C by kick off and around 11°C when the final whistle blows at about 10pm (unless of course the match goes into extra time). Thankfully, winds will be light throughout the evening and will not add much in the way of wind chill. All in all, it's close to ideal conditions for those lucky enough to be heading out to watch the match.
19 Aug 2023, 8:10AM UTC
History-making tropical storm warning in effect as Hurricane Hilary bears down on California
As Weatherzone meteorologist Maryam Al-Ansari wrote earlier today, we've been seeing a lot of hurricane activity in the East Pacific Ocean lately, thanks to warmer-than-normal ocean temperatures and higher-than-average atmospheric moisture. The one of biggest concern right now is Hurricane Hilary, currently a Category 4 system, which looks to begin impacting the Baja California peninsula of Mexico on Saturday night Pacific Daylight Time (PDT). It is then forecast to make landfall as a hurricane over the western Baja California coast before weakening to a Tropical Storm and making landfall again somewhere around the Mexico/California border on Sunday, triggering California’s first-ever Tropical Storm Warning (see image below). ‘It’s been 84 years’ While the movie buffs among us may recognise those words as the memeable quote from the fictional character Rose DeWitt Bukater in James Cameron’s blockbuster film Titanic, in this case they are directly relevant to California’s sparse history of tropical storm activity. If Hurricane Hilary makes landfall over the southern California coast as a tropical storm, it will be the first time in almost 84 years this has happened. In September 1939, Tropical Storm El Cordonazo made landfall near Long Beach, California, bringing record-breaking rainfall and, tragically, fatal flash-flooding. However, no tropical storm warning was ever issued for this system because prior to 1956, there was no U.S. National Hurricane Center to issue one. At the time of writing, it looks like the centre of Tropical Storm Hilary should make landfall just south of the Mexico-California border. But just like Tropical Storm El Cordonazo, torrential rainfall and flash-flooding are the most significant risks associated with this system. Why? Because southern California and the Baja California peninsula are marked by mountain ranges. When a major storm system comes into contact with a mountain range, a process called “orographic lifting” can take place, causing the storm’s moist air to lift up over the mountains. As it does so, it cools and becomes more humid, leading to more intense condensation and rainfall than might otherwise be expected. The resulting rainfall then runs downhill, triggering intense flash-flooding and even landslides. The orographic lifting process is well-illustrated in this schematic from the University of Hawai’i: After impacting southern California, the system is expected to weaken to a tropical depression as it moves north into Nevada. At this stage, NOAA’s National Hurricane Center is forecasting that “catastrophic and life-threatening flooding is likely over Baja California and the Southwestern U.S. through early next week.” It also warns that large swells generated by Hilary could cause life-threatening surf and rip conditions from southern California down to southwestern Mexico. This is definitely a storm system to take seriously.
Weather in Business
20 Jun 2023, 7:11AM UTC
Blast Dispersion Modelling
Same blast, vastly different outcome. The Weatherzone Blast Dispersion Model syncs your blasting parameters with local weather forecasts to create an accurate and detailed simulation of the blast. Here we have identical blasts simulated at different times. The winds at each time directs the blast pollutants. They travel towards the town on the left, and clear of it on the right, potentially saving millions in damages. To find out more about our Blast Dispersion Modelling, please visit our website or email us at business@weatherzone.com.au.
13 Mar 2023, 6:31AM UTC
How an ash cloud mirrors mining blasts
On Saturday, Indonesia's most active volcano, Mount Merapi, erupted, sending huge plumes of ash into the sky. It serves as a large-scale reminder of how ash and dust from explosions, including in mining and demolition, can travel and spread. Mount Merapi erupted at 5am UTC (1pm WST) on Saturday afternoon. Most notable was a fast-moving pyroclastic flow full of superheated lava, ash and rock that spewed down the volcano’s southwestern face. 1/3 Woahhh! Today: Massive eruption at Merapi #volcano, #Java, #Indonesia. Pyroclastic flow of hot rock fragments, volcanic gases, and air descended on southeastern flank. Reached 7km from summit, close to populated areas. No reported casualties yet. #Merapi pic.twitter.com/sXM7vZmRZO — Volcaholic (@CarolynnePries1) March 11, 2023 The ash cloud could be seen from space, though was difficult to visually distinguish from thunderstorms developing nearby. Here is an enhanced feed from the Himawari-9 satellite that highlights fine particles in the air. In this case, the ash appears as bright pink, compared to the surrounding storm clouds in yellow. The pink cloud can be seen initially shooting off to the southwest of the volcano as the pyroclastic flow ran down its side and gave it momentum. As the ash cloud grew and time passed, the cloud then starts to drift to the northwest, driven by the southeasterly winds over the region. Image: Himawari-9 enhanced satellite and black wind streamlines showing the winds at about 1km elevation spreading the ash cloud to the northwest. While a volcanic eruption is obviously a very large explosion, the behaviour of dust, ash, smoke and fine particles are the same on smaller spatial scales. When explosions are used for mining or demolition, particles are sent into the air that can cause harmful effects to workers or nearby communities near to the site. Weatherzone Business’ Blast Dispersion uses weather models and your explosive input parameters to generate a simulation of how fine particles and nitrous oxides will travel after a blast. By allowing you to select a range of dates and times, it allows you to identify when to detonate to minimise the effect of a blast to your personnel and local community. Video: A sample blast dispersion showing the concentration of PM10 particles For more information on Blast Dispersion, please visit our website or email us at business@weatherzone.com.au.





