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Gusty westerly winds between cold fronts brings showers to SE SA, VIC & TAS, with the odd storm over southern VIC. Showers & storms across northern WA, the NT's western Top End & eastern QLD in unstable humid winds. A broad ridge of high pressure keeps the rest of the country dry
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Today, 5:42AM UTC
Tassie ski tow buried under snow
Heavy snow continues to fall in elevated parts of Tasmania, and the snow showers likely won't let up for another couple of days. This was the scene at midday on Friday at Mt Mawson, the tiny club-run ski field about 90 minutes northwest of Hobart. As you can see, the cable on the main rope tow (a rudimentary form of ski lift) is just about buried. Image: The two skiers in the image are cross-country skiers however the tow is scheduled to run this weekend once it has been dug out. Source: Mt Mawson. Peter Davis, the former president of the Southern Tasmania Ski Association, announced that the ski tow pictured, plus another tow higher up the mountain, would run this weekend on a cover of snow that is currently 80 cm deep. Tasmania has had a strange snow season. In early July, it was bitterly cold but mostly snowless as the state entered a deep freeze under clear skies and near-windless conditions – with the state recording its record July low and second-lowest temperature on record in any month. Despite that one frigid week, winter 2024 overall was considerably warmer than usual right across Tasmania both by day and by night, as indicated in the charts below which show maximum (left) and minimum (right) temperature deciles. Image: Deciles are a way of splitting data into 10 equally large sections, and as the charts show, winter 2024 temperatures were in the upper deciles in Tasmania. Source: BoM. With such a warm winter overall, it's no surprise that it was a dud snow season at Mt Mawson and at Ben Lomond near Launceston, Tasmania's only commercial ski area. But September has been cold and wet in Tasmania, with two particularly heavy bursts of highland snowfall, each lasting several days. As of September 20, kunanyi/Mt Wellington above Hobart has experienced colder than usual average maximums and minimums throughout the month to date: The running average min as of Sep 20 is –1.7°C (long-term average –1.1°C). The running average max as of Sep 20 is 3.3°C (long-term average 4.8°C). Image: After almost no skiable snow in winter 2024, spring kicked off with a bang on September 1. Source: Mt Mawson. As for Australia’s eight mainland downhill ski resorts, only Perisher remains open, with 10 lifts set to spin this weekend. Word from locals is that the Front Valley slope will be the only run open from Monday onwards. Meanwhile warm weather continues anywhere north of about Sydney. Image: Forecast max temps for Saturday, September 21. We wrote on Thursday about the massive temperature contrasts in Australia at the moment, and while cold fronts will continue to whip across Tasmania, the east coast will remain dry with daytime temps a few degrees above the seasonal average.
Today, 4:54AM UTC
Spring equinox this weekend – what this means for Australia
The Southern Hemisphere’s spring equinox will occur this weekend and that means more sunshine on the forecast for Australia. The spring equinox refers to the moment the sun appears to pass directly over Earth’s equator. This causes day and night to be roughly equal in length for most places on Earth around the date of the equinox. Image: Orientation of the Sun and Earth on the date of the spring equinox. Following the equinox in September, the Southern Hemisphere starts to become more tilted towards the Sun and the Northern Hemisphere tilts away from the Sun. This causes days to get longer and nights to get shorter across the Southern Hemisphere. While Australia’s meteorological spring started on September 1, the astronomical spring for the Southern Hemisphere begins on the date of the equinox. The reason for this difference is due to the meteorological season more closely matching the annual temperature cycles experienced most populated areas on Earth. Image: The difference between Earth’s astronomical and meteorological seasons. Source: NOAA Office of Education/Kaleigh Ballantine This year’s Southern Hemisphere spring equinox will occur at 10:44pm AEST on Sunday, September 22. Australia will now have more daylight than darkness for the next six months, until the autumnal equinox on March 20, 2025.
Today, 3:05AM UTC
Rain to soak every Australian state next week
A surge of tropical moisture will produce rain over part of every Australian state and territory during the next week, with some places likely to see several months’ worth of rain in a few days. Rain and thunderstorms will increase over the north of WA this weekend as tropical moisture feeds into a deepening area of low pressure. This wet and stormy weather will then spread over central Australia on Monday before forming a broad rainband that will drench southeastern and eastern Australia between Tuesday and the end of next week. The maps below show how much rain two different computer models are predicting over Australia during the 7-day period starting this Friday. Images: Forecast accumulated rain during the 7 days starting Friday, September 20, according to the ECMWF (top) and GFS (bottom) models. This weather system will cause a nation-wide soaking that could last for around seven to 10 days. Some areas in WA and the NT that typically receive 20 to 50 mm of rain in September could pick up about 50 to 100 mm from this event. The widespread nature of this rain event also increases the risk of flooding and travel disruptions in multiple states. Anyone travelling by road or rail in the next couple of weeks should keep an eye on the latest warnings and road/rail conditions across the country.
Weather in Business
28 Aug 2024, 3:51AM UTC
Gales and crosswinds cause disruptions at Sydney Airport
Gale force west to northwesterly winds are creating havoc at Sydney airport on Wednesday afternoon, with all six landing and takeoff options impacted by very strong cross winds. Sydney airport saw gale force west to northwesterly mean wind speeds of 65km/h at 12:30pm, while the site has been gusting up to 82km/h. These winds are too strong for all three runways (six landing and takeoff options) to be used safely, airport traffic typically peaks during light winds. The image below shows that two of Sydney Airport’s parallel runways are orientated from north to south, and one single runway runs from west to east. Image: Sydney Airport runway orientation showing two parallel runways running north/south and one west/east, Source: Sydney Airport The west-east runway is the longest and can accept the largest aircraft, the A380. The gale force west to northwesterly winds on Wednesday are causing around 25 knots of crosswind on each of the six runway options. Image: Weatherzone’s cross wind calculator in our Aviation Dashboard showing cross wind or X wind of 24 to 25 knots. The term ‘crosswinds’ refers to winds that blow perpendicular to the runway, which can generate a significant lateral force on the aircraft, making it difficult for pilots to maintain a stable trajectory. The strong crosswinds can cause the plane to drift off course, posing a serious risk to both the aircraft and its passengers. Sydney Airport typically changes runways when there’s sustained crosswind gusts above 20 knots (37km/h). However, on Wednesday crosswinds are affecting all runways, meaning that aircraft are often opting to use the two north-south runways to increase traffic. This has meant that some flights have tried twice to land in these difficult conditions. It is very rare for crosswinds to impact all runways and therefore this event is causing significant disruptions at the airport on Wednesday. This event is not isolated to the Sydney area, numerous severe weather warnings for gales and damaging and/or destructive winds are in place across four states and the ACT, as a strong cold front lashes Tasmania and southeastern parts of the continent. So when will these winds die down? Conditions will ease somewhat by Wednesday evening, but not before the Sydney airport peak hour between 5 and 7pm. Winds will intensify again on Friday and into the weekend as further fronts whip through southern parts of the country.
23 Aug 2024, 5:01AM UTC
A great week for Tassie Hydro
Hundreds of millimetres of rainfall are forecast for western Tasmania in the next week, which will help replenish hydroelectric lakes in the region after some of the lowest rainfall on record. Hydropower is Tasmania’s main source of electricity, with frequent rain filling Tassie Hydro’s 54 major dams and feeding into 30 hydropower stations. In fact, during winter, the state usually exports electricity to Victoria, via the underwater Basslink. In summer, when it is usually drier, the state relies on the National Electricity Market (NEM) for a top up of power. Image: Hydroelectricity dam at Strathgordon in Tasmania According to Hydro Tasmania, they produce around 9000 gigawatts of clean renewable electricity from hydropower, enough to power 900,000 homes or businesses. The map below shows the catchments and power stations scattered across Tasmania; the largest lakes used for hydro are the Great Lake and Gordon-Pedder. The rain that falls in these catchments or dams is collected and used to generate electricity. Image: Hydro catchment areas. Source: Hydro Tasmania Usually, the west coast of Tasmania is the wettest due to prevailing westerly winds from cold fronts passing over the state, which tend to be blocked by vast mountains through central areas. During the past three months, unfortunately, this has not been the case for the west coast. Overall, the area has seen below average rain, reaching record lows in the far northwest, while the east coast saw average to above average rain. Image: Tasmania rain deciles between May 1 and July 31, 2024. Source: Bureau of Meteorology During July 2024, rain in western and central Tasmania was in the lowest 10% of Julys since 1900. The below average rain has affected water storage across western Tasmania, with some areas seeing record low or very much below average streamflow. The Great Lake was only 25.1% full by the end of July, which is a 10.4% decrease from the same time last year. Image: Streamflow decile categories for July 2024. Source: BOM The good news is that rain is on its way, with a complex low pressure system set to direct several cold fronts across the state in the coming week. Western Tasmania is forecast to see around 100 to 200mm of rain in the next 7 days, which could help fill up the western lakes, including the Gordon-Pedder. Eastern Tasmania, however, will see slightly less rain, with widespread falls of 30 to 50mm and isolated falls of 60 to 80mm. Image: Accumulated rain forecast for the next 7 days leading up to 10pm AEST on Thursday, August 29. Some of these totals will fall as snow as a cold airmass moves over the state from mid to late next week. Looking ahead, the rain should continue next Friday, August 30, and into the weekend as the low continues to linger over the region.