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Troughs through the NT's east, Qld, eastern SA and western NSW are generating showers and the odd storm. A firm high pressure ridge is causing onshore winds to bring the odd shower to eastern Qld and NSW while keeping the remainder of the country dry.
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Today, 12:57AM UTC
Thick Melbourne fog reduces visibility to 100m
Most of Melbourne awoke to a dense layer of fog on Tuesday morning, with visibility as low as 100 metres in some parts of the city, including at Avalon and Moorabbin Airports. Areas of fog also occurred elsewhere in Victoria overnight, and were relatively widespread across parts of three other states in southeastern Australia, with visibility down to: 50m at Murrurundi, NSW (Hunter forecast district) 50m at Cooma Airport, NSW (Snowy Mountains forecast district) 100m at Launceston Airport, Tas (Central North forecast district) 100m at Murray Bridge, SA (Murrylands forecast district) 100m at Kingscote, SA (Kangaroo Island) 100m at Warrnambool Airport, Vic (South West forecast district) Image: 3-hour satellite loop up until 10:30am (AEST) showing fog slowly clearing in the Melbourne area. Source: Weatherzone. Why was it so foggy overnight? "The fog formed due to clear skies and light winds beneath a high pressure system," Weatherzone meteorologist Ben Domensino explains. These conditions allowed the air to cool to its dew point – the point at which air is fully saturated and water vapour condenses into tiny, suspended water droplets at ground level, better known as fog. "In Melbourne, the dew point was around 9-10°C for most of the night. This morning's dew point temperatures were about 2-3°C above average for this time of year, which helped the fog develop," Domensino added. Melbourne…shrouded in fog! pic.twitter.com/F8eG20QJF8 — Terence McCarthy (@TerenceMcCart14) May 11, 2026 Can more foggy mornings be expected this week? Yes. A strong high pressure system currently centred over Tasmania is dominating Australia’s weather at present and is forecast to drift east slowly in coming days. The position of the high will ensure that stable conditions persist for at least a couple more nights over much of southeastern Australia, meaning further foggy mornings are likely. While it’s tough to pinpoint exactly where fog will form, many of the same low-lying areas and natural basins can expect the sort of ground-level fog seen on Tuesday, which will only clear as the day warms. Image: Fog over the Melbourne area with visibility in metres (the coloured numbers) at 8:20am on Tuesday, May 12, 2026. Note less fog in Melbourne’s north, where Melbourne Airport is located. That’s because Port Phillip Bay was a source of moisture that helped fog form. Source: Weatherzone. Fog often causes delays at airports due to planes being unable to land or take off in low visibility. Air traffic was disrupted at several airports this Tuesday morning, including Avalon Airport between Geelong and Melbourne. Because of the flat land required for runways, it’s an unfortunate reality of geography that airports are often located in fog-prone areas. Image: Early morning fog over Melbourne on May 12, 2026. Source: @drone_buddy via Threads.
11 May 2026, 3:43AM UTC
Wet week ahead for multiple Australian states
Rain and thunderstorms will spread over parts of the Australian outback this week, affecting at least five states and territories. It’s also going to be a wet week for the country’s east coast. High pressure driving moisture over Australia A large high pressure system moving slowly over Tasmania and the Tasman Sea this week will cause moisture-laden easterly winds to flow across eastern, northern and central Australia. Image: Modelled precipitable water and mean sea level pressure, showing moisture-laden air over central and northern Australia on Friday, May 15, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. These persistent and moist easterly winds will generate showers each day this week along parts of the country’s east coast, extending from southern New South Wales up to northern Queensland. Further inland, tropical moisture will feed into a slow-moving low pressure trough to cause showers and thunderstorms over a broad area of northern, central and southeastern Australia. The map below shows how much rain one computer model is predicting this week, with rain expected to fall in part of every state and territory during the next seven days. Image: Forecast accumulated rain this week, according to the ECMWF model. Source: Weatherzone. Heavy inland rain This week’s outback showers and storms will mainly affect parts of Queensland, the Northern Territory and South Australia between Monday and Friday, with stormy weather possibly extending towards the south of SA, including Adelaide, from Wednesday onwards. While rain and thunderstorm activity will generally be hit and miss for much of this week, a more substantial rainband could develop from this weekend into early next week. Some computer models suggest that this rainband could soak a broad area of central and southeastern Australia from Saturday onwards. Image: Synoptic outlook on the Weatherzone app for Australia on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Some areas of central Australia should see accumulated falls of around 30 to 60 mm this week, with potential for isolated areas of more than 100 mm. This much rain can cause flooding, particularly in places that still have swollen rivers from recent rainfall. Anyone planning on travelling through central Australia during the next couple of weeks should check the latest forecast, weather warnings and road closures for the most up to date information.
10 May 2026, 5:17AM UTC
Autumn high opens window for hazard reduction burns in NSW
A strong high pressure system over southern Australia created a settled autumn weather window across NSW this weekend, allowing fire crews to carry out hazard reduction burns in parts of the Blue Mountains National Park and Royal National Park. Fig. 1: MSLP analysis at 10am AEST on Saturday 9th May 2026, showing a strong high pressure system south of the mainland and a broad ridge extending across NSW. Image: BoM. The setup aligns well with the NSW RFS guidance for low intensity hazard reduction burning, which points to temperatures below 25°C, relative humidity around 50% and rising, winds below 15 km/h in the open and stable atmospheric conditions. These conditions help keep fire behaviour slow and manageable, while still allowing dry surface fuels to burn. However, the same stable weather that makes burns easier to control can also trap smoke near the ground, causing temporary air quality and visibility impacts in nearby communities. Burns were carried out on Saturday 9th May and were also planned for Sunday 10th May, taking advantage of this stable weather pattern while fuels were dry enough to burn but winds and temperatures remained manageable. Fig. 2: Smoke plumes from hazard reduction burns in the Blue Mountains and near Royal National Park were visible from space on Saturday 9th May 2026, with smoke drifting eastwards over the Tasman Sea under a stable high pressure pattern. Image: NASA Worldview, using MODIS Terra/Aqua Corrected Reflectance True Colour imagery. The burns may cause short-term impacts across affected areas, including visible smoke, temporary park and trail closures, restricted access and reduced visibility on nearby roads. These measures are put in place to keep the public safe while crews manage the burns and assess the area afterwards. Fig. 3: Smoke from hazard reduction burning seen from a window near Royal National Park. Image: Maryam. Fig. 4: Smoke haze affecting visibility along the Princes Highway near Royal National Park during hazard reduction burning on Saturday evening. Image: Transport for NSW. While hazard reduction burns can bring temporary smoke and access impacts, this weekend’s high pressure pattern provided the type of mild, stable weather window needed to reduce fuel loads before more dangerous bushfire weather returns later in the year.