There are no active warnings for this location.
Weather Maps
Daily Forecast
A low, trough and a cold front bring storms & rain to the south NT, Vic, NSW & Tas. An active monsoon across the northern tropics is bringing scattered showers & storms. Onshore winds bring showers to the east coast. Clearer over west WA.
Latest Warnings
AUS
Latest News
Climate Updates
Latest News
Today, 3:51AM UTC
Tropical cyclone risk increasing near Australia this week
Multiple tropical cyclones could form in the Australian region this week, increasing the threat of severe weather in Western Australia, the Northern Territory and Queensland. An active monsoon trough will cause more widespread cloud, rain and thunderstorms over northern Australia throughout the week. This active monsoon period will also cause several low pressure systems to develop near northern Australia. Multiple lows forming near Australia Computer models suggest that three or four low pressure systems could form near northern Australia in the coming days. While there is uncertainty regarding the position and strength of these systems, the most likely areas for the systems to form will be to the north of WA, in the Gulf of Carpentaria and over the Coral Sea. Forecast guidance from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) suggests that there is greater than an 80% chance of tropical cyclone formation to the north of WA this week. Further east, this model rates the likelihood of tropical cyclone activity in the Gulf of Carpentaria to be above 50%, while there is around a 40% chance of tropical cyclone formation in the Coral Sea this week. Image: Likelihood that a tropical cyclone will pass within 300 km of a given location within a 48-hour window centred on 11pm AEDT on Thursday, March 5, 2026. Source: ECMWF. The Bureau of Meteorology also indicates an increased risk of tropical cyclone formation in these regions, although gives lower probabilities of cyclone formation, ranging from 15 to 35%. Rain and severe weather risk increasing Regardless of whether or not tropical cyclones form near Australia this week, the presence of the monsoon trough and multiple tropical low pressure systems will generate widespread rain across northern Australia. Some computer models also suggest that at least one of this week’s eastern low pressure systems will drag heavy rain over central and southeast Qld towards the end of the week. The map below shows how much rain one computer model is predicting over Australia this week, highlighting the potential for heavy rain in northern Australia and eastern Qld. Image: Forecast accumulated rain this week, according to the ECMWF model. Source: Weatherzone. If tropical cyclones do develop this week, parts of northern and eastern Australia could experience intense rain, flash flooding, damaging to destructive winds, large waves and coastal inundation. Active tropical cyclone season for Australia This week’s increased tropical cyclone potential continues an active 2025-26 tropical cyclone season to date. Since the start of November 2025, nine tropical cyclones have formed inside, or moved into the Australian region. This is already roughly equal to the long-term average number of cyclones for a typical season, which runs until the end of April. This week has the potential to add several more tropical cyclones to the season’s tally. The next four tropical cyclones to form inside Australia's area of responsibility will be named: Narelle Oran Peta Riordan
Today, 1:10AM UTC
Heavy rain continues in Murray-Darling Basin
Heavy rain continues to fall in the Murray-Darling Basin after some of the biggest 24-hour and 48-hour rainfall totals in years in parts of South Australia, northern and western Victoria, and far western News South Wales – some of which were record-breaking. Notable rainfall totals in the 24 hours to 9am Monday included: 103.2mm at Mount Woowoolarah – a western NSW cattle station just a few kilometres from the SA border. It is very unusual for the highest NSW rainfall reading to occur in a location so far west. 100.6mm at Arcoona Bluff in South Australia’s North East Pastoral district. That’s also a huge fall for that area. 83mm at Mildura Airport after 65.8mm the day before. That brought the two-day total to well over half the average annual rainfall in the far northwestern Victorian city on the Murray River. 63.4mm at Bendigo Airport, the heaviest fall in the Victorian city in over two years. 57.2mm at Broken Hill after 26.8mm the previous day, which was almost exactly a third of the far southwestern NSW city’s average annual rainfall in two days. 26.4mm over three days in Adelaide, which was actually a very moderate total for the event compared to many parts of SA, but it was still the city's heaviest rain in months. As Weatherzone meteorologist Maryam Al-Ansari wrote on Sunday, some of the rainfall records that tumbled on the weekend included 96.4mm that fell at Horsham in the 24 hours to 9am Saturday. That was the highest daily February rainfall total on record for the town in the Wimmera region of far western Victoria, and another 61mm has fallen since in the first two days of March. Image: 8-hour radar loop for Victoria and nearby areas to 10:30am (AEDT) on Monday, March 2, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. What next for this rainy system? As you can see on the radar loop above, rain has largely cleared South Australia now, while Tasmania also got a good overnight soaking which has mostly pushed offshore for now. But large rainbands continue to surge across Victoria, New South Wales and the ACT. The chart below shows one model’s predicted rainfall accumulation up until late on Tuesday night. As you can see, a broad part of the southwestern mainland is in line for falls of 20mm or more, with totals potentially up around the 100mm mark in some areas. Image: Predicted rainfall accumulation to 11pm on Tuesday, March 2, 2026, according to the ECMWF model. The Murray-Darling Basin (where rain that falls ends up in the Murray or Darling Rivers) is located within the black line. Source: Weatherzone. What’s causing this ongoing heavy rain? This is the same unusually long-lasting inland low pressure system which brought locally huge rainfall totals to parts of the outback, including the Simpson Desert. The low has been slowly tracking southwards, dragging tropical moisture with it. Decaying tropical cyclones are often the engine for systems which transport tropical moisture to Australia’s southern states, but that has not been the case on this occasion. What is the flooding situation? Numerous minor flood warnings are in place for many of the areas mentioned in this story, but this is not yet a widespread serious flooding event, despite the heavy rainfall totals. However, that could change. Please check the Weatherzone warnings page for the latest information.
28 Feb 2026, 4:23AM UTC
Update: Heavy rain drenching South Australia and Victoria, and much more to come
The low pressure system over the country’s interior has been slowly moving southward, as stated in Anthony Sharwood’s story, leading to increased heavy falls over South Australia and Victoria. Flooding rainfall persists over South Australia, with a severe weather warning active for every district in the state. Yesterday the heaviest falls were recorded in the state’s west, with 24-hour totals recorded and estimated to have reached: 180mm at Ooldea (midday Fri 27th to midday Sat 28th) 124mm at Perlubie 120mm at Wirrulla 112mm at Mundamuckla 101mm at Gawler Ranges 100mm at Maralinga In the 24 hours to 9am this morning (28th February) South Australia saw: 103mm in Minnipa (and a further 25mm+ from 9am) 75.2mm in Ceduna (and a further 30mm+ from 9am) 69.0mm in Wudinna (and a further 15mm+ from 9am) 45.4mm in Parndana 33.0mm in Rayville 31.0mm in Woomera For many places in the state's west, it's been the heaviest rain in several years, decades in some places. Victoria also experienced heavy falls yesterday. Some cities in western Victoria saw the heaviest rainfall in the 24 hours on February 27th than they had seen in the last 3-8 years, if not the highest February falls in a decade! Some of these cities include: Horsham saw 96.4mm in 24 hours. The heaviest fall on record for the city (where the record starts at 1998). Of this 96.4mm, approximately 91.0mm of it fell in one hour! Longerenong saw 52.6mm in 24 hours. The heaviest fall since November 2018, and heaviest February rain since 1973 Warracknabeal saw 47.8mm in 24 hours. The heaviest fall since January 2022 Edenhope saw 32.4mm in 24 hours. The heaviest fall since November 2023, and heaviest February rain since 2020 Kilmore Gap saw 24.4mm in 24 hours. The heaviest February rain since 2013 Latrobe Valley saw 30.2mm in 24 hours. The heaviest February rain since 2015 Charlton saw 27.2mm in 24 hours. The heaviest February rain since 2016 Rainfall is expected to persist over South Australia this weekend, slowly moving into Victoria and western NSW on Monday as a front pushes the weakening low eastward. The heaviest rainfall is expected with thunderstorms, as southeast South Australia experienced this morning; more than 110,000 lightning strikes in the 300km around Mount Gambier Saturday 28th morning and 10 to 30mm of rainfall per location in the vicinity. A severe weather warning was issued for these thunderstorms by the Bureau of Meteorology for this morning. Image: Radar detected lightning strikes within a 300km radius of Mount Gambier Daily rainfall totals exceeding 100mm can be expected for SA over the weekend, with similar rates possible in Victoria on Monday. The Bureau of Meteorology has issued severe weather and flood warnings for South Australia, western Victoria and southwest New South Wales today, which are likely to be extended for Sunday and Monday at the very least.