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A trough over the eastern NT and northern Qld is generating showers and thunderstorms. A firm high pressure ridge is causing onshore winds to bring the odd shower to eastern Qld and northeast NSW while keeping the remainder of the country dry.
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Today, 5:17AM UTC
Autumn high opens window for hazard reduction burns in NSW
A strong high pressure system over southern Australia created a settled autumn weather window across NSW this weekend, allowing fire crews to carry out hazard reduction burns in parts of the Blue Mountains National Park and Royal National Park. Fig. 1: MSLP analysis at 10am AEST on Saturday 9th May 2026, showing a strong high pressure system south of the mainland and a broad ridge extending across NSW. Image: BoM. The setup aligns well with the NSW RFS guidance for low intensity hazard reduction burning, which points to temperatures below 25°C, relative humidity around 50% and rising, winds below 15 km/h in the open and stable atmospheric conditions. These conditions help keep fire behaviour slow and manageable, while still allowing dry surface fuels to burn. However, the same stable weather that makes burns easier to control can also trap smoke near the ground, causing temporary air quality and visibility impacts in nearby communities. Burns were carried out on Saturday 9th May and were also planned for Sunday 10th May, taking advantage of this stable weather pattern while fuels were dry enough to burn but winds and temperatures remained manageable. Fig. 2: Smoke plumes from hazard reduction burns in the Blue Mountains and near Royal National Park were visible from space on Saturday 9th May 2026, with smoke drifting eastwards over the Tasman Sea under a stable high pressure pattern. Image: NASA Worldview, using MODIS Terra/Aqua Corrected Reflectance True Colour imagery. The burns may cause short-term impacts across affected areas, including visible smoke, temporary park and trail closures, restricted access and reduced visibility on nearby roads. These measures are put in place to keep the public safe while crews manage the burns and assess the area afterwards. Fig. 3: Smoke from hazard reduction burning seen from a window near Royal National Park. Image: Maryam. Fig. 4: Smoke haze affecting visibility along the Princes Highway near Royal National Park during hazard reduction burning on Saturday evening. Image: Transport for NSW. While hazard reduction burns can bring temporary smoke and access impacts, this weekend’s high pressure pattern provided the type of mild, stable weather window needed to reduce fuel loads before more dangerous bushfire weather returns later in the year.
09 May 2026, 5:13AM UTC
Mother's Day Forecast
Regardless of the chilly opening to this Mother’s Day weekend for most of the country, we still want to make Mother’s Day special. A high pressure system sitting over the Bight has kept most of the country dry today with the odd shower in areas near the country’s southern and northeastern coasts. That system is not going anywhere tomorrow, so the weather is looking pretty much the same as today for the entire country. The bad news, we will have a chilly evening again for non-tropical regions, with a cool and frosty morning to start Mother’s Day. Then for the state capitals of Adelaide, Melbourne and Brisbane we can expect a mostly cloudy day, whereas Hobart, Canberra and Sydney will enjoy mostly sunny days with a slight wind chill on the horizon. Image: Minimum temperatures expected on Sunday 10th May, 2026 But do not fret because that is perfect weather for a cozy and warm breakfast in bed, and for all those who haven’t a clue what to get mum; she wouldn’t be able to resist a comfy blanket or a new set of pyjamas in this weather. The good news is that despite the cloud in the south, there will be little rain over Australia’s major cities, with only a light sprinkle in the forecast for northeast New South Wales and southeast Queensland, including Brisbane. So it would be a lovely day for a rare early winter picnic in the fallen leaves, a nice nature walk or a dip in the warmer than average beach waters. Image: Sea surface temperature anomalies (BoM) No matter what you have planned tomorrow, stay warm. And to all the mothers: Happy Mother’s Day!
08 May 2026, 4:07AM UTC
Rain returning to Australia’s east coast next week
Parts of Australia’s east coast could see rain every day next week as onshore winds combine with abnormally warm seas, with both Sydney and Brisbane in line for a string of wet days. The start of May has been largely dry for most of Australia's east coast thanks to frequent offshore winds and a predominantly stable atmosphere. This weather pattern will change next week as a high pressure system moving over the Tasman Sea directs easterly winds towards Australia’s east coast. Next week’s weather pattern is not expected to cause widespread heavy rain, but it will pepper eastern parts of New South Wales and Queensland with daily showers. The persistent showery weather will be fuelled by abnormally warm water sitting off the country’s east coast. Warmer water causes more evaporation, which puts more moisture into the atmosphere to generate rainfall. Water temperatures at the surface of the Tasman Sea are currently more than 3°C above average off the south coast of NSW and to the east of Bass Strait. Sea surface temperatures are also about half a degree warmer than usual over the western Coral Sea, to the east of Qld. These warm waters will help cause rain next week as onshore winds develop. Image: Sea surface temperature anomalies in the Tasman Sea on Wednesday, May 6, 2026. Source: Bureau of Meteorology. It’s tricky to predict rainfall totals when onshore winds are the primary driver of rainfall. Some areas could see 10-20 mm falling over a few days, while others will see much lower totals. On a week like this, with a chance of showers each day, it’s a good idea to have an umbrella or raincoat handy throughout the week. You can also check the latest forecasts each day to see how likely rain is in your area and track current rainfall using a radar viewer. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the next seven days. Source: Weatherzone. Away from the east coast, rain and thunderstorms are also likely to develop across other areas of northern, central and southeastern Australia next week as a deepening low pressure trough interacts with moisture-laden air. Parts of southwestern Australia should also see showers as a series of cold fronts affect the region.