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An unstable airmass over WA is triggering showers and storms, mainly around the northwest. Unstable southeasterly winds are causing the odd shower and storm over far north Qld. Cool moist air with a front brings a few showers for west Tas and southern Vic.
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Today, 2:45AM UTC
Remnants of Cyclone Maila to drench Queensland
Large parts of Queensland are in for a good soaking as the remnants of ex-Tropical Cyclone Maila cross the coastline. Tropical Cyclone Maila formed on April 4 near the Solomon Islands and briefly became a severe category 5 cyclone. Tragically, at least 11 people were killed on the island of Bougainville, which is geographically located along the Solomons chain but politically part of Papua New Guinea. Maila rapidly downgraded to a tropical low over the weekend as it tracked in a southwesterly direction from the Solomon Sea to the Coral Sea. The ex-cyclone is now set to cross the Cape York coastline on Tuesday evening. How much rain can Queensland expect? The loop below shows cloud and moisture pushing towards the Queensland coastline on Tuesday morning. Image: Combined radar and satellite loop over Queensland for the four hours to 11am (AEST) on Tuesday, April 14, 2026. While there’s uncertainty over rainfall totals, it appears likely that the stretch of coastline north of Mackay to Cape York is in for a few days of heavy rain that could exceed 100mm in some areas. This is not unusual for North Queensland in April, although it’s worth noting that prolonged coastal downpours do become less likely by mid-autumn. For example, Townsville receives 312.9mm of rainfall on average in February, but that drops to just 68.1mm in April. But the city could conceivably receive its monthly average within a couple of days this week ahead of the North Queensland Cowboys hosting the Manly Sea Eagles in the big Thursday night NRL match, on what could be a soggy field at Townsville’s Queensland Country Bank Stadium. How far inland will the moisture spread? Models suggest that this will be another event that delivers moisture to inland Queensland, in a year when that part of the country has seen plenty of rain. Image: Accumulated rainfall predicted for Queensland by 10pm on Friday, April 17, 2026, according to the ECMWF model. Source: Weatherzone. As the map above shows, outback towns like Longreach, Mount Isa and Winton (which is close to the geographical heart of Qld) are all likely to see a decent drop this week. One part of the state which will be disappointed to miss significant rainfall this week is southeast Queensland. As the map below shows, this area has experienced significant rainfall deficiencies to date in 2026. Image: Australian rainfall deciles from January to March, 2026. Source: BoM. Brisbane is likely to remain dry and mostly sunny all the way through to the end of the weekend.
13 Apr 2026, 2:42AM UTC
Cold nights, warm days in classic week of autumn weather
A classic autumn pattern of cold nights and warm days is in store for much of the country this week, after a cold front swept across southeastern Australia over the weekend. Repeated bursts of cold, moist air delivered heavy snow to elevated parts of Tasmania, with lighter falls on the highest peaks of the mainland. The dry airmass in the wake of the weekend system is producing chilly overnight temperatures that would have had many Australians busting out the doona for the first time in months. The coldest weekend minimums in each of the states and territories were: VIC -3.9°C Mt Hotham NSW -3.5°C Thredbo TAS -3°C kunanyi/Mt Wellington ACT -1.3°C Mt Ginini WA 1°C Eyre QLD 3.6°C Applethorpe SA 3.9°C Karoonda NT 8.1°C Alice Springs Airport Cold weekend maximums Australia also saw its first freezing maximums of the year on Saturday, with the mercury at Mt Hotham in Victoria peaking at just -0.6°C, kunanyi/Mt Wellington in Tasmania climbing to just -0.1°C, while Thredbo Top Station in NSW hit a high of exactly 0.0°C. Image: Remnants of the weekend snowfall melting quickly on Monday morning at Thredbo Top Station. Source: Thredbo.com.au. In Hobart, Saturday’s maximum of 11.5°C was by far the coldest day of the year to date. Indeed, it was colder than the average maximum of 11.9°C in July, the coldest month of the year. Melbourne failed to reach 17°C on both days over the weekend, while even Sydney felt relatively cool on Sunday despite its mild maximum of 21.4°C, with the wind chill keeping the apparent or "feels like" temperature up to seven degrees below the official still-air reading for much of the day. Cold nights, warm days for the week ahead As mentioned, a large part of the country can now expect cool to cold nights with warm days for at least the first half of the working week, as a strong high pressure system centred near Adelaide becomes the dominant feature of the national weather pattern. The national capital is a good example of conditions that can be expected across a broad area, with minimums falling towards freezing while afternoons will be close enough to T-shirt weather. Image: Daily Forecast for Canberra on the Weatherzone app. Another good example is Applethorpe, in southern Queensland’s elevated Granite Belt region, where mild afternoons in the mid-20s will be around 20 degrees warmer than the cool single-digit overnight minimums. By the middle of the week, ex-Tropical Cyclone Maila will begin to impact Queensland’s weather with coastal rain that could extend well inland. Two separate cold fronts will cool things down in southwest WA and again in Tasmania as the weekend approaches.
12 Apr 2026, 4:47AM UTC
New Zealand hammered by Extratropical Cyclone Vaianu
Cyclone Vaianu developed near Fiji last weekend and intensified into a category 3 tropical cyclone before transitioning into an extratropical cyclone on Thursday as it moved south of the Tropic of Capricorn. Despite its transition to cooler waters, Vaianu's gradual weakening meant that New Zealand was going to be hit directly by a system equivalent to a category 1 cyclone. On Saturday 11th, impacts of Vaianu started to be observed over New Zealand's North Island, with up to 100mm of rainfall observed locally in elevated areas of Northland, Coromandel and Eastland (see Image below). Image: Cumulative rainfall over New Zealand on April 11th 2026 (MetService) Around 2pm Sunday local time (midday AEST), Vaianu made landfall over the Bay of Plenty bringing wind gusts above 80km/h for much of the north and east coasts of the North Island from early morning. Gusts up to 130km/h are expected in the late afternoon and evening as Vaianu continues to move over land. Image: Observed wind gusts over the North Island at 1:05pm AEST (locally 3:05pm) Rainfall has intensified over the North Island and the northern South Island today (Sunday 12th), with rainfall forecasts indication more than 100mm of rain expected over most of the North Island in the next 24 hours, locally up to 250-300mm over Eastland. The New Zealand MetService warns of rainfall rates between 25-40mm/h for eastern areas of the North Island. Image: Forecast accumulated rainfall over the next 24 hours over New Zealand as shown by the UKMO 12Z model Warnings for strong winds, heavy rain and heavy swell are also declared all over the northern half of the country as can be observed at: https://www.metservice.com/warnings/home. Vaianu is expected to continue south, crossing the North Island and returning into the southwest Pacific Ocean then further south into the Southern Ocean in the next 24 hours, reducing impacts over the country.