Australian Weather

02 Jul 2026, 5:42AM UTC

The Bureau of Meteorology is monitoring a tropical disturbance near the Solomon Islands, with a low chance it could develop into a rare July tropical cyclone later this week. A broad area of convective activity associated with a low pressure trough to the east of the Solomon Islands may consolidate into a Tropical Low on Thursday or Friday. According to the Bureau of Meteorology, “the tropical system has a Low chance of developing into a tropical cyclone from Friday to Sunday.” While this system is unlikely to affect Australia, it is expected to bring heavy rain and strong winds to parts of the Solomon Islands and Papua New Guinea later this week, regardless of whether it reaches tropical cyclone strength. Image: Visible satellite images showing cloud associated with a tropical disturbance near the Solomon Islands on Thursday, July 2, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Unusual time for tropical cyclone activity The tropical cyclone season for the Australian region – which includes part of the Solomon Islands – runs from November to April. This is when the oceans are warmest and the atmosphere is most supportive of cyclone development in the Southern Hemisphere tropics. The vast majority of past tropical cyclones in the Australian region have developed during this six-month period. However, tropical cyclones can develop outside the traditional cyclone season. On rare occasions, they can even form during the Southern Hemisphere’s winter. Since 1970, there have only been four tropical cyclones in or near the Australian region during July, according to the Bureau of Meteorology’s tropical cyclone database. The most recent was an unnamed system that briefly became a tropical cyclone near the Cocos (Keeling) Islands in late July 2022. While this system was not named in real-time, a post-event analysis determined that it had intensified enough to be classified as a category 1 tropical cyclone. Tropical Cyclone Raquel was the next most recent July cyclone, forming near the Solomon Islands on July 1, 2015, and dissipating the next day. Raquel was the first tropical cyclone in records dating back to 1970 to form in Australia's Eastern Region during July. Other July tropical cyclones included one more unnamed system in 2007 and Tropical Cyclone Lindsay in 1996, both located over the Indian Ocean to the west of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands. If a tropical cyclone does develop or move into the Australian region near the Solomon Islands later this week, it would become only the second time a tropical cyclone has formed in the Eastern Region during July.

02 Jul 2026, 1:09AM UTC

Severe weather warnings have been issued for parts of South Australia, Victoria, New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory, as a cold front roars across southeastern Australia, ushering in the strongest spell of wild, wintry weather to date in winter 2026. Let’s take a closer look at the current conditions, overnight rainfall observations, and forecasts for the states and territories which will be impacted by this dynamic weather system this Thursday. South Australia Image: Several bands of moisture can be seen crossing the Adelaide area in the 12 hours to midnight (ACST) as Wednesday turned to Thursday. Source: Weatherzone. Adelaide had its wettest day July day in 10 years with 33 mm in the city’s main West Terrace/ngayiradpira gauge in the 24 hours to 9am Thursday. It was also the city’s wettest day in any month since January 26, 2024, and followed 19 mm the previous day. The SA capital now has 340 mm for the year to date – a healthy running total considering January was completely dry. Rain was even heavier in the Adelaide Hills, with at least 15 weather stations recording 50 mm or more – including a high reading of 77.8 mm at Scott Creek, just 24 km SE of the Adelaide CBD. Further showers can be expected across southern and southeastern parts of SA today in the cold airmass which arrived in Adelaide just before 9am. The arrival of the cold front created an unusual situation where the city’s overnight minimum occurred not around dawn, but at 8:58am. A severe weather warning is in place for damaging winds in coastal parts of the Lower South East forecast district as the cold front surges east. Victoria For the third day in a row, parts of northern and central Victoria saw heavy rainfall, with totals over 50mm recorded at four weather stations, while at least a few millimetres fell at locations in all nine official Victorian BoM forecast districts. The wildest weather today is in the alpine region, where wind gusts of 100 km/h or stronger have been recorded in the ski resorts of Falls Creek and Mt Hotham. Snow is also falling at high elevations of the Victorian Alps, with heavy snowfalls dropping to much lower levels from tonight. A severe weather warning for damaging winds is in place for parts of the East Gippsland, North East, and West and South Gippsland forecast districts. Image: Forecast mean sea level pressure and precipitable water for Australia at 4 am (AEST) on Friday, July 3, 2026, showing the southwesterly flow crossing the southeast corner of the country. Source: Weatherzone. New South Wales/ACT It was another wet night in the state’s west and central west, with heavy rainfall also recorded in some southern parts of NSW, as well as in the ACT. The heaviest rainfall reading statewide was 51.4 mm at the tiny western NSW map speck of Mount Hope. Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains), in Canberra’s south, received a very healthy 35.8 mm, its heaviest July daily total in 21 years, while Canberra Airport received 22.8mm, the heaviest July fall in 16 years. As with Victoria, the most extreme weather is heading for elevated parts of NSW this Thursday, with a severe weather warning issued for damaging winds for the South West Slopes, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory. The BoM warns that blizzard conditions are possible during the day in the Snowy Mountains, becoming likely on Thursday evening before starting to ease on Friday morning. Overnight, a gust of 113 km/h was recorded at Thredbo Top Station, Australia’s highest weather station. Image: Early flakes in what should be the first significant snowfall of the 2026 season at Thredbo on Thursday, July 2, 2026. Source: Thredbo Resort. Tasmania While no severe weather warnings are currently in place for Tasmania, much of the state again saw rain overnight. The coldest air from the current vigorous weather system will impact Tasmania on Friday and Saturday, with snowfalls expected to elevations as low as 600 metres by Saturday. Please check the Weatherzone warnings page for the latest information for your area, and the Weatherzone snow page for the latest forecast, live cam images and more.