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Tropical Cyclone Narelle is causing increasing winds, rain & storms along the Pilbara coast. Storms are scattering across the remaining tropics & over inland WA, SA, Vic, Tas and southern NSW in unstable air.
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Today, 2:08AM UTC
NSW and Victoria bracing for severe wintry weather this Friday
A powerful low pressure system will cause damaging winds, heavy rain and large waves in Victoria and New South Wales this Friday, along with a burst of cold weather that will bring early-season snow to mountains in four states and territories. A cold front crossing southeastern Australia on Thursday will cause a low pressure system to spin up over the western Tasman Sea on Friday. While the cold front will bring its own surge of cold, wet and windy weather, the low pressure system will be the most dangerous part of this weather event. Rain and thunderstorms will spread across southeastern Australia on Thursday as a southwesterly wind change associated with the front causes temperatures to drop over Tasmania, Vic, NSW, South Australia and the ACT. Snow is expected to start falling in Tas and Vic on Thursday, possibly reaching around 1000 metres above sea level in Tas during the afternoon and night. On Friday, southerly winds will strengthen considerably over eastern areas of NSW, Vic and Tas, and the ACT. These powerful winds will be caused by a low pressure system deepening rapidly over the western Tasman Sea, most likely centred off the south coast of NSW. Damaging winds are likely to affect parts of NSW and Vic on Friday and will probably extend to the ACT and eastern Tas as well. Image: Forecast wind gusts at 5pm AEDT on Friday, March 27, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. In addition to the wind, heavy rain and highland snow will affect eastern Vic and southeast NSW on Friday. Some areas could see 50 to 100 mm of rain during Thursday and Friday combined, which may cause localised flash flooding. The coasts in eastern Vic and NSW will also get hit by huge waves on Friday and Saturday, with wave heights expected to reach around 3 to 5 metres, possibly exceeding 5 metres along the NSW coast late Friday into Saturday morning. These waves will make coastal activities including swimming and fishing dangerous, and they will cause coastal erosion at south-facing beaches. This week’s burst of wintry weather will be a noticeable change from the recent warm spell in southeastern Australia: Melbourne’s maximum temperatures have reached 27 to 30°C during the last four days. The city’s maximums are forecast to drop to 18°C on Thursday and 16°C on Friday. Hobart is forecast to reach tops of 16°C on Thursday and 15°C on Friday. This would make Friday the city’s coldest day so far this year. Canberra’s temperature is forecast to only reach as high as 15°C on Friday. This follows a week-long run of temperatures above 26°C during the past seven days. Sydney will see a temperature drop of about 10°C in 24 hours, with maximums forecast to reach 30°C on Thursday and 20°C on Friday.
24 Mar 2026, 10:22AM UTC
Narelle on track to make landfall in third Australian state
Tropical Cyclone Narelle is expected to make landfall along the west coast of Western Australia later this week, possibly becoming the third tropical cyclone in modern records to make landfall in three Australian states. First landfall in Queensland Tropical Cyclone Narelle initially developed over the Coral Sea on Tuesday, March 17. It then gained strength as it tracked towards the west, becoming a category 5 tropical cyclone by Thursday, March 19. The system weakened slightly as it approached the eastern coast of the Cape York Peninsula before making landfall as a high-end category 4 system between Coen and Lockhart River on the morning of Friday, March 20. Image: Tropical Cyclone Narelle making landfall over northern Qld. Source: Weatherzone. Following its first landfall, Narelle weakened as it passed over the Cape York Peninsula, emerging off the peninsula’s west coast as a category 2 system on Friday afternoon. It then re-gained strength as it tracked across the Gulf of Carpentaria on Friday and Saturday, March 20-21, becoming a category 3 tropical cyclone once again. Second landfall in the Northern Territory Narelle made a second landfall over the eastern Top End in the NT on Saturday night, crossing the coast as a category 3 severe tropical cyclone. Image: Enhanced infrared satellite image showing Tropical Cyclone Narelle making landfall over the eastern Top End. Source: Weatherzone. The system weakened quickly once over land and was reclassified as a tropical low, below tropical cyclone strength, by Sunday morning. Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle then tracked across the NT’s Top End on Sunday before passing over the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf on Monday, March 23. It crossed the coast in Western Australia's Kimberley district on Monday afternoon as a tropical low. Third landfall possible in WA this week While Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle has already crossed the WA coast this week, it has not made landfall in WA as a tropical cyclone. However, this may change. Narelle is expected to re-intensify as it moves in a west-southwesterly direction off the north coast of WA in the coming days. The latest track map from the Bureau of Meteorology predicts the system will reach category 2 strength on Wednesday and category 4 strength on Thursday or Friday. However, there is a possibility it will hit category 5 strength while located to the north of WA. The tropical cyclone is expected to turn towards the south from Friday, causing it to approach the west coast of WA. While Narelle could weaken a bit as it moves further south, it is currently predicted to pass over the coast as a tropical cyclone somewhere between Exmouth and Yanchep, most likely around the Shark Bay area. If this happens, Narelle will become the first tropical cyclone since Ingrid in 2005 to make landfall in three Australian states as a tropical cyclone. The only other system to do this in records since 1980 was Steve in 2000.
24 Mar 2026, 12:14AM UTC
Wintry weather to hit southeastern Australia later this week
A burst of cold, wet and windy weather will affect Australia’s southeastern states this Thursday and Friday, with severe weather likely in parts of Victoria and New South Wales. Showers and storms increasing next few days Showers and thunderstorms will affect parts of southeastern Australia on Tuesday and Wednesday under the influence of relatively weak low pressure troughs. While most areas will only see light falls on these days, isolated areas of heavy rain are possible, particularly with thunderstorms. Conditions will deteriorate on Thursday and Friday as a pool of cold air gets driven across southeastern Australia in between a deepening Tasman Sea low pressure system and a high pressure system centred to the south of Australia. Image: Forecast 850 hPa temperature and mean sea level pressure on Thursday night, showing a high pressure system to the south of Australia and a low pressure system over the Tasman Sea. Cold air (shaded blue) is being driven over southeastern Australia in between these two systems. Source: Weatherzone. Early taste of winter This weather pattern will cause a surge of cold, wet and windy weather in southeastern Australia on Thursday and Friday, affecting parts of Tasmania, Victoria, NSW, South Australia and the ACT. This wintry mix will include rain, hail, thunderstorms, snow and blustery winds. The cold air crossing southeastern Australia is likely to cause a low pressure system to develop over the western Tasman Sea on Thursday, which could then deepen rapidly on Friday. This deepening low is expected to cause a particularly nasty period of powerful winds, heavy rain and large waves in parts of Vic and NSW on Friday, possibly affecting parts of Tas and the ACT as well. Image: Forecast wind gusts at 5pm AEDT on Friday, March 27, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. This system will bring the first taste of wintry weather so far this season in southeastern Australia, along with severe weather in at least two states. Melbourne is only forecast to reach 16°C on Friday, which would be the city’s coldest day so far this year.