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Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle is taking intense wind, rain & storms west across WA's Kimberley. Showers & a few storms are occurring elsewhere over the tropics & eastern seaboard in easterly winds. Weak fronts are bringing a cooler change & the odd shower to WA's far south & Tas.
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Today, 3:12AM UTC
Will Tropical Cyclone Narelle hit Perth?
Tropical Cyclone Narelle is expected to redevelop off the north coast of Western Australia later this week, before possibly turning south and heading towards Perth this weekend. Where is Narelle now? Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle was located near the west coast of the Northern Territory’s Top End on Monday morning. While the system made landfall over the eastern Top End as a category 3 tropical cyclone on Saturday night, it weakened below cyclone strength while moving over land on Sunday. At 9:30am ACST on Monday, Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle was a tropical low located over the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf, near the west coast of the Top End, roughly 25 kilometres north northwest of Wadeye. At that time the system was moving towards the west at about 16 km/h. Image: Visible satellite image showing Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle over the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf on Monday. Source: Weatherzone. The system caused heavy rain over the NT’s Top End during the last two days, with some areas receiving more than 200 mm in under 24 hours. This deluge comes on top of other heavy falls that flooded the region in recent weeks. A rain gauge at Adelaide River Town collected 202 mm in the 24 hours to 9am on Monday. Unsurprisingly, this caused major flooding at Adelaide River, with major flooding also continuing at Daly River in response to this latest bout of heavy rain. Kimberley next in line Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle is expected to cross the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf on Monday and move across the north Kimberley on Monday night into Tuesday morning. During this time, the system should remain a tropical low, below tropical cyclone strength. The main threat in the Kimberley during Monday and Tuesday will be heavy rain and flooding, with computer models predicting more than 200 mm of rain in some areas over the next two days. Damaging gale force winds may also affect parts of the Kimberley coast as the system moves west on Monday and Tuesday. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the 48 hours ending at 9:30pm ACST on Tuesday, March 24, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Narelle to re-intensify from Wednesday Ex-Tropical Cyclone Narelle is likely to move off the Kimberley coast late on Tuesday and move in a west-southwesterly direction through the middle of this week. This track should allow the system to re-intensify as it moves out over open water. The current forecast track from the Bureau of Meteorology predicts Narelle to become a tropical cyclone once again by Wednesday morning and reach category 3 strength by Wednesday night. Narelle is then expected to become a category 4 tropical cyclone as it tracks to the north of the Pilbara on Thursday. There is even a chance it will get stronger and become a category 5 tropical cyclone later this week. Image: Forecast wind gusts at 2pm AWST on Thursday, March 26, 2026, showing Narelle as a powerful tropical cyclone to the north of Exmouth, WA. Source: Weatherzone. Computer models suggest that Tropical Cyclone Narelle will turn towards the south from Friday, allowing it to track around WA’s North West Cape and start moving down the west coast this weekend, towards Perth. Will Narelle reach Perth? What happens to Tropical Cyclone Narelle beyond Friday is difficult to predict with much certainty at this stage. If the system does track towards the south later this week, Narelle will most likely start to speed up and start to transition from a tropical cyclone to an extra-tropical cyclone. The main differences between these two types of low pressure systems are their energy source, shape and size: Tropical cyclones get their energy from warm ocean water. These systems are usually compact and symmetrical, and the strongest winds are confined to a relatively small area close to the core. Extra-tropical cyclones get their energy from horizontal differences in temperature and pressure in the atmosphere, which is called ‘baroclinic instability’. These systems are usually asymmetrical, and their strongest winds often cover a large area. Extra-tropical cyclones typically move much faster than tropical cyclones. Despite their technical differences, tropical cyclones and extra-tropical cyclones are both dangerous systems capable of causing powerful winds, heavy rain and large waves. Narelle may maintain its classification as a tropical cyclone when it reaches the west coast of WA later this week, although it may also transition to an extra-tropical before crossing the coast. At this stage, this WA landfall will most likely occur on Sunday somewhere near or to the north of Perth. If this happens, it could cause severe weather as it approaches and crosses the coast. Image: Forecast mean sea level pressure and precipitable at 2 am AWST on Sunday, March 29, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. It is unusual for ex-tropical cyclones to get this far south in WA, but it is certainly not unprecedented. According to the Bureau, 14 systems that had been classified as tropical cyclones brought gale force winds, or caused property damage, in Perth between 1910 and 2024. These damaging systems mostly occurred between January and May but were most common in March. The most recent notable tropical cyclone that moved down WA’s west coast was Tropical Cyclone Seroja, which made landfall to the south of Kalbarri as a category 3 system in April 2021. Another notable system that impacted Perth was Ex-Tropical Cyclone Ned, which caused power disruptions and roof damage in the Perth region on April 1, 1989.
21 Mar 2026, 11:10PM UTC
Tropical Cyclone Narelle makes its second landfall
Tropical Cyclone Narelle made landfall early this morning as a severe category 3 system over the Northern Territory’s eastern Top End, after crossing the Gulf of Carpentaria during Saturday. Narelle is expected to weaken below tropical cyclone strength during Sunday as it tracks westwards across the Top End. As of 7:30am ACST Sunday, Narelle has weakened to a category 2 system with winds near its centre reaching 95km/h, gusting to 130km/h, and located approximately 340km east-northeast of Katherine. The system is expected to weaken below tropical cyclone strength during the morning, before crossing over the northern NT during Sunday, passing near Katherine on Sunday evening, then the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf on Monday. Gif: Tropical Cyclone Narelle made landfall over the eastern Top End coast this morning. Source: Weatherzone Impacts for the eastern Top End Narelle passed just north of Groote Eylandt just after 2am local time, though the main weather station at the airport on the western side of the island was relatively protected from the worst winds. The station recorded a maximum wind gust of 83km/h, as well as 32mm of rainfall since 9am yesterday morning. Meanwhile, Gove Airport, at Nhulunbuy on the far northeast corner of the Top End was exposed to wind gusts as high as 98km/h, as well as 131mm of rainfall since 9am yesterday. Elsewhere, Ngayawili (Elcho Island) further to the west has seen 54mm of rainfall, and a peak wind gust of 91km/h. Major flooding once again for the Top End Image: Heavy rain is forecast across the northern Top End and Kimberley in the coming days. The black lines denote borders between river catchments. Source: Weatherzone Despite Narelle weakening through today, it is still expected to dump significant amounts of rain across communities that have experienced more than their fair share of flooding this wet season. A severe weather warning currently encompasses most of the Daly River Catchment, including Katherine, as well as multiple other river catchments across the northern NT. Localised 24-hour totals of as much as 300mm possible near the track of Narelle as it weakens back to a tropical low. This event comes just a few weeks after the biggest flood event in decades impacted the region. More broadly, widespread rainfall totals of 180-250mm are likely across large swathes of the central and northern Top End. As of 8:00am, significant falls have already been recorded at Bulman (93mm), Milingimbi Ap (87mm) Goyder River (77mm) and Mount Bundley North (61mm). A convective band of showers and storms that crossed Darwin has delivered 16mm to the airport, with the city expected to see 60-120mm before Monday afternoon. What’s next for Narelle? Image: Narelle is rated a 55% chance to redevelop into a tropical cyclone by Tuesday evening. Source: BoM As an ex-tropical cyclone, Narelle is expected to move across the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf and over Western Australia’s northern Kimberley region on Monday. There is currently a moderate chance of Narelle restrengthening briefly into a tropical cyclone ahead of making another landfall over the northeast Kimberley coast. By Tuesday, the system is expected to be moving over open waters of the Indian Ocean. At this stage there is a high chance that Narelle will reintensify into a tropical cyclone by Tuesday night. Later in the week, Narelle’s track will likely take it parallel to the Pilbara coast, and potentially towards northwest Gascoyne later in the week. While direct impacts are unlikely at this stage, people along the Pilbara and Gascoyne coasts should monitor the system for periods of increased showers and winds as it progresses towards the west-southwest.
21 Mar 2026, 12:20AM UTC
Intense late season heat continues for Western Australia’s west
Western inland WA is expected to be the hottest part of Australia this Saturday, as temperatures are expected to soar to the high 30s for the southwest corner, and into the low 40s for the northwest corner. A surface trough extending down WA's west coast to north of Albany, combined with plentiful sunshine has allowed temperatures to rise as much as 7-10°C above the March average through the last few days. Image: Much of inland western WA will heat up well above average. Source: Weatherzone Perth hasn’t been spared from the late season heat, with inland parts of the city exceeding 37°C each day since Wednesday. Perth Airport reached 39.1°C, 39.5°C and 37.3°C on Wednesday, Thursday and Friday respectively. On the same days, Pearce in the city’s outer northeast, reached temperatures of 39.2°C, 40.3°C and 39.6°C. Further north and again on the same days, Morawa, nearly 150km east-southeast of Geraldton, reached 38.9°C, 38.8°C and 40.1°C. Image: Heatwave severity forecast for the period from Thursday 19th to Saturday 21st. Source: Weatherzone The lingering trough will start to edge further east on Saturday ahead of a cold front approaching the southwest coast, though there is at least one more day of summerlike heat expected across inland western WA, with a low intensity heatwave forecast across the region. Away from the southwest coast, temperatures will reach into the mid to high 30s once more. Temperatures across the Gascoyne and western Pilbara will likely be even hotter, cracking into the 40s for many areas. From Sunday a cold front should bring some welcome relief for the southwest, though hot days may continue for the northwest until mid-next week ahead of the approach of Tropical Cyclone Narelle. The approach of Narelle will bring increased latent energy over northern parts of WA early to mid-next week. This should lead to spike in temperatures across the Pilbara from Tuesday. Image: Perth Airport, along with much of southwest WA will become cooler from Sunday. Source: Weatherzone