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An area of instability will stretch from northeast WA, through the NT, northern and eastern Qld, and northeast NSW, bringing showers and thunderstorms. Onshore winds will bring showers to southeast SA, Vic, and Tas. Much of WA will be dry with a ridge of high pressure in control.
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15 Nov 2025, 11:03PM UTC
November heat, then storms on the way for western WA
A taste of summer is on the way for parts of the west coast, as hot northeasterly winds drag heat from the western interior down to the west coast early in the week. Heat will then be followed by a multi-day outbreak of thunderstorms for western and southwest WA. The culprit of the incoming hot weather is a deepening trough over the Pilbara which will extend over the Gascoyne today. By tomorrow, the trough will extend offshore from the Midwest coast, allowing hot winds from the interior to draw heat to near coastal areas as far south as Perth. Image: forecast maximum temperatures on Mon 17th As it stands, temperatures are expected to reach the mid to high 30s across large parts of western WA on Monday. Perth is looking at a forecast of 35°C, and Geraldton is forecast to reach 40°C, while temperatures exceeding 40°C are possible for inland Gascoyne and Central West. While these temperatures are not unusual for summer, for some areas this will be the hottest day since last autumn. The increased heat is also expected to bring elevated fire danger, with Extreme Fire Danger ratings expected for several districts in the Central West forecast district on Monday. Image: WA Fire Danger Ratings on Monday 17th. Source: Bureau of Meteorology From Monday, the trough will also gain some moisture, creating the potential for thunderstorm activity across western and southwestern parts of the state during the week. Thunderstorms are most likely for Gascoyne and Central West forecast district on Monday, extending south and inland as the week progresses. These storms carry the potential to bring damaging wind gusts exceeding 90km/h. Image: 3 hourly precipitations to 5pm WST Tue 18th according to ECMWF Sat 12Z, overlaid with GFS thunderstorm risk Perth’s best chances for thunderstorms look to be on Wednesday and Thursday, with storms firing up towards the south coast by the end of the week. Image: Forecast accumulated rainfall to Saturday evening for southern and western WA according to ECMWF Sat 12Z Showers and storms continue to be possible over western and southern WA over the weekend, although cricketing fans will be hoping that the wet weather stays away from Perth for the commencement of the Ashes Series this Friday.
14 Nov 2025, 10:03PM UTC
Total Fire Bans issued as heat intensifies over NSW then Qld
The topsy-turvy weather we've experienced this season continues, as we move from a phase where temperatures have been below average to a phase of increased warmth. A deepening heat trough is moving over NSW this weekend, bringing elevated fire danger including Total Fire Bans on Saturday, 15th November. On Monday, the elevated fire danger will extend into southern Qld, with Brisbane expecting its highest maximum so far this month. Image: NSW Fire Danger ratings on Saturday, 15th November including Total Fire Bans for the (left to right) Northern Riverina and Lower Central West Plains districts (Bureau of Meteorology). Hot temperatures peaking in the high-thirties funnelled by a heat trough will spread across central NSW on Saturday, November 15th, and combined with gusty winds is creating elevated fire potential for the Northern Riverina and Lower Central Plains districts. Extreme fire danger ratings and Total Fire Bans have been issued for the first time this season for both districts. Image: Modelled 12-hour maximum temperatures (GFS Fri 12Z) to 11pm AEDT on Saturday, 15th November 2025. Source: Weatherzone. From Sunday, High Fire Danger is expected to spread towards the Greater Hunter, Greater Sydney and Illawarra/Shoalhaven districts. Extreme fire danger will remain for the Lower Central West Plains district. Parts of western Sydney are expected to reach the mid-thirties, about 8-10ºC above the monthly average. Image: NSW Fire Danger ratings on Sunday, 16th November (Bureau of Meteorology). Elevated fire danger is expected to continue from the start of the working week, with a broader spread towards Qld as dry westerlies persist in the wake of the trough. The coastal stretch between the Illawarra and Shoalhaven district of NSW right up to the Capricornia district of Qld will be under the influence of warm to hot westerly winds yielding High Fire Danger. Brisbane is expected to reach the mid-thirties on Monday, which would bring the highest temperature of the month so far to the Qld capital. Image: NSW and Qld Fire Danger ratings on Monday, 17th November (Bureau of Meteorology). Total Fire Bans have also been declared for the Central Ranges and Lower Central West Plains for Sunday, November 16th. Be sure to have your Bushfire Survival Plan prepared for the season ahead. For further updates on the latest warnings, check out our website.
14 Nov 2025, 5:13AM UTC
Widespread storms from Friday into the weekend – what's the risk in your area?
A period of dynamic late spring weather is upon us, with storms likely from Friday afternoon into the weekend across a large portion of the country. Many of these storms may be severe. The period of potentially dangerous weather is being generated by a feed of moist, warm unstable air pushing across the country from the warm waters of Australia’s tropics all the way to parts of southern Australia, Let's break down the areas most likely to be affected by storms over the next couple of days: Northern Territory Storms are possible in Darwin every day over the immediate forecast period, but that’s obviously no news flash for this time of year, with the wet season having started. But storms are possible from Friday evening into Saturday as far south as Alice Springs, with storms on the forecast for eight of the territory’s nine official forecast districts. Queensland Storms are possible in the coming days over large parts of Queensland too, with the southeast corner in line for some of the most dynamic weather. Early on Friday afternoon, the BoM issued a severe thunderstorm warning for damaging winds, large hailstones and heavy rainfall for parts of the Darling Downs and Granite Belt forecast district, while Brisbane and the Gold Coast can expect a storm on Friday evening, Saturday, and possibly Sunday too. New South Wales The combination of heat and humidity has already brewed up storms in the northeast corner of New South Wales from around Tamworth to Byron Bay this Friday. 38.6mm of rainfall fell between 9am and 2:30pm at Grafton Airport (with 22mm in one hour around lunchtime), while 40mm fell within an hour late in the morning at Glenreagh, south of Grafton. Just after 2:30pm, a severe thunderstorm warning for damaging winds, large hailstones and heavy rainfall was issued for parts of the North West Slopes and Plains and Northern Tablelands forecast districts. By Saturday, storms are possible in Sydney and more southern parts of NSW, including the ACT. Image: Two-hour combined radar and satellite loop showing storms moving across northeastern NSW early on Friday afternoon. Victoria Melbourne won’t be particularly warm this weekend, with maximums of 21°C and 20°C expected for Saturday and Sunday respectively, but there’s still the chance of showers and storms on both days (both in the city and elsewhere in Victoria) as a trough slowly crosses the state ahead of a cold front due Sunday night. South Australia The stormy weather predicted for Victoria has already reached parts of southern SA, with showers and the potential for a storm on Friday evening in and around Adelaide. Parts of the Eyre and Yorke peninsulas, the Murraylands, and the state’s southeast corner could see Friday evening storms too. While southern parts of SA’s vast North East Pastoral and North West Pastoral forecast districts will likely remain dry, areas in the far north near the NT border could see storms on both Friday evening and Saturday. Tasmania Thunderstorms could occur all the way down in Tasmania as warmer air gives way to yet another wintry cold front late in the weekend. That front will bring snow to elevated parts of the state for at least the third time this November. Western Australia We haven’t forgotten the west but the storms largely have, with only the state’s tropical north and parts of the interior likely to see weekend storms. But most of the state will be dry, as the airflow from the broad-scale pattern mentioned at the top of this story feeds moisture and instability in a generally southeasterly direction across the continent.