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Winds over the interior & WA's west are warming. A front is causing showers to develop in Tas, southern SA & SW Vic. Moist onshore winds in NE NSW, eastern Qld are bringing showers. Showers & storms are occurring in the northern tropics & are developing over inland WA in troughs.
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01 Apr 2026, 10:18PM UTC
Soggy March with coolest Australian maximums since 2012
Australia has experienced one of its increasingly rare cool temperature anomalies in March 2026, with below-average nationwide maximums which were the coolest since 2012. But minimum temperatures nationwide were much warmer than usual, meaning that Australia’s overall temperature in March was still well above the long-term average. Image: Historical March maximum temperature anomalies in Australia since 1910. Source: BoM. Average Australian temperatures in March 2026: Maximum temperatures across Australia were 0.24°C below the long-term average Minimum temperatures across Australia were exactly 1°C above the long-term average The national area-averaged mean temperature (the combination of daytime and night time readings) was 0.38 °C above the long-term average. Image: Maximum temperature deciles in Australia in March 2026. Source: BoM. Australian rainfall in March 2026 This year saw the 8th-wettest March since nationwide records were first collated in 1900, with 69% more rain than the long-term average, and above-average rainfall in all states and territories except Tasmania. As you can see on the map below, only a large chunk of northeast NSW and adjacent parts of Queensland were significantly drier than usual. Most of the mainland was much wetter than average, including large parts of the outback. Image: Australian rainfall deciles in March 2026. Source: BoM. Rainfall was the highest on record for parts of the NT’s Top End, Qld’s Wide Bay and Burnett district and Cape York Peninsula, and eastern SA and adjoining areas in western NSW and Victoria. For South Australia as a whole, it was the 2nd-wettest March on record. How rainy weather made days cooler and nights warmer There’s a strong and fairly obvious correlation between Australia’s relatively cool maximums in March 2026 and the abundant rainfall in most parts of the nation. Cloudy skies usually tend to knock off a few degrees during the day, which explains the relatively cool daytime temperatures. There was also a correlation between the above-average rainfall and the warm minimums Australia experienced in March. Clouds act as a blanket at night, absorbing heat radiated from the Earth’s surface and preventing it from escaping upwards. Meanwhile, Australia’s hottest temperature in March 2026 was 44.6°C at Mount Magnet in WA, while Perisher Valley in NSW fell to -3.4°C.
01 Apr 2026, 12:25AM UTC
Easter long weekend weather for Australia and the capital cities
Like a bag of multi-coloured Easter eggs with different fillings, Australia can expect a range of different weather across the Easter long weekend, although mostly dry conditions should prevail in many areas. The major weather feature affecting Australia’s weather will be a large high pressure system centred near Tasmania during the weekend, which moves in after a relatively weak cold front flicks the southeast mainland and Tasmania on Thursday and Friday. The high will bring stable conditions to a broad swathe of the country. However, onshore winds circulating anti-clockwise around the high will generate showers for the east coast of the mainland. Shower activity will also be widespread in the tropics as the wet season enters its last few weeks, while a trough developing over Western Australia should bring showers to inland parts of that state. Here’s our breakdown of capital city weather for the four-day Easter break from Friday through to Monday: Melbourne After a cool day with a maximum around 18°C on Good Friday, expect tops of 26°C and 27°C by Sunday and Monday respectively. Showers should arrive on Monday, and at this stage look likely to persist into the new working week. Image: Friday will be the cooolest day of the Easter long weekend in Tasmania and southern Victoria. Source: Weatherzone. Sydney The harbour city can expect a warm Good Friday with a maximum around 26°C, with the cold front down south having minimal immediate impact. Clouds and cooler air will make an appearance by Saturday as winds swing to cooler southerlies, with showery conditions that should persist right through the long weekend. Brisbane Expect maximums of 28°C or 29°C right across the Easter break in the Queensland capital. Skies will be sunny for large periods of time, but a shower or two could blow in with the easterly wind flow. Perth For those hoping for dry, mild conditions, Perth will just about have the pick of the Easter capital city weather. Maximums will be in the mid-twenties with only a very slight chance of a shower, as the trough mentioned at the top of this story generates the heaviest showers much further inland in regions like the Goldfields. Image: Much warmer conditions are likely in Tasmania and Victoria by Easter Monday, with warm conditions also likely across much of the country. Source: Weatherzone. Canberra The national capital should enjoy a mostly fine and relatively mild Easter, with the coolest day being Saturday with a maximum of 19°C, when a light overnight shower could make an appearance. Overnight lows should stay in double digits throughout the break, which will make for pleasant conditions in a month when the average minimum is 6.8°C. Adelaide Expect a dry start to the long weekend in Adelaide, with temperatures rising to 29°C by Sunday before a few showers potentially arrive by Monday ahead of the next weak cold front which clips the southeastern mainland. Image: Daily Forecast for Adelaide, SA, on the Weatherzone app. Hobart Tasmania can expect a brisk start to the break, with a forecast high of just 15°C in Hobart for Friday, which would be the chilliest day since the unseasonable could outbreak back on December 1. Dry weather and a steady warming trend should set in until late Monday, when the next cold front arrives. Darwin The official wet season in the Northern Territory’s Top End runs from November through to the end of April, so it should be no surprise that afternoon showers are still on the Darwin forecast throughout the Easter period. Maximums will range between 32°C and 34°C. Whatever the weather in your area this Easter, we hope you get a good break if you’re not working, and that your loved ones spoil you with far too much chocolate.
31 Mar 2026, 3:29AM UTC
Giant atmospheric waves to increase tropical cyclone risk near Australia next week
There are early signs that a strong tropical cyclone could spin up over the Coral Sea next week as three broad-scale tropical atmospheric waves converge to the northeast of Australia. What are tropical atmospheric waves? Weather in Earth’s tropical regions is influenced by large-scale areas of low and high pressure moving through the atmosphere. These ‘tropical waves’ can enhance or suppress rainfall and thunderstorms and help create tropical cyclones. There are four main atmospheric waves that affect tropical weather in the Australian region: The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) moves around the planet near the equator from west to east, causing an area of increased cloud and rainfall that recurs roughly every 30 to 60 days. Equatorial Kelvin waves, which also move from west to east, are alternating areas of high and low pressure that cause alternating regions of cloudiness/rainfall and clear weather. These waves move around 2 to 3 times faster than the MJO. Equatorial Rossby waves are alternating areas of high and low pressure that sit around 10 degrees north and south of the equator and move from east to west. These waves can cause low pressure systems and regions of cloud and rain to mirror each other at similar longitudes on both sides of the equator. These waves travel at a similar speed to the MJO, but in the opposite direction. Mixed Rossby-Gravity waves move from east to west and are much faster than regular Equatorial Rossby waves. They cause contrasting areas of high and low pressure on either side of the equator, which can cause enhanced cloudiness and rainfall on one side of the equator and dry weather on the other. Image: Equatorial Rossby wave forecast for April 6, 2026, showing enhanced cloudiness to the northeast of Australia (cyan regions mirrored to the north and south of the equator). Source: Bureau of Meteorology. Three waves converging next week Three of the four tropical waves mentioned above are expected to converge near Australia next week. An active pulse of the Madden-Julian Oscillation will interact with a Kelvin wave and an Equatorial Rossby wave to the northeast of Australia during the first week of April. This convergence of three tropical atmospheric waves is likely to enhance cloudiness and rainfall over the western Pacific Ocean, possibly including parts of the Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Indonesia and northern Australia. The influence of the Equatorial Rossby wave may cause two areas of low pressure to spin up next week, one in the Southern Hemisphere near the Solomon Islands and another at a similar longitude in the Northern Hemisphere. Image: Modelled water vapour and 850 hPa wind showing twin tropical lows on either side of the equator on April 7, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. There are early indications that the Southern Hemisphere low pressure system could intensify over the warm northern Coral Sea, where sea surface temperatures are currently 28 to 30°C, possibly becoming a tropical cyclone mid- to late next week. Some models even suggest it could become a severe tropical cyclone. It’s too early to know with much confidence if there will be a tropical cyclone over the Coral Sea next week and if so, whether it will approach eastern Australia or remain offshore. However, with three tropical atmospheric waves converging in the region, meteorologists will be keeping a close eye on the Coral Sea region as we head into the first half of April.