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Cool south-to-southwest winds are driving showers into southeast SA, Vic, Tas and eastern NSW. An unstable airmass is bringing showers and some thunderstorms to WA. Largely settled and dry weather elsewhere with a high pressure cell centered over SA.
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Today, 4:42AM UTC
World Meteorological Organization tells world to "Prepare for El Niño" in 2026
The World Meteorological Organization has not minced its words when issuing a clear climate warning for the coming months: “Prepare for El Niño.” The statement comes as the WMO predicts an 80% likelihood of El Niño occurring during the June-to-August period this year – winter in the Southern Hemisphere – and, if established, a near or above 90% likelihood of El Niño persisting until at least November. The WMO also predicts that this will be a moderate to strong El Niño, while noting that “some uncertainty remains about El Niño peak strength and timing.” Clear signs that El Niño is on the way This warning about a looming El Niño will not come as a surprise for those who have been following long-range forecasts in recent months. Computer models have been predicting the emergence of El Niño since the start of this year, and the tropical Pacific Ocean has been showing signs of an emerging El Niño since April. The atmosphere is also showing clear signs of a developing El Nino pattern. The Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) – a key monitoring index for the atmospheric component of El Niño – has now crossed the El Niño threshold, showing that ocean-atmosphere coupling is occurring in the Pacific region. This ocean-atmosphere coupling is a critical aspect of a maturing El Niño signal bacause it shows that the ocean signal is not occurring in isolation. Image: Observed 90-day average SOI index values, showing the index dropping below the El Niño threshold of -7 earlier this month. Source: Queensland Government. How will El Niño affect weather in the next few months? Every El Niño is different, and so are its impacts. However, there are certain types of weather that become more likely across the world when El Niño is underway. Rainfall patterns can be strongly influenced by El Niño, with some areas of the globe typically seeing below-normal rainfall – including large areas of Australia and Southern and Southeast Asia – while others can see more rain than usual. Image: Typical rainfall anomalies seen during El Niño. Source: WMO. In Australia, El Niño is typically associated with below-average rainfall and above average daytime temperatures, with its strongest influence during winter and spring. The WMO is forecasting an abnormally dry and warm winter for large areas of Australia, which is fitting with the typical El Niño narrative. Image: Forecast rainfall probabilities during the July-to-August period. Source: WMO Image: Forecast temperature probabilities during the July-to-August period. Source: WMO It’s important to note that the strength of El Niño does not determine the intensity of its impacts. The best way to stay up to date with the latest information on weather and climate impacts over the coming months is to check the latest seasonal forecasts from organisations including the WMO, the Bureau of Meteorology and Weatherzone.
Today, 1:09AM UTC
Cold nights, mild days across most of Australia for King’s Birthday’s long weekend
The 2026 King’s Birthday long weekend is upon us, which means most workers get the day off this Monday in all states and territories except for Queensland and Western Australia. The good news for those hoping to spend some time outdoors is that clear weather will dominate the country, with relatively mild daytime temperatures for June in many areas, after typically cool to cold nights. For the outdoors-friendly conditions after a dynamic weather week in southern Australia, we can thank a large high pressure system which will be centred over South Australia on Saturday and drift only slowly eastwards through the long weekend. Image: Synoptic chart for Saturday, June 6, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Let’s whip around the capital cities to see what the long weekend (or weekend, as the case may be) holds weather-wise. Perth Not too many Perth locals will argue with the forecast maximums of 22°C on both Saturday and Sunday, considering the June average high is 19.5°C. Showers could move in later on Sunday ahead of an approaching cold front which will usher in a period of wet, cooler days from Monday onwards. Adelaide The SA capital gets warmer each day by a degree over the long weekend, with expected tops of 17°C, 18°C and 19°C from Saturday through to Monday. Not bad conditions for a game of footy in the park, given the average June maximum is 15.8°C. Clear skies should prevail, with only the slight chance of a light clearing shower on Saturday morning. Melbourne Melbourne narrowly missed out on both its coldest and wettest day of 2026 to date on Friday, but it was still pretty bleak with a maximum of 14.2°C and rainfall of 18.6 mm. But the long weekend will present a much more pleasant weather picture, with maximums of 18°C, 18°C and 17°C (average June maximum 14.1°C). There’s the chance of a light shower later on Saturday, but skies should be largely clear across the three days. Hobart Maximums of 14°C, 17°C and 17°C are expected in Hobart from Saturday through to Monday, which most locals won’t mind at all, given the average June high is just 12.1°C. The predominantly clear skies will also be welcomed by most people, after rain fell on the first five days of the 2026 winter. Image: Rainfall across Australia in the week to Thursday, June 4, 2026, illustrating how the southeast and southwest of the continent received significant rainfall of a magnitude which will be absent this weekend. Source: BoM. Sydney Winter? What’s that? Sydney can expect maximums of 20°C on both Saturday and Sunday (average June maximum 17.0°C), as westerlies keep skies clear in the wake of Friday’s cold front. Winds will begin to swing onshore by Monday, potentially pushing a few showers across the city and dropping temperatures by a degree or two in most suburbs. Canberra It’s frost season in the nation’s capital, and with minimums of 0°C, 1°C and 0°C across the long weekend, the grass should be a little frozen in the morning, albeit not as crunchy as it gets when Canberra sees much colder nights. Days will be sunny once the fog clears, with maximums around 14°C, 13°C and 15°C across the three days (June average maximum 13.2°C). Image: Frosty nights will mean good snowmaking conditions in Australia’s mainland ski resorts, where the 2026 snow season officially begins this long weekend. Source: Perisher. Brisbane Expect maximums of 22°C, 23°C and 23°C in the Queensland capital, which will be pretty close to the June average maximum of 22.0°C. Like Sydney, weekend skies should be clear, but Brisbane could see showers by Monday as winds swing around to southeasterlies. Darwin Will it shock you to learn that Darwin is expecting mostly sunny conditions now that the dry season is in full swing? Maximums will be right around the June average of 30.8°C on all three days of the long weekend.
04 Jun 2026, 12:22AM UTC
Snowfalls breathe life into 2026 Australian ski season
The weather gods left it pretty late, but the 2026 Australian ski season will kick off this Saturday, June 6, with at least 10 cm of natural snow on the ground at most resorts, plus whatever they can pump out over the next 48 hours through snowmaking. After a mix of rain and snow from Monday through to Wednesday morning, snowfalls began in earnest across the high country of New South Wales and Victoria on Wednesday evening, with the snow level dropping as low as 800 metres above sea level in Victoria on Thursday morning. This was the scene at Mt Buller in Victoria on Thursday morning. Image: Fresh snow at Mt Buller on June 4, 2026. Source: ski.com.au. Snowfalls have continued on-and-off throughout Thursday morning, and this event is not done yet. There's a decent chance of a further accumulation of 10 centimetres or so, as the large blob of moisture situated just northwest of Melbourne at 10am (in the loop below) hooks around towards the Australian Alps on Thursday afternoon. Image: Combined satellite and radar loop for southeastern Australia for the eight hours to 10am (AEST) on Thursday, June 4, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Even if more snow arrives on Thursday, the most meaningful weather conditions between now and Saturday from the point of view of Australian ski resort operators will be the coming cold nights. Perisher in New South Wales can expect a string of subzero nights, including three consecutive mornings when a minimum around -5°C is likely. Similar overnight conditions can be expected at Victorian resorts like Falls Creek. These temperatures will allow perfect conditions for snowmaking, especially as the atmosphere begins to dry out in the wake of the cold front from Friday onwards. As for how many ski lifts will open this coming long weekend, we can't confirm that yet, however it seems highly likely that all major resorts will open some beginner terrain. In other words, the 2026 ski season opening will actually be a proper opening, albeit with limited skiing (and snowboarding). READ MORE: Snowmaking begins in Australia: but how does it work? What is the short-to-medium term outlook for further snowfalls? Beyond the current system, a pattern of blocking high pressure systems looks likely to dominate southern Australia's weather until at least mid-June. This will likely prevent significant outbreaks of moist, snowfall-producing polar airmasses from reaching the Australian mainland. Image: Explore Snow & Ski forecasts on the Weatherzone app.