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Brisk westerly winds with and behind a cold front are bringing chilly temperatures and scattered showers Tas, Vic and southeast SA. An unstable airmass is causing showers and some storms over Qld's east and north, the NT's Top End and WA's north and west.
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Today, 12:30AM UTC
Extreme fire danger and snow on the same day in NSW
It's a day of dramatic weather contrasts this Monday for residents of Australia's most populous state, as a spring cold front sweeps northwards through New South Wales. Cool air arrived in the state’s south overnight with snow recorded in the Snowy Mountains for the fourth time this November. Image: The top of Thredbo on the evening of Sunday, November 16, 2025, with remnant snow patches from winter (previous November snowfalls have already melted). Source: Thredbo.com.au. Image: The top of Thredbo this Monday morning after the latest cold front, with fresh snow on the ground and snow sticking to the lens of the snow cam. Source: Thredbo.com.au. Ahead of the cold front, strong westerly winds gusted to as much as 96 km/h at Cabramurra in the Snowy Mountains (winds were likely even stronger at Thredbo Top Station, where the weather station was offline). Strong and gusty winds then pushed through to the east coast overnight, with gusts exceeding 70 km/h recorded in many forecast districts on Monday morning. While the airmass in the wake of the cold front is relatively mild, the combination of strong winds and dry air has resulted in high fire danger in most forecast districts, with an extreme rating issued for the Greater Hunter – even though no location in that particular region is expecting a Monday maximum beyond the mid-to-high 20s. Image: Fire danger in NSW on Monday, November 17, 2025, with extreme fire danger and a total fire ban for the Greater Hunter region around Newcastle. Source: NSW RFS. Normally, we associate days of extreme fire danger (or the highest rating of catastrophic) with temperatures soaring into the mid-to-high 30s or even the 40s, but days like today can be just as dangerous for grassfires and bushfires without the extreme heat. Meanwhile the Southern Hemisphere remains in a negative phase of the Southern Annular Mode (SAM), which means the dynamic cold weather systems that circulate the globe in the Southern Ocean tend to be pushed northwards towards Australia. READ MORE: Southern Annular Mode - What is the SAM and how does it affect Australia? This does not mean that southern Australia will automatically keep receiving unseasonably cool weather, but it does increase the likelihood, as we have seen in recent weeks. Due to the frequent unseasonable cold fronts this November, Melbourne’s running monthly maximum temperature is about 2°C down on its long-term average, with November 8 being the city’s coldest November day in 80 years, when the mercury reached just 12.7°C. Melbourne should struggle its way up to a maximum of 17°C this Monday (5°C below the long-term monthly average maximum) while Sydney should reach 26°C (which would actually be a couple of degrees above average although it will feel cooler with those westerly winds).
15 Nov 2025, 11:03PM UTC
November heat, then storms on the way for western WA
A taste of summer is on the way for parts of the west coast, as hot northeasterly winds drag heat from the western interior down to the west coast early in the week. Heat will then be followed by a multi-day outbreak of thunderstorms for western and southwest WA. The culprit of the incoming hot weather is a deepening trough over the Pilbara which will extend over the Gascoyne today. By tomorrow, the trough will extend offshore from the Midwest coast, allowing hot winds from the interior to draw heat to near coastal areas as far south as Perth. Image: forecast maximum temperatures on Mon 17th As it stands, temperatures are expected to reach the mid to high 30s across large parts of western WA on Monday. Perth is looking at a forecast of 35°C, and Geraldton is forecast to reach 40°C, while temperatures exceeding 40°C are possible for inland Gascoyne and Central West. While these temperatures are not unusual for summer, for some areas this will be the hottest day since last autumn. The increased heat is also expected to bring elevated fire danger, with Extreme Fire Danger ratings expected for several districts in the Central West forecast district on Monday. Image: WA Fire Danger Ratings on Monday 17th. Source: Bureau of Meteorology From Monday, the trough will also gain some moisture, creating the potential for thunderstorm activity across western and southwestern parts of the state during the week. Thunderstorms are most likely for Gascoyne and Central West forecast district on Monday, extending south and inland as the week progresses. These storms carry the potential to bring damaging wind gusts exceeding 90km/h. Image: 3 hourly precipitations to 5pm WST Tue 18th according to ECMWF Sat 12Z, overlaid with GFS thunderstorm risk Perth’s best chances for thunderstorms look to be on Wednesday and Thursday, with storms firing up towards the south coast by the end of the week. Image: Forecast accumulated rainfall to Saturday evening for southern and western WA according to ECMWF Sat 12Z Showers and storms continue to be possible over western and southern WA over the weekend, although cricketing fans will be hoping that the wet weather stays away from Perth for the commencement of the Ashes Series this Friday.
14 Nov 2025, 10:03PM UTC
Total Fire Bans issued as heat intensifies over NSW then Qld
The topsy-turvy weather we've experienced this season continues, as we move from a phase where temperatures have been below average to a phase of increased warmth. A deepening heat trough is moving over NSW this weekend, bringing elevated fire danger including Total Fire Bans on Saturday, 15th November. On Monday, the elevated fire danger will extend into southern Qld, with Brisbane expecting its highest maximum so far this month. Image: NSW Fire Danger ratings on Saturday, 15th November including Total Fire Bans for the (left to right) Northern Riverina and Lower Central West Plains districts (Bureau of Meteorology). Hot temperatures peaking in the high-thirties funnelled by a heat trough will spread across central NSW on Saturday, November 15th, and combined with gusty winds is creating elevated fire potential for the Northern Riverina and Lower Central Plains districts. Extreme fire danger ratings and Total Fire Bans have been issued for the first time this season for both districts. Image: Modelled 12-hour maximum temperatures (GFS Fri 12Z) to 11pm AEDT on Saturday, 15th November 2025. Source: Weatherzone. From Sunday, High Fire Danger is expected to spread towards the Greater Hunter, Greater Sydney and Illawarra/Shoalhaven districts. Extreme fire danger will remain for the Lower Central West Plains district. Parts of western Sydney are expected to reach the mid-thirties, about 8-10ºC above the monthly average. Image: NSW Fire Danger ratings on Sunday, 16th November (Bureau of Meteorology). Elevated fire danger is expected to continue from the start of the working week, with a broader spread towards Qld as dry westerlies persist in the wake of the trough. The coastal stretch between the Illawarra and Shoalhaven district of NSW right up to the Capricornia district of Qld will be under the influence of warm to hot westerly winds yielding High Fire Danger. Brisbane is expected to reach the mid-thirties on Monday, which would bring the highest temperature of the month so far to the Qld capital. Image: NSW and Qld Fire Danger ratings on Monday, 17th November (Bureau of Meteorology). Total Fire Bans have also been declared for the Central Ranges and Lower Central West Plains for Sunday, November 16th. Be sure to have your Bushfire Survival Plan prepared for the season ahead. For further updates on the latest warnings, check out our website.