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Gusty W to SW winds ahead of building high pressure is directing showers onto coastal SA & across Vic, Tas & southern NSW. A trough is bringing showers & patchy rain to southern Qld & eastern NSW. Strong high pressure over inland SA brings gusty winds for the north & northwest.
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Today, 3:03AM UTC
Last wintry burst for at least a week across southeast Australia
After heavy rain on the weekend and a spell of cooler, windy conditions in the first half of the working week as a pair of cold fronts surged across the southeast, a period of drier, stable, warmer weather lies ahead for much of the country’s most heavily populated corner. There are even signs of an unseasonable spike in warmth early next week, with Melbourne and Adelaide expected to peak around 20°C next Tuesday. But before that happens, residents of both cities will have to cope with wintry weather this Wednesday. Let’s take a closer look at today’s conditions before focusing on what’s in store from the end of the week onwards. Cold, wintry conditions in Melbourne, Adelaide, Canberra and the high country Melbourne and Adelaide can both expect maximums of around 15°C this Wednesday. That’s exactly the long-term August average maximum temperature for Melbourne, and a degree or so below it for Adelaide. Showers are also part of today's mix for both cities in the unstable westerly airstream behind a “decaying” (or weakening) cold front, which surged across Victoria, southern NSW and Tasmania on Wednesday morning. Image: Rain radar and atmospheric water vapour loop across SE Australia for the six hours to 11 am (AEST) on Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Because it's located east of the mountains, Canberra rarely receives much (or any) rainfall from relatively weak cold fronts like this one, as there’s precious little moisture remaining once the cool airmass has crossed the mountains. But the national capital is still enduring a relatively chilly Wednesday, with a maximum expected around 13°C (long-term August average 14.4°C) with apparent or "feels like" temperatures that will stay well into single digits all day due to those gusty westerlies. In the alpine region, snow showers are falling above about 1400 metres this Wednesday, after overnight accumulations of around five centimetres at the higher resorts. The snow flurries should persist till this evening, but they will likely be the last fresh flakes of any significant quantity for at least a week. Image: A little fresh snow at Charlotte Pass, NSW, on the morning of Wednesday, August 12, 2026. Source: Fozzie Bear via ski.com.au. Warmer and drier in Vic, SA, ACT before wet spell dampens east coast While a shower or two may persist for a day or two in coastal areas of Victoria and southeastern SA, days will gradually warm up with drier conditions setting in as the week progresses. But for Sydney and Brisbane, the reverse is likely. The east coast tends to be insulated from the harshest conditions associated with winter cold fronts that cross the southeast of the continent – and as Weatherzone meteorologist Jess Miskelly points out, westerlies tend to warm when running down the slopes of the Great Dividing Range towards the east coast. For example, despite gusty westerlies in Sydney this Wednesday, the harbour city should still reach 20°C, after topping 21°C on Tuesday. Highs of 20°C are also expected on Thursday and Friday. But on the weekend, winds will swing around to the southeast and Sydney maximums will drop by a degree or two as a period of showery weather sets in that could last into at least the middle of next week, as moist Tasman Sea air pushes onshore. Image: Precipitable water and mean sea level pressure forecast for 10 pm (AEST) on Saturday, August 15, 2026, according to the ECMWF model. Brisbane will also likely see a spell of showery weather from Sunday through to at least Tuesday.
11 Aug 2026, 5:14AM UTC
Major flood risk in northern Victoria
Floodwaters continue to flow through rivers in central and northern Victoria following torrential rainfall over the last few days, with a risk of major flooding at Wangaratta this Tuesday. A powerful cold front interacting with a moisture-laden cloudband delivered widespread and heavy rain in Victoria between Saturday August 8 and Monday August 11. This included more than 100 mm in numerous rain gauges across the state’s northeast during the 24 hours to 9am on Monday, including 166 mm at Mt Buffalo Chalet and 127 mm at Cheshunt. The system that caused this deluge has now cleared from southeastern Australia and will move out over the Tasman Sea on Tuesday. However, the huge amount of water left in its wake continues to cause flooding in Vic. At 2:30 pm AEST on Tuesday, moderate flooding was occurring in the Loddon, Ovens and Keiwa Rivers and Seven Creeks. Image: River height observations for the Ovens River at Wangaratta, Vic. Source: Bureau of Meteorology. The Ovens River at Wangaratta reached 12.64 m at 1:15 pm on Tuesday, just below the major flood level of 12.7 m. According to the Bureau, the river should remain around the major flood level on Tuesday afternoon and may briefly exceed it. Looking ahead, another cold front will spread showers across southeastern Australia on Wednesday, including Victoria. This system will be much weaker than the previous front and its rainfall will be considerably less. Fortunately, flood-affected areas in Vic should only see a few millimetres of rain from Wednesday’s front, which won’t be enough to cause further flooding.
11 Aug 2026, 2:06AM UTC
Perth’s coldest August morning in nine years after stormy cold front
After a wet and stormy start to the week, Perth and surrounding areas just shivered through their coldest August morning in around a decade. A cold front caused showers, thunderstorms, blustery winds and cold air to sweep across the southwest of Western Australia on Monday. This system delivered widespread rainfall totals of 10 to 30 mm across the state’s Southwest Land Division during the 24 hours ending at 9am AWST on Tuesday, including 16.4 mm at Perth. There was also lots of lightning, with close to 18,000 lightning pulses detected over the state’s southwest on Monday, including about 2,750 within 50 km of Perth. Image: Composite satellite, radar and lightning observations over southwestern Australia on Monday, August 10, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. By Monday night, most of the cloud, rain and storms had moved further east, allowing clearer skies and lighter winds to develop over the state’s southwest. These conditions, combined with lingering cold air, caused temperatures to dive. Some of the standout low minimum temperatures on Monday night into Tuesday morning included: 2.5°C at Perth, its lowest August temperature in nine years 0.8°C at Bunbury, its coldest morning in five years and coldest for August in a decade 1.5°C at Pearce RAAF, its coldest August morning in 11 years 5.4°C at Mandurah, its lowest August temperature in 10 years The coldest place in the state on Tuesday morning was York in the state’s Central Wheatbelt district, where the temperature dropped to -1.0°C. Looking ahead, showers will continue to spread over the southeast of WA on Tuesday afternoon as the cold front moves towards South Australia. Calmer and drier conditions will return across the whole state on Wednesday under the influence of a large high pressure ridge. Overnight minimum temperatures will remain chilly for the next few mornings under this ridge. Perth’s temperature is forecast to reach about 5°C on Wednesday and Thursday morning, before climbing later in the week.