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Strong wind, rain & storms are impacting southern SA, Tas & Vic with a cold front. Showers over eastern NSW and southern Qld in unstable air. Onshore winds bring gusty showers to southwest WA and the northeastern Qld and the NT coast. Clear inland and northwest in a high.
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Today, 1:09AM UTC
Severe weather warnings in four states, Adelaide’s wettest July day in 10 years
Severe weather warnings have been issued for parts of South Australia, Victoria, New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory, as a cold front roars across southeastern Australia, ushering in the strongest spell of wild, wintry weather to date in winter 2026. Let’s take a closer look at the current conditions, overnight rainfall observations, and forecasts for the states and territories which will be impacted by this dynamic weather system this Thursday. South Australia Image: Several bands of moisture can be seen crossing the Adelaide area in the 12 hours to midnight (ACST) as Wednesday turned to Thursday. Source: Weatherzone. Adelaide had its wettest day July day in 10 years with 33 mm in the city’s main West Terrace/ngayiradpira gauge in the 24 hours to 9am Thursday. It was also the city’s wettest day in any month since January 26, 2024, and followed 19 mm the previous day. The SA capital now has 340 mm for the year to date – a healthy running total considering January was completely dry. Rain was even heavier in the Adelaide Hills, with at least 15 weather stations recording 50 mm or more – including a high reading of 77.8 mm at Scott Creek, just 24 km SE of the Adelaide CBD. Further showers can be expected across southern and southeastern parts of SA today in the cold airmass which arrived in Adelaide just before 9am. The arrival of the cold front created an unusual situation where the city’s overnight minimum occurred not around dawn, but at 8:58am. A severe weather warning is in place for damaging winds in coastal parts of the Lower South East forecast district as the cold front surges east. Victoria For the third day in a row, parts of northern and central Victoria saw heavy rainfall, with totals over 50mm recorded at four weather stations, while at least a few millimetres fell at locations in all nine official Victorian BoM forecast districts. The wildest weather today is in the alpine region, where wind gusts of 100 km/h or stronger have been recorded in the ski resorts of Falls Creek and Mt Hotham. Snow is also falling at high elevations of the Victorian Alps, with heavy snowfalls dropping to much lower levels from tonight. A severe weather warning for damaging winds is in place for parts of the East Gippsland, North East, and West and South Gippsland forecast districts. Image: Forecast mean sea level pressure and precipitable water for Australia at 4 am (AEST) on Friday, July 3, 2026, showing the southwesterly flow crossing the southeast corner of the country. Source: Weatherzone. New South Wales/ACT It was another wet night in the state’s west and central west, with heavy rainfall also recorded in some southern parts of NSW, as well as in the ACT. The heaviest rainfall reading statewide was 51.4 mm at the tiny western NSW map speck of Mount Hope. Tuggeranong (Isabella Plains), in Canberra’s south, received a very healthy 35.8 mm, its heaviest July daily total in 21 years, while Canberra Airport received 22.8mm, the heaviest July fall in 16 years. As with Victoria, the most extreme weather is heading for elevated parts of NSW this Thursday, with a severe weather warning issued for damaging winds for the South West Slopes, Snowy Mountains and Australian Capital Territory. The BoM warns that blizzard conditions are possible during the day in the Snowy Mountains, becoming likely on Thursday evening before starting to ease on Friday morning. Overnight, a gust of 113 km/h was recorded at Thredbo Top Station, Australia’s highest weather station. Image: Early flakes in what should be the first significant snowfall of the 2026 season at Thredbo on Thursday, July 2, 2026. Source: Thredbo Resort. Tasmania While no severe weather warnings are currently in place for Tasmania, much of the state again saw rain overnight. The coldest air from the current vigorous weather system will impact Tasmania on Friday and Saturday, with snowfalls expected to elevations as low as 600 metres by Saturday. Please check the Weatherzone warnings page for the latest information for your area, and the Weatherzone snow page for the latest forecast, live cam images and more.
01 Jul 2026, 7:01AM UTC
Sydney's warmest June on record
The first month of winter 2026 was exceptionally warm for eastern Australia, with Sydney registering its warmest June in records dating back to 1859. The mean temperature at Sydney’s Observatory Hill weather station during June – calculated by combining daily minimum and maximum temperatures throughout the month – was 16.07°C. This was 2.9°C above the long-term average and the city’s warmest June on record, beating 15.66°C from 1991. June’s abnormal warmth was felt broadly across Australia's eastern states. When combining temperatures across Queensland, New South Wales, the Australian Capital Territory, Victoria and Tasmania, the mean temperature during June was 16.17°C. This was 2.17°C above the 1961-1990 average and the second warmest start to winter in records dating back to 1910. The only warmer June was 1996, which had a mean temperature anomaly of +2.26°C. Image: Mean temperatures in eastern Australia during June from 1910 to 2026. Source: Bureau of Meteorology. Melbourne, Brisbane and Canberra all had one of their top five warmest Junes on record in 2026. Why was June so warm? Temperatures ran well above average in June due to a lack of strong cold fronts sweeping over Australia. This absence of early-winter fronts was associated with a prolonged and strong positive Southern Annular Mode (SAM) event, which saw high pressure systems become a dominant synoptic feature over the Australian region, shielding the country from cold air masses. These highs also promoted more humid easterly wind over eastern Australia, which helped increase overnight minimum temperatures. In addition to the positive SAM, eastern Australia was also flanked by above average sea surface temperatures in the Tasman and Coral Seas during June. This warm water helped insulate the country’s eastern states and keep air temperatures higher than normal. At times, sea surface temperatures were more than 3°C above average in parts of the Tasman Sea. Image: Sea surface temperature anomalies in the Tasman Sea on June 29, 2026. Source: Bureau of Meteorology. The background influence of climate change also played a role in June’s abnormal warmth. Eastern Australia’s mean temperature in June has increased by around 1.5°C since 1910. Where were the warmest and coldest places in Australia during June? The first month of winter 2026 featured a mix of temperature extremes across the country. The coldest place in Australia during June was -9.5°C at Liawenee in Tasmania on June 26. The warmest place was 34.9°C at Yampi Sound, WA on June 3. Here are the highest and lowest in each state and territory during June 2026: Hottest NSW/ACT: 27°C at Mungindi VIC: 23.4°C at Lakes Entrance QLD: 34.5°C at Weipa SA: 31.9°C at Oodnadatta WA: 34.9°C at Yampi Sound NT: 34.8°C at Bradshaw TAS: 20.8°C at Campania Coldest NSW/ACT: -8.3°C at Perisher Valley VIC: -4.5°C at Mount Hotham Airport QLD: -2.8°C at Injune SA: -1.8°C at Yunta WA: -2.0°C at Norseman NT: -0.3°C at Alice Springs TAS: -9.5°C at Liawenee
01 Jul 2026, 1:58AM UTC
Polar airmass surging towards Australia – where will the chill hit?
A strong, dynamic cold front is lurking over waters south of the Great Australian Bight, and will surge northwards towards Tasmania and the southeastern mainland on Friday and Saturday. Frigid polar air is associated with this system, with the coldest air to move across Tasmania on Saturday, while the airmass will be cold enough for snowfalls on the Australian Alps from Friday into the weekend. Image: Three-hour satellite loop on the morning of Wednesday, July 1, 2026, showing a frigid polar airmass (the speckled cloud) over waters south of Western Australia. It will track towards SE Australia. Source: Weatherzone. Overdue burst of winter after a very mild June The imminent cold snap comes after a mild start to July across the southeast, on the back of an unseasonably warm June. For example, in June: Sydney’s average maximum was 3.0°C above the long-term average and its average minimum was 2.9°C above the long-term average. Melbourne’s average maximum was 2.3°C above the long-term average and its average minimum was 2.4°C above the long-term average. Canberra’s average maximum was 1.4°C above the long-term average and its average minimum was 2.4°C above the long-term average. Biggest snowfall of 2026 winter to date for Australia’s snow resorts After a snowfall of around 10 to 20 centimetres just before the traditional King’s Birthday long weekend snow season opening in early June, mild days, rain, and humid nights have left Australia’s ski resorts with no natural snow cover, and extremely limited terrain covered by snowmaking. Image: Perisher's Front Valley slopes devoid of anything but tiny patches of snowmaking snow in the last week of June, 2026. Source: Steve Smith. For only the second time in 72 years of records, the ski resorts enter July with an official snow depth of zero centimetres at Spencers Creek, the highest of three sites in the Snowy Mountains of New South Wales where hydro-electric operator Snowy Hydro has taken regular readings since 1954. But around 20 centimetres is likely to fall from Friday into the weekend, with the heaviest snow falling on Friday. The snow level should drop to around 1000 metres above sea level on the mainland, meaning the mountains will at last look white, even if the snowpack is still low for early July after this event. Check the Weatherzone snow page for the latest forecasts, live cams and more. Low level snow in Tasmania The coldest air from this system will impact Tasmania, with snow to fall as low as 400 metres above sea level by Saturday in the state’s south, which mean’s Hobart’s highest suburbs could potentially see a few flakes. Kunanyi/Mt Wellington above Hobart rises to 1271 metres, so it’s highly likely that the mountain will be coated in a significant mantle of white by Sunday. Road closures and hazardous driving conditions will be an issue in Tasmania this weekend, so please check the TasAlert site for the latest information. The Weatherzone warnings page also has the latest weather and flood warnings. Image: Forecast 850 hPa temperatures and mean sea level pressure for Tasmania and southern mainland Australia at 10 am (AEST) on Saturday, July 4, 2026, according to the ECMWF model. Source: Weatherzone. Colder in the southeastern capitals As you’d expect on a day when low level snow is forecast for Tasmania, Hobart will be bitterly cold on Saturday, with a forecast maximum of just 9°C. But with the frigid southwesterly winds, the apparent or "feels like" temperature will barely rise above 0°C all day. Melbourne’s average July maximum is 13.5°C, and daytime temperatures should peak close to that level over the weekend and into Monday, with no day expected to reach higher than 15°C from Thursday through to next Tuesday. Canberra’s chilliest day in the coming cold snap should be Friday, when the forecast maximum of 10°C will likely be the national capital’s coldest day of the year to date. Even Sydney will get a taste of winter. After the mercury in the harbour city topped 20°C 16 times in June – including a 15-day streak – Saturday will be the start of a prolonged spell of maximums closer to 17 or 18°C, with "feels like" temperatures closer to 10°C.