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Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina is generating very strong winds & heavy rain in WA's Kimberley. Lows are helping bring showers & storms SA's inland, NSW's west & northeast & Qld's southeast & showers to Tas & WA's southwest. The lows are also maintaining intense heat in the interior
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Today, 12:16AM UTC
Violent thunderstorms to target southeast QLD and northeast NSW on Monday
The atmosphere is primed for intense thunderstorms over southeast Queensland and northeast New South Wales on Monday, with a risk of supercells bringing destructive winds and giant hail. Parts of southeast Qld were hit with massive hailstones on Sunday as severe storms swept over eastern Australia. This included hail measuring around 8cm in diameter to the south of Brisbane, caused by a supercell that roared across the Scenic Rim and Logan regions shortly after sunset. Image: A supercell passing over parts of southeast Qld on Sunday evening. Source: Weatherzone. Monday has all the ingredients for further severe thunderstorm development over northeast NSW and southeast Qld. Computer models suggest populated areas in both states could see severe storms in the afternoon and evening. The three main ingredients for thunderstorms are: Instability Moisture Trigger Atmospheric instability will be abundant over southeast Qld and northeast NSW on Monday due to warm air near the surface and much cooler, drier air aloft. This instability will provide the lift required to build large thunderstorm clouds stretching thousands of metres into the sky. There will also be plenty of moisture available in the lower and middle levels of the atmosphere, providing ample fuel for storm clouds to become loaded with rain and hail. There will also be two main triggers for storms on Monday. The first will be a ‘dry line’ sitting over southeast Qld and northeast NSW, which is a zone where moisture-laden air to the east clashes with drier air to the west. The second trigger for storms will be a southeastern wind change moving towards the north throughout the afternoon and evening. One additional ingredient that will help make Monday’s storms particularly dangerous is wind shear, which refers to the change in wind speed and direction with height. Strong wind shear over southeast Qld and northeast NSW will help create rotation in thunderstorms, increasing the likelihood of supercells, which are the most violent and dangerous type of thunderstorm. Storms on Monday should initially form over northeast NSW in the afternoon before spreading into southeast Qld during the afternoon and early evening. Monday’s severe thunderstorms are likely to cause heavy rain, damaging wind gusts in excess of 90 km/h and large hail measuring larger than 2cm in diameter in some areas. If supercells develop, wind gusts exceeding 125 km/h and giant hail exceeding 5m will also be a risk. Image: Forecast accumulated rain on Monday, showing the general region where thunderstorms are expected to occur according to the ACCESS-C model. Source: Weatherzone. Severe thunderstorm warnings are likely to be issued and updated throughout the afternoon and evening, so be sure to check the latest warnings in your area and keep an eye on the radar to see where storms are moving. Thunderstorms will affect parts of Qld every day this week and storms will also be a regular feature in several other Australian states and territories throughout the week. Brisbane and other areas of southeast Qld and northeast NSW could see potentially severe storms every day between now and at least Thursday.
23 Nov 2025, 11:49PM UTC
Why category 4 Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina will weaken quickly
Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina intensified to a category 4 storm on Sunday after passing close to Darwin, and is expected to make landfall over the NE corner of Western Australia on Monday afternoon or evening. As of 5am (AWST), Fina was located about 95 km/h from the closest point of the WA coastline at Berkeley River Mouth, and was packing sustained winds near the centre of 185 km/h with gusts to 260 km/h. As Fina continued its relatively slow path towards landfall, the BoM warned that: Very destructive wind gusts to 185 km/h may develop over the coastal areas between King George River Mouth and Berkeley River Mouth on Monday afternoon as Fina approaches the coastline. Heavy to locally intense rainfall which may lead to flash flooding would develop about the northeast Kimberley coast as early as Monday morning. Image: Two-hour satellite and radar loop showing Tropical Cyclone Fina as dawn turned to day in far NE Western Australia on Monday, November 24, 2025. While Fina remains a powerful and potentially destructive cyclone which is expected to cross the coastline as a category 3 storm, there are three main reasons why its damage to human property should be minimal. IT’S A STRONG BUT RELATIVELY SMALL CYLONE: Fina has always been a relatively small cyclone (in terms of area), meaning the zone impacted by cyclonic-strength winds has been constrained to a radius of about 100km from the eye of the storm. FINA WILL MAKE LANDFALL ON A SPARSELY POPULATED AREA OF COASTLINE: While there are some tiny outposts in the area where Fina is likely to make landfall (including the luxury Berkeley River Lodge which is only accessible by air), the only town of note close to the warning zone is Kalumburu (population approx. 400), which is WA’s northernmost town. FINA WILL WEAKEN QUICKLY UPON LANDFALL: Tropical cyclones tend to lose power quickly as they move inland. This is because they rapidly become starved of the warm ocean water which is their fuel. But Fina will also encounter atmospheric conditions – in the form of high wind shear – which ensure it downgrades quickly to a tropical low. Wind shear is a difference in wind direction and/or wind speed across a portion of the atmosphere. Areas of low wind shear enable tropical cyclones to intensify with minimal disruption to their vertical structure. High wind shear does the opposite, effectively tearing the storm apart. That’s why the latest track map for Fina shows it downgrading to a category 1 storm within 12 hours of making landfall, and a tropical low within 24 hours of landfall. Image: The latest track map for Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina issued at 5:00am (AWST) on Monday, November 24, 2025. Source: BoM. Please check the latest warnings for Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina on the Weatherzone tropical cyclone page.
22 Nov 2025, 6:22AM UTC
Fina to pass near Darwin as severe tropical cyclone on Saturday night
Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina will pass near Darwin on Saturday night into Sunday morning, lashing the city and surrounding areas of the northwest Top End with powerful winds, heavy rain and flooding. Fina barrelled over the Cobourg Peninsula on Friday night as a category two system, before strengthening into a category three severe tropical cyclone over the warm Van Diemen Gulf on Saturday morning. This is the first severe tropical cyclone to form in the Australian region during November for 20 years. Video: Composite radar and satellite images showing Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina crossing the Van Diemen Gulf on Saturday. Source: Weatherzone. By 3:30pm ACST on Saturday, Severe Tropical Cyclone Fina was sitting near the south coast of Melville Island, roughly 60 km north of Darwin, with wind gusts reaching around 205 km/h near its core. A few weather stations in the northwest Top End registered wind gusts above 100 km/h on Saturday, including: 104 km/h at Gunn Point shortly before 2:30pm 104 km/h at McCluer Island just before 2pm 102 km/h at Point Stuart at 8:22am Fina has already dumped more than 200 mm of rain over parts of the northern Top End in the last couple of days. Murganella Airstrip picked up 213 mm in the 24 hours to 9am ACST on Saturday, while Point Stuart saw 208 mm in the 27 hours ending at 3pm on Saturday. Impressively, Gunn Point received more than 110 mm in four hours on Saturday afternoon. While Darwin has so far escaped the worst weather from Fina, conditions are expected to rapidly deteriorate as the tropical cyclone gets closer to the city on Saturday afternoon and evening, possibly persisting into Sunday morning. Darwin and surrounding areas could see wind gusts reaching about 120 to 155 km/h on Saturday night. Wind will initially build from the south and southeast, before turning more easterly and then northeasterly as the eye of Fina passes Darwin. These changing wind directions can be dangerous because they expose infrastructure and vegetation to powerful winds from a range of angles. Rainfall rates in the Darwin region could reach 100 to 300mm in 24 hours by Sunday morning, with isolated falls possibly reaching around 500 mm over parts of the northwest Top End. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the 48 hours ending at 9:30pm ACST on Sunday, according to the ECMWF-HRES model. After passing by Darwin, Fina is expected to move over the southern Timor Sea on Sunday into Monday while maintaining severe tropical cyclone intensity, possibly strengthening into a category four system. At this stage, Fina should weaken from Monday into Tuesday as it approaches WA’s north Kimberley coast.