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Scattered showers and storms from northwest WA to the interior, and showers over NSW as moisture is drawn from the tropics in a cloudband. Gusty showers in southwest WA with a cold front. Showers in onshore winds over parts of southern Tas and northeast Qld.
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Today, 4:58AM UTC
What is happening with the Indian Monsoon?
Just as Australia’s tropics see a monsoon season during the Southern Hemisphere’s summer, India and southeast Asia see their monsoon season in the Northern Hemisphere’s summer. Yet India has seen below-average monsoonal rain over the country so far this season. Central and western India have seen a significant rainfall deficit in 2026, mostly because the Indian monsoon has stopped in the country’s east. The dry and hot conditions over central India are so intense that heatwave conditions have been declared for the districts of Vidarbha, Marathwada and Madhya Maharashtra by the Indian Meteorological Department. Image: Percentage difference of cumulative rainfall in 2026 to average rainfall this far in the year for each district (Indian Meteorological Department) So, what is causing this pause in the reach of the Indian Monsoon? A low pressure system which developed over the Mediterranean Sea a fortnight ago slowly traversed the Levant, inland Middle East and Central Asia. The system brought rain, storms and unseasonal snow as it moved away from its home basin of the Mediterranean. This type of system is called a Western Disturbance, and as they move further over land, they draw in upper-level moisture. In this case, the Indian Monsoon loaned itself as a basin for upper-level moisture that this Western Disturbance drew upon. These Disturbances are often stopped by the Himalayas and tend to precipitate themselves dry over India’s north. Image: Map of forecast temperature anomalies, highlighting cold anomalies associated with the movement of a Western Disturbance from June 2nd to June 7th 2026 (DTN APAC using ECMWF). In reality the system moved slower and continues to linger over the Himalaya to June 14th. Consequently, a dry airmass developed in between the moisture of the Western Disturbance in the northwest and the Indian Monsoon in the southeast, leading to the heatwave conditions over the country’s interior. Image: Satellite image of water vapour and forecast wind streamlines over India (Himawari Satellite) Another factor to possibly contributing to the extent of the Indian Monsoon in 2026 is El Nino. El Nino changes the atmospheric circulation over the entire globe, so it doesn’t just effect Australia (see what El Nino means for Australia here). The monsoon tends to strengthen in La Nina events and weaken in El Ninos, though not always, given that other atmospheric factors can be bigger contributors to the monsoon. As seen in the plot below, between 1950 and 2012 there were 14 recorded El Nino events, with 10 resulting in below average monsoonal rainfall and 5 of which were considered droughts. Image: Plot showing an El Nino Southern Oscillation Index (ONI) and the anomalous rainfall from the Indian monsoon per year from 1950 to 2012 (NOAA, adapted from Kumar et al. 2006) It is the combination of the dry airmass over central India, which acts as a wall to the monsoon’s northern reach and the Western Disturbance to the north which are leading to the current dry and warm conditions over India’s western interior. But El Nino may have had an impact on the start of the monsoon and will continue to impact the Indian Monsoon for the rest of the season, contributing to below average rainfall and heatwave conditions over the country.
13 Jun 2026, 6:38AM UTC
Rain spreading across increasingly damp SA, and more to come
Barely a week after a soaking, much of South Australia has had rain this weekend, substantial in some of the state's west and south, with more on the way. Image: satellite, radar, rain observations in the 24 hours to 9am 13 June 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Recent rain in the 24 hours to 9am was the heaviest in - 2 years at Yankalilla (26mm), 11 months at Parawa (44mm), Port Lincoln (27mm), Coulta (28mm) and Inman Valley ( 24mm), and 3-4 months at Ceduna (31mm), Streaky Bay (26mm), Lock (21mm), Kingscote (20mm) and Cummins (18mm). It was also the heaviest June rain in 31 years at Wirrulla (19mm), 13 years at Lock, 12 years at Coulta and 10 years at Ceduna. In the first few days of this month, a 48-hour wet spell bringing widespread 20-to-50mm (as much as 100mm or so in the Adelaide Hills) got winter of to a damp start across the state. The ground was already reasonably well watereed from two rain events in the last few weeks of May. All up, the 30 days to 13th June has been the wettest 30 days in - 5 years at Minlaton (117mm) 4 years at Port Lincoln (120mm), Darke Peak (104mm) and Port Victoria (103mm) 3 years at Mount Lofty (244mm), Birdwood (158mm), Williamstown (143mm), Cummins (107mm), and 2.5 years in some Adelaide suburbs, including West Terrace (119mm), Burnside (147mm) and Hope Valley (107mm). This amount of rainfall is roughly twice the monthly average for this time of year and has boosted soil moisture significantly. Image: Root zone soil moisture measured 12 June 2026, indicating near or above average for the agricultural area apart from the area southeast of Adelaide. Source: BoM. It has been a remarkable turnaround. This time two years ago, the soil was very dry. Much of SA was in drought. Image: Root zone soil moisture measured 12 June 2024, indicating below average or very much below average for the agricultural area, even in the lowest 1% in the area southeast of Adelaide. Source: BoM. Looking ahead, widespread rainfall of 20-to-50mm with isolated falls exceeding 100mm can be expected across SA's agricultural area. This outcome is due to moisture from the Indian Ocean feeding a likely slow-moving low pressure system. Image: Forecast rainfall for the 7 days to 9:30pm CST according to ECMWF model. Source: Weatherzone.
12 Jun 2026, 1:47AM UTC
Northwest cloudband soaks WA, southern Australia next in line
Parts of Western Australia have recorded their wettest June day in years as a northwest cloudband caused widespread rain across the state. This system will now move east, causing rain to spread across parts of South Australia, Victoria, Tasmania, New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory this weekend. The animation below shows a large cloudband extending over Australia from the Indian Ocean on Thursday night into Friday morning. This feature – known as a northwest cloudband – is transporting copious tropical moisture from the Indian Ocean towards Australia. Image: Enhanced water vapour satellite images showing a northwest cloudband forming over Australia on Thursday and Friday this week. Source: Weatherzone. Parts of WA received 20 to 40 mm of rain during the 24 hours ending at 9am AWST on Friday, with isolated falls above 80 mm. Some of the standout totals in this period included: 81 mm at Shark Bay, its heaviest June daily rain in 8 years 53 mm at Emu Spring 33 mm at Mount Magnet, its wettest June day in 30 years 27.6 mm at Onslow Airport, its wettest June day in 7 years Rain will continue to spread over a broad area of WA on Friday, with a rainband extending from the Pilbara across the state’s interior towards the Eucla district in the far southeast. This rain, combined with what’s already fallen over the last couple of days, could cause flooding and cut off roads in parts of WA on Friday. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the 24 hours ending at 8 pm AWST on Friday, June 12, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Rain spreading east After drenching WA, the northwest cloudband will track eastward over the weekend, causing rain to spread over parts of SA, Vic, Tas, NSW and the ACT. Image: Forecast graph for Adelaide on the Weatherzone app, showing an increasing chance of rain on Saturday. The heaviest rain this weekend will occur over SA, Vic and Tas and the southern ranges in NSW. Accumulated rainfall totals in these areas could reach around 10 to 20 mm, with some areas likely to see falls exceeding 40 mm, most likely in western Tas. The map below shows how much rain is expected to fall during the three-day period from Friday to Sunday. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the 72 hours ending at 10pm AEST on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Looking ahead, another northwest cloudband could develop over WA and SA between Monday and Wednesday next week, causing further widespread rain across the two states. There are signs that this cloudband and its rain will also affect a large area of eastern and southeastern Australia during the second half of next week. While it’s still too early to know how this next system will develop with much certainty, there is potential for decent rain across parts every Australian state and territory next week.