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A cold front is triggering a line of showers and thunderstorms over eastern WA and western SA. Onshore winds are steering showers across the coasts of northeast NSW, east Qld and southwest WA. An unstable air mass is producing isolated showers & storms over the Top End.
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Today, 3:29AM UTC
Giant atmospheric waves to increase tropical cyclone risk near Australia next week
There are early signs that a strong tropical cyclone could spin up over the Coral Sea next week as three broad-scale tropical atmospheric waves converge to the northeast of Australia. What are tropical atmospheric waves? Weather in Earth’s tropical regions is influenced by large-scale areas of low and high pressure moving through the atmosphere. These ‘tropical waves’ can enhance or suppress rainfall and thunderstorms and help create tropical cyclones. There are four main atmospheric waves that affect tropical weather in the Australian region: The Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO) moves around the planet near the equator from west to east, causing an area of increased cloud and rainfall that recurs roughly every 30 to 60 days. Equatorial Kelvin waves, which also move from west to east, are alternating areas of high and low pressure that cause alternating regions of cloudiness/rainfall and clear weather. These waves move around 2 to 3 times faster than the MJO. Equatorial Rossby waves are alternating areas of high and low pressure that sit around 10 degrees north and south of the equator and move from east to west. These waves can cause low pressure systems and regions of cloud and rain to mirror each other at similar longitudes on both sides of the equator. These waves travel at a similar speed to the MJO, but in the opposite direction. Mixed Rossby-Gravity waves move from east to west and are much faster than regular Equatorial Rossby waves. They cause contrasting areas of high and low pressure on either side of the equator, which can cause enhanced cloudiness and rainfall on one side of the equator and dry weather on the other. Image: Equatorial Rossby wave forecast for April 6, 2026, showing enhanced cloudiness to the northeast of Australia (cyan regions mirrored to the north and south of the equator). Source: Bureau of Meteorology. Three waves converging next week Three of the four tropical waves mentioned above are expected to converge near Australia next week. An active pulse of the Madden-Julian Oscillation will interact with a Kelvin wave and an Equatorial Rossby wave to the northeast of Australia during the first week of April. This convergence of three tropical atmospheric waves is likely to enhance cloudiness and rainfall over the western Pacific Ocean, possibly including parts of the Solomon Islands, Papua New Guinea, Indonesia and northern Australia. The influence of the Equatorial Rossby wave may cause two areas of low pressure to spin up next week, one in the Southern Hemisphere near the Solomon Islands and another at a similar longitude in the Northern Hemisphere. Image: Modelled water vapour and 850 hPa wind showing twin tropical lows on either side of the equator on April 7, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. There are early indications that the Southern Hemisphere low pressure system could intensify over the warm northern Coral Sea, where sea surface temperatures are currently 28 to 30°C, possibly becoming a tropical cyclone mid- to late next week. Some models even suggest it could become a severe tropical cyclone. It’s too early to know with much confidence if there will be a tropical cyclone over the Coral Sea next week and if so, whether it will approach eastern Australia or remain offshore. However, with three tropical atmospheric waves converging in the region, meteorologists will be keeping a close eye on the Coral Sea region as we head into the first half of April.
Today, 12:20AM UTC
Gascoyne River flows through Carnarvon following Cyclone Narelle deluge
Satellites have captured muddied floodwater flowing out of the Gascoyne River into the Indian Ocean as rainfall from Tropical Cyclone Narelle continues to flow through Carnarvon. Heavy rain fell over Western Australia’s Gascoyne district last Friday as Tropical Cyclone Narelle made landfall and carried a huge amount of tropical moisture over northwestern Australia. Narelle's landfall caused more than 100 mm of rain to soak parts of the Gascoyne River catchment, with 112 mm falling at Dalgety Downs Airstrip and 108 mm at Winderie Airstrip during the 24 hours to 9 am AWST on Saturday, March 28, 2026. This heavy inland rain fed into the Gascoyne River over the weekend, causing the ephemeral river – meaning it only flows following rain – to rise rapidly. Locals watched on in excitement as the river started flowing under Nine Mile Bridge on Sunday evening, March 29. The water started passing beneath the bridge around 7pm AWST on Sunday and by 7 am Monday, just 12 hours later, the river had risen by 7.8 metres. Image: River height observations over the past week for the Gascoyne River and Nine Mile Bridge in WA, showing floodwater arriving from Sunday evening. Source: Bureau of Meteorology. The river level at Nine Mile Bridge peaked in the early hours of Monday morning and has been steadily dropping throughout Monday into Tuesday, in response to drier weather across the region. The satellite images below show muddied floodwater flowing into the Indian Ocean from the Gascoyne River on Monday. Images: Visible true colour satellite images showing floodwater from the Gascoyne River flowing into the Indian Ocean near Carnarvon, WA. Source: Weatherzone. Drier weather will persist over northwestern Australia for at least the remainder of this week, allowing floodwater to gradually recede. At this stage there are no signs of heavy rain or tropical cyclone activity in WA during the next two weeks. However, further rain is possible in the coming weeks as the wet season officially runs until the end of April.
30 Mar 2026, 12:18AM UTC
Warming trend after snowy, frosty weekend
Australia's southeastern corner shivered through its coldest spell of the year from Friday into the weekend, but the new week promises much milder temperatures before another cool spell sets in over Easter. Snow accumulated to a depth of around 20 centimetres in the Snowy Mountains of New South Wales and the Victorian Alps on Friday, allowing locals to break the skis out of the cupboard and enjoy the first turns of 2026, as long as they were prepared to hike uphill first. Image: A snow gum near Charlotte Pass, NSW, pictured during the late March cold outbreak. Source: Steve Smith. Flakes even fell as far north as the NSW Central Tablelands, with snow blanketing the ground near Orange, especially on the 1397 metre summit of Mount Canobolas, 20 minutes southwest of town. Subzero minimums were recorded in elevated parts of Victoria, NSW, Tasmania, and the ACT, while numerous nearby locations recorded their coldest night of the year to date, including Canberra, where the mercury dipped to 4.3°C on Sunday morning. As you can see below on Saturday morning’s satellite and radar loop over SE Australia, the majority of moisture and the coldest air (indicated by the speckled cloud pattern) had moved off the NSW coast by early in the weekend. In its wake, drier air meant generally fine conditions with unseasonably cool nights prevailing. Image: 12-hour combined satellite and radar loop over SE Australia on the morning of Saturday, March 28, 2026. With the working week upon us, a warming trend is now well and truly underway. Both Sydney and Melbourne can expect maximums in the mid-to-high twenties until at least Thursday, with most other locations across the southeast also warming rapidly. Even Hobart should reach 27°C on Tuesday, while Adelaide should hit 30°C that day. The end of the week will continue the classic see-saw pattern often experienced in southern Australia in both autumn and spring, as another chilly airmass arrives from the south. Image: Thick snow on the upper slopes of Thredbo on Friday, March 27, 2026. Source: Thredbo. That means that the Easter break will be significantly cooler across the southeast, however shower activity should be minimal in most locations. One exception is Sydney and the NSW coast, where showers could make the annual Easter egg hunt a little soggy even if the persistent heavy rain which sometimes sets in at this time of year is unlikely.