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An unstable airmass ahead of a low is bringing showers to southeast NSW and Vic. A few thunderstorms are developing over southern inland WA, while a cloudband delivers patchy rain to southwest WA. Moist easterly winds are also bringing a few showers to the far northern tropics.
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05 Apr 2026, 11:46PM UTC
Severe storms ahead of wintry blast in southeast Australia late this week
A vigorous cold front and associated troughs are set to sweep across southeast Australia late this week, bringing a round of severe thunderstorms before a sharp transition to wintry conditions into the weekend. Ahead of the front, a prefrontal trough will move across southeast Australia on Thursday 9th, helping to spark severe thunderstorms across parts of southern SA, Vic and southern NSW. With strong winds aloft, these storms are likely to produce damaging wind gusts, with a chance of destructive winds in some areas. Independent of thunderstorms, a tightening pressure gradient will bring strong northerly to northwesterly winds, with gusts exceeding 80 km/h over elevated terrain, and reaching 90-100 km/h over the ranges of Vic, alpine regions and parts of Tas. Image: Mean sea level pressure, ECMWF 3-hourly rainfall and GFS thunderstorm forecast for 1pm EST Thursday 9th April 2026. Pre-frontal trough forecast to affect southeast Australia with severe thunderstorms. After the cold front crosses later on Thursday, a much colder airmass will sweep across the southeast on Friday 10th, with a secondary trough and low driving a noticeable shift to wintry conditions into the weekend. Conditions will become increasingly windy, with gusts potentially exceeding 100 km/h across exposed and elevated areas Image: Access-G 10m wind gusts for 10am EST Friday 10th April 2026. As colder air deepens across the region, snow may fall as low as around 600 metres in parts of Tas, while the odd flurry may extend into the Victorian ranges above 1000 metres if the cold air pushes far enough north. Cold air thunderstorms with small hail are also possible, marking a notable early-season wintry outbreak for April across southeast Australia. Image: ECMWF precipitation type for 7am EST Saturday 11th April 2026.
04 Apr 2026, 11:20PM UTC
Tropical Cyclone Maila develops in the Solomon Sea, possible track towards Far North Qld
Australia’s 2025–26 cyclone season has already been an active one. After Severe Tropical Cyclone Narelle hammered three states in March, another system has spun up in the Solomon Sea, with the potential to approach and impact Far North Queensland later this week. Tropical Cyclone Maila is the 11th named tropical cyclone to form in or move into the Australian region this season. It is also the first cyclone named by TCWC Port Moresby since Cyclone Guba in 2007. Current status and intensity BoM’s latest technical bulletin indicates that Maila is a Category 1 tropical cyclone, with 10-minute sustained winds around 45 knots (~85 km/h) and gusts to 65 knots (~120 km/h). At 18:00 UTC on 4 April, the cyclone’s centre was about 810 km east of Port Moresby, and it was moving west-northwest. The environment is favourable for further strengthening, and models indicate the cyclone should reach severe intensity (Category 3) late Sunday or early Monday. Image: Enhanced infrared satellite image showing Tropical Cyclone Maila over the Solomon Sea on Sunday morning. Source: Weatherzone. Forecast BoM’s track map and technical bulletin indicate that steering influences around Maila are balanced, with a ridge to the south and northwesterly flow to the north. As a result, the cyclone is expected to drift slowly over the Solomon Sea for several days. Image: Forecast track map from the Bureau of Meteorology, issued at 04:40 am AEST on Sunday, April 5, 2026. Source: Bureau of Meteorology. Beyond midweek, the steering pattern may change. A strengthening mid-level ridge to the east may steer Maila towards the southwest into the Coral Sea. Model guidance diverges considerably after this point, so confidence in the long-term track is low. Some scenarios suggest the cyclone could approach and impact Far North Queensland late this week into the weekend. Should it cross the Cape York Peninsula, the system could weaken over land and then reintensify in the Gulf of Carpentaria, before impacting the eastern Top End early next week as it moves west. A few models even hint at the system moving westward into waters north of the Kimberley, but confidence in any scenario beyond five days is, at this stage, low. Image: GFS and ECMWF track guidance for Tropical Cyclone Maila showing potential paths towards Australia. Source: TropicalTidbits.com. What it means for Queensland and the NT For now, Maila is a remote cyclone intensifying over the Solomon Sea, with no direct impact expected until late in the week. Residents of Far North Queensland, Cape York and the Gulf of Carpentaria should monitor updates later this week as the steering pattern becomes clearer. If Maila does move southwest towards the Coral Sea and maintain intensity, it could bring heavy rain, damaging winds and flooding to northern communities over the weekend, similar to the impacts seen with Narelle in March. Meanwhile, Northern Territory communities should be aware that a weakened or redeveloped system could bring heavy rainfall to the Top End early next week. It is too early to speculate on any possible impact on Western Australia, but the potential for Maila to travel through three Australian cyclone regions—like Narelle did—cannot be ruled out.
03 Apr 2026, 9:57PM UTC
Showery start, brighter finish for Sydney's Easter long weekend
It’s been a showery Easter so far across Sydney, as a front moved into the Tasman Sea on Good Friday, driving a gusty southerly change and periods of heavy showers. This unsettled pattern is set to linger into the first half of Easter Sunday, before a gradual drying trend develops. Saturday will remain the wettest and most overcast day, with a high chance of showers through much of the day, gusty southeasterly winds, and a further 5-15 mm of rainfall expected, after 10-20 mm has already fallen along the Sydney coast since last night. Temperatures will stay on the mild side, hovering in the low 20s under thick cloud cover. Conditions will begin to improve on Easter Sunday, although showers are still likely during the morning and afternoon. Cloud will slowly break at times, allowing for brighter periods, while temperatures reach the low to mid 20s. Showers will ease through the day, with longer dry breaks developing as conditions gradually clear. Image: Accumulated rainfall to Sunday 10pm, April 5, 2026 (5-20mm), according to the ECMWF model. Source: Weatherzone By Easter Monday, the improvement will become more noticeable. A cloudy start will give way to partly cloudy skies, with sunshine returning and dry conditions expected. Temperatures will lift into the mid 20s, offering a much more pleasant end to the long weekend and better opportunities to enjoy outdoor plans.