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First extreme fire danger rating of the season for Darwin

Felix Levesque
Image: High to extreme fire danger ratings across many northern Australian fire districts on Sunday, August 17, 2025. Source: Weatherzone
Image: High to extreme fire danger ratings across many northern Australian fire districts on Sunday, August 17, 2025. Source: Weatherzone

Increased fire danger across parts of northern Australia, including Darwin, comes with a surge of hot and dry winds from the interior.

75 days without rain

The dry season is living up to its name for Darwin and the Northern Territory, with over 75 days since the last rain recorded in Darwin. This allows the vegetation across northern Australia to dry out and cure – priming it to ignite into a blaze at the smallest of flames.

Hot and dry conditions over the past 10 days have led to multiple bushfires raging across the landscape. One blaze near Katherine, at the intersection of the Victoria and Stuart Highways about a three and a half hours’ drive southeast of Darwin, has been active over the past two weeks.

Bushfire smoke plumes can be seen streaking across the Top End on Tuesday, August 12, 2025.

Image: Bushfire smoke plumes can be seen streaking across the Top End on Tuesday, August 12, 2025.

This bushfire area now spans about 2,250 km2 and is currently in a "Being Controlled" status by the NT Fire Service. An expansive plume of smoke can be seen propagating in the east-to-southeast trade winds on Friday.

Widespread smoke extending west of a bushfire near Katherine on Friday morning, August 15, 2025.

Image: Widespread smoke extending west of a bushfire near Katherine on Friday morning, August 15, 2025.

Extreme Fire Danger on the way for Darwin

A surge of hot, dry and gusty southeasterly winds will move over northern Australia this weekend, bringing dangerous bushfire conditions. Darwin is currently forecast to experience its first Extreme Fire Danger Rating of the season on Sunday, with parts of the Barkly fire district possibly coming close to the Extreme rating as well.

Hot, dry and gusty southeasterly winds will move over northern Australia on Sunday, August 17, 2025.

Image: Hot, dry and gusty southeasterly winds will move over northern Australia on Sunday, August 17, 2025.

Daily Forecast for Darwin, NT, showing an Extreme Fire Danger Rating on Sunday, August 17, 2025, on the Weatherzone app.

Image: Daily Forecast for Darwin, NT, showing an Extreme Fire Danger Rating on Sunday, August 17, 2025, on the Weatherzone app. 

In 2024, the Darwin and Adelaide River fire district (which includes Darwin) experienced nine days of Extreme Fire Danger Ratings between September 2nd and 14th, so this Sunday’s first Extreme day comes about two weeks ahead of last year.

A busy northern Australia fire season underway

As seen in our spring outlook, parts of northern Australia could experience a particularly hot and dry start to spring, leading to an active and busy bushfire season.

Read more: Australia’s spring outlook

Image: Probability of exceeding median rainfall during September 2025, according to the ECMWF SEAS5 model.

Image: Probability of exceeding median maximum temperature during September 2025, according to the ECMWF SEAS5 model.

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