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Cold and gusty southerly winds in the wake of a cold front send gusty showers to parts of Tas, Vic and eastern NSW. A humid, unstable airmass is triggering thunderstorms over the central interior and central Qld. Hot winds east of the system bring hot, gusty conditions to SE Qld.
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Today, 12:14AM UTC
Strongest southerly of spring surging up east coast
A strong southerly change is surging up the east coast this Monday, pushing coastal showers and unseasonably cool temperatures all the way to the Queensland border and beyond by Tuesday. The cold airmass is already entrenched in Australia’s two southernmost capital cities, with Hobart and Melbourne heading for Monday maximums of just 13°C and 14°C respectively, just five weeks before the start of summer, with light snowfalls in elevated parts of Tasmania. Image: Temperatures at the 850 hPa level in the atmosphere (which equates to about 1500m above sea level) showing cold air pushing north along the coast and adjacent ranges on Monday, October 27, 2025. Sydney will begin to feel the chill on Monday afternoon with a sharp temperature drop of 5-7 degrees expected after the mercury peaks in the mid-20s just after midday. In Brisbane, the temperature change will be even more dramatic, although the coolest air won’t arrive until the late hours of Monday or the early hours of Tuesday morning. Image: A speckled cloud field (typically associated with a cold airmass with polar origins) can be seen off the SE corner of Australia on Monday, October 27, 2025, and is pushing north along the coast. Brisbane has had a hot spell of late, with six of the last 10 days topping 30°C in a month when the average maximum over the last 30 years has been 27.1°C. After a dynamic Sunday in Brisbane with severe storms and large hailstones in some suburbs, the heat has intensified this Monday, with the mercury already reaching 34.2°C at 9:30am (AEST) on the way to a predicted maximum of 37°C. On Tuesday, Brisbane’s maximum could be as chilly as just 21°C under frequent showers and southeasterly winds, making a potential 16-degree maximum temperature difference in two days. That’s the sort of spring temperature see-saw which is much more common in cities like Melbourne. Image: Hot, cold, then close to average for Brisbane over the next four days, as seen in the Daily Forecast on the Weatherzone app. Brisbane will gradually warm up as the week progresses, with maximums hovering around the monthly average for a good stretch from Thursday onwards.
26 Oct 2025, 6:11AM UTC
Severe thunderstorms lash three states and two capitals
Parts of Qld, NSW and Vic are being hammered by severe thunderstorms on Sunday afternoon. Over 200,000 lightning strikes have been recorded over Qld alone. A further 150,000 lightning strikes have been recorded over NSW and Vic. Melbourne has already faced off with a severe cell at about 4:30pm EDT. Warnings were issued for the city as well as for the bay. Image: Himawari-9 satellite imagery with Weatherzone lightning and BOM radar at 4:30pm EDT. Brisbane is next up in the firing line with dangerous supercells forming along a trough line and heading in different directions with some heading for Brisbane, the Gold Coast and the Sunshine Coast. Image: Himawari-9 satellite imagery with Weatherzone lightning strikes and BOM radar at 5:04pm EDT. Supercell thunderstorms can be seen heading for Brisbane. Please stay up to date with the latest warnings at: weather warnings
25 Oct 2025, 7:06AM UTC
Tropical Storm Melissa set to hook into Jamaica as major hurricane
Tropical Storm (TS) Melissa is set to impact Jamaica as a major hurricane early next week as the slow-moving system moves into a highly favourable environment for rapid intensification. While TS Melissa is already sitting over a very warm Caribbean Sea, it is forecast to shift slowly west-northwestward into even warmer water over the next 48 hours. There will also be low wind shear in this area, allowing the system to rapidly intensify into a major hurricane. Image: Sea surface temperature in the Caribbean Sea. Here, the ECMWF model is projecting that TS Melissa will move into the warmer waters shown in dark red by early morning on Monday, October 27. Melissa is then expected to shift northeast, potentially landing a direct hit on Jamaica during Tuesday, October 28. Parts of Jamaica could see sustained winds of 200km/h, gusting above 250km/h, and accumulate as much as 550 mm of rain as a result of Melissa's destructive power, while Jamaica's southern coast could experience a dangerous storm surge. Image: ECMWF wind gust forecasts at 18:00 UTC (about midday Jamaica time) on Tuesday, 28 October. The white blob near Jamaica's southernmost tip indicates wind gusts exceeding 250 km/h. Image: 24-hour rain accumulations to 06:00 UTC (1am Jamaica time), Wednesday, October 29. After impacting Jamaica, the system will continue its track to the northeast, hitting eastern Cuba, then the Bahamas, before tracking into the Atlantic, well east of the continental United States. Image: Forecast track and cone of uncertainty for Tropical Storm/Hurricane Melissa over the next few days. Source: NOAA From there, Melissa may track towards Canada, possibly impacting Canada's far eastern provinces as an ex-tropical storm late next week.