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A low, trough and front are bringing rain, gusty showers and isolated storms to SA, western NSW, Vic and Tas. Unstable air is bringing the odd storm to the NT and northeast WA. Onshore winds directed by a high to the south bring showers to WA's south and eastern NSW and Qld.
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06 Nov 2025, 10:35PM UTC
Dramatic NSW temperature drop this weekend
New South Wales is set for a weekend of dramatically contrasting temperatures as an approaching cold front causes a surge of warmth followed by an unseasonable late spring chill. Western parts of the state will actually have their warmest day this Friday with the cool air kicking in by Saturday, while the heat will peak in eastern parts of NSW on Saturday before most locations lose at least 10 degrees for their Sunday maximums. Image: Predicted maximums in NSW this Saturday according to the ECMWF model. Image: Predicted maximums in NSW this Sunday according to the ECMWF model. The contrasting maximums are well illustrated in the two images above, and also in the weekend forecasts for a selection of well-known NSW locations representing six distinct forecast districts: Penrith: 36°C Saturday, 24°C, Sunday Sydney: 33°C Saturday 22°C, Sunday Nowra: 33°C Saturday, 19°C Sunday Dubbo: 33°C Saturday, 23°C Sunday Newcastle: 32°C Saturday, 23°C Sunday Goulburn: 26°C Saturday, 16°C Sunday Orange: 24°C Saturday, 13°C Sunday You’ll notice that the last two spots on the above list – Goulburn and Orange, on the Southern and Central Tablelands respectively – will both be very cool for November on Sunday. Canberra's maximum will also drop 10 degrees from 27°C on Saturday to 17°C on Sunday (its average November maximum is 24.9°C), while snow is expected at higher elevations of the Victorian Alps and NSW Snowy Mountains. As you'd expect with a brief period of dramatically contrasting temperatures in southern Australia in spring, stormy conditions will develop as the warm and cool airmasses clash. While no severe weather warnings are currently in place for NSW, it will pay to keep checking the Weatherzone warnings page. For Sydney, there’s the slight chance of storms on Friday night onwards, although Saturday looks more likely.
06 Nov 2025, 4:35AM UTC
Melbourne will feel colder than 8°C for most of Saturday
A burst of very cold air for this time of year will chill Melbourne on Saturday after a brief outbreak of warmth on Friday. Friday's predicted top in Melbourne is 28°C, while on Saturday, the mercury is expected to peak at just 14°C – but due to showers and cold blustery southwesterlies, Saturday's apparent (or "feels like") temperature will be below 8°C from midday onwards. While rapid day-to-day temperature fluctuations are commonplace in Melbourne during spring, it’s still worth putting those two maximum temperatures in perspective. Melbourne can obviously get well up into the 40s in summer, but because a cool southerly so often follows extreme heat, the average maximum in January (the warmest month) is 26°C. This Friday’s high should be two degrees warmer. Melbourne’s average maximum in July (the coolest month) is 13.5°C. This Saturday’s high will be very much in that neighbourhood. So it’ll be a taste of summer, then a taste of winter for our southernmost mainland capital as the working week merges into the weekend, with the chance of snowfalls in the Victorian Alps (and Snowy Mountains of NSW) for the second time this week. Image: Maximum temperatures across Victoria and adjacent areas according to the ECMWF model for Friday, November 7, 2025. The cause is an approaching cold front. Ahead of the front, warm dry northerlies will push across Victoria. By Friday afternoon, a trough ahead of the front will generate widespread showers and storms, with showers likely in Melbourne by the evening. Behind the front, air with polar origins moves over most of Victoria, with persistent rain or showers keeping a firm lid on temperatures. Image: Maximum temperatures across Victoria and adjacent areas according to the ECMWF model for Saturday, November 8, 2025. While Saturday will be far from ideal for outdoor activities in Melbourne, it will continue the recent spell of wet days. Rain fell on four of the first five days of November 2025 in Melbourne, with 39mm accumulated to date, which is roughly two thirds of the monthly average of 59mm. With 5 to 10mm possible on Friday and 10-20mm on Saturday, it’s conceivable that Melbourne could exceed its November rainfall average after the first eight days of the month. That would make two consecutive months of above-average rainfall – a statistic any Melburnian with a garden would welcome after seven of the eight months from February through to September saw below-average rainfall totals. Image: Graph showing the last 12 months of Melbourne rainfall (compared to the monthly averages in pale blue) with the final column including rainfall up to November 5, 2025. Over the first 10 months of 2025, Melbourne had received only about 80% of its running rainfall average. Our Melbourne forecast is here.
06 Nov 2025, 3:16AM UTC
WA registers 1.5 million lightning pulses in two days
A massive amount of lightning has occurred over Western Australia during the last 48 hours as a low pressure system caused widespread thunderstorms across the state. Storms spread across WA on Tuesday and Wednesday as the low pressure system and an associated low pressure trough passed over the state while interacting with a stream of tropical moisture. This setup was ideal for thunderstorm development, with ample atmospheric instability and plenty of moisture to fuel storms throughout both day and night. Image: Composite satellite and lightning observations showing thunderstorms over WA on Wednesday, November 5, 2025. Source: Weatherzone Weatherzone’s lightning network detected around 1,552,200 lightning pulses over WA during the 48 hours ending at 8am AWST on Thursday. Some of these storms were severe, prompting warnings for large hail, damaging winds and heavy rain. A particularly intense area of thunderstorm activity developed over the South Interior and Goldfields on Wednesday afternoon and night. These storms caused around 655,200 lightning pulses within 600 km of Laverton between Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning. Image: The red symbols show where lightning pulses were detected within 600 km of Laverton between 2pm AWST on Wednesday and 3am AWST on Thursday. Showers and thunderstorms will spread further east over the next few days as the trough continues to track across the country. This system will cause rain or storms over part of every state and territory between Thursday and Sunday. Severe thunderstorms are possible in several states over the next few days, so be sure to check the latest forecasts and warnings in your area.