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A low is sending a cold front across the southeast, bringing a burst of very strong, gusty winds & showers to Tas, southern SA, Vic & southern NSW. Showers and storms, some intense, are scattering across northern WA, the NT, Qld, and northeast NSW in broad heat troughs.
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Today, 12:05AM UTC
Severe weather warnings in five states as wind gusts to 163 km/h in Tasmania
Wild winds on Friday morning have prompted severe weather warnings for damaging or destructive winds in SA, Vic, NSW, Tasmania and the ACT, as a cold front surges over southeastern Australia. The engine driving the severe weather is a strong low pressure system over the Southern Ocean, and while the low is centred well south of Tasmania, the winds circulating it are still strong enough to lash that state and southeastern parts of the mainland. Not long after sunrise on Friday, a gust of 120 km/h was recorded at Mt William in Victoria’s Grampians, A short while later, a gust of 139 km/h was recorded at Scotts Peak in Tasmania's southwest, marking the sixth straight day when Scotts Peak’s strongest wind gust exceeded 100 km/h. Friday's strongest gust of 163 km/h came at 3:00pm (AEDT) at the notoriously windy Maatsuyker Island on the the southern tip of Tasmania. Like Scotts Peak, Maatsuyker Island has also seen six days of remarkably strong winds, with a sequence of peak gusts from Sunday through to Friday morning of 139 km/h, 137 km/h, 133 km/h, 135 km/h, 113 km/h and 163 km/h. Series of sliding cold fronts drawing a northwest cloud band across southern Australia this week. pic.twitter.com/sH2tksDWuo — Andrew Miskelly (@andrewmiskelly) October 9, 2025 The relentless run of extreme winds is illustrated in the loop above, which shows the vigorous eastward progress of Southern Ocean cold fronts in what is a classic spring weather pattern. As you’d expect with this sort of system, western Tasmania has received significant rainfall in addition to strong winds, with 7-day totals nudging 100mm at some spots. Tasmania’s east coast tends to receive much less rain with westerly systems, but Hobart received 10.4mm overnight with rain continuing into Friday morning. Locals will likely appreciate the damp weather, as the city received just three quarters of its average rainfall over the first nine months of 2025. Unfortunately for parts of Victoria, SA and NSW which need rain, the current system is bringing drying winds with the prospect of only light brief showers in most forecast districts. Melbourne has endured below-average rainfall in all but two months of 2025 to date, and October has been relatively dry too, with just 8mm recorded so far. Friday is expected to stay mostly dry, although there’s the prospect of showers this weekend.
09 Oct 2025, 3:15AM UTC
Dry lightning causing fires in eastern Australia
Thunderstorms with little to no rainfall have been igniting fires and causing damaging winds in parts of eastern Australia this week. On Wednesday, numerous fires were triggered by dry lightning as high-based severe thunderstorms tracked over central NSW. These storms also caused damaging wind gusts in some areas. The satellite loop below shows a cloudband moving over NSW on Wednesday afternoon and evening. Clear skies through the earlier part of the day allowed ample surface heating, helping fuel instability and trigger high-based thunderstorms embedded in the cloudband. Image: Visible satellite imagery, radar (green) and lightning (purple) on the afternoon and evening of Wednesday, October 8, 2025. Beneath the cloudband, hot and dry northwesterly winds made for a very dry sub-cloud layer that rapidly evaporated any precipitation falling from the cloudband and its thunderstorms. By the time the first round of thunderstorms had moved out over the Tasman Sea, the most rainfall accumulated in a rain gauge was about 3 mm at Shooters Hill, south of Oberon. Image: DTN Quantitative Precipitation Estimate (QPE) and observed rainfall since 9am across the region to 9pm. Wednesday's mostly dry thunderstorms followed a relatively dry spell in the preceding 4-5 weeks, which resulted from a rare Sudden Stratosphere Warming (SSW) event above Antarctica in September and early October. This prolonged lack of rain has primed the landscape and vegetation in the region for fires. DTN’s Total Lightning Network (TLN) recorded over 16,500 lightning strikes within 300km of Lithgow between 4pm and 10pm on Wednesday. Of these strikes, 2,545 were cloud-to-ground lightning capable of igniting fires. Image: The red squares and crosses show the 16,558 lightning strikes detected within 300 kilometres of Lithgow between 4pm and 10pm AEDT on Wednesday, October 7, 2025. The NSW Rural Fire Service was managing over 40 active fires across NSW on Wednesday when response to at least two additional bushfires was needed following the passage of the thunderstorms in the Oberon region. The very dry layer below the cloudband, along with strong winds in the upper parts of the atmosphere also brought damaging wind gusts to the region. The strongest wind gusts reported were: 98km/h at Bellambi (Illawarra) 96km/h at High Range (Illawarra) 82km/h at Mudgee (Central Tablelands) 80km/h at Cessnock (Hunter) 78km/h at Orange (Central Tablelands) and Merriwa (Hunter) Strong and gusty winds help fan bushfire flames and promote erratic, unpredictable fire behaviour, making it difficult for fire management agencies to contain them. Active thunderstorm period in the coming days Unfortunately for fire management agencies, thunderstorms are once again on the cards for central and northern NSW on Thursday, before moving into northeastern NSW and Queensland on Friday. Widespread severe thunderstorms are expected to develop with a broad low pressure trough over the Northern Territory, northern South Australia, NSW and Queensland this weekend. Enhancing this thunderstorm activity will be very warm air across central and eastern Australia, bringing an elevated bushfire risk period lasting until early next week. Image: GFS thunderstorm forecast at 2pm AEDT on Sunday, October 12, 2025. Be sure to check the latest weather and fire warnings in your area over the coming week.
08 Oct 2025, 11:07PM UTC
28 degrees at midnight: Sydney's warmest night in seven months
A blanket of cloud trapping warm air near the surface and a midnight wind change just caused Sydney to experience its warmest night in seven months. After cooling to the low 20s late on Wednesday night, a west-northwesterly wind change caused warm inland air to drift over Sydney’s CBD from around 11pm. By midnight, the temperature in the city had climbed to 27.7°C as the warm winds gusted above 50 km/h. Image: Temperature observations on the Weatherzone app for Sydney Observatory Hill, showing the temperature rising to 27.7°C at midnight. The overnight warmth was exacerbated by a blanket of high cloud drifting over eastern NSW, which trapped heat near the surface by preventing it from radiate out into space. Sydney’s lowest temperature on Wednesday night into Thursday morning was 22.2°C, which occurred at 6:45am shortly after sunrise. This was about 8.5°C above average for a minimum temperature at this time of year and equal to the city’s average maximum temperature in October. Sydney hasn’t had a night this warm since a low of 24.5°C on March 16, almost seven months ago. It’s not unusual for Sydney and other areas of Australia's east coast to experience bursts of warmth at this time of year. While the oceans to the east are still relatively cool in October, rising temperatures over Australia’s interior acts as a source of heat that can get pushed towards the coast under certain weather patterns. There has been no shortage of hot air in western NSW this week, with maximum temperatures at Brewon, to the southwest of Walgett, reaching 37.8°C on Monday and 37.2°C on Wednesday. Sydney is forecast to remain several degrees warmer than average for the rest of this week, with maximums in the high 20s and minimums in the high teens. Cooler temperatures will return from Monday under the influence of a southerly wind change. Image: Daily forecasts for Sydney in the Weatherzone app, showing warmth persisting until the end of this week.