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Anthony Sharwood, 05 Mar 2024, 11:52 PM UTC

Heatwave tracking east for the weekend

Heatwave tracking east for the weekend

It's still only early autumn so you expect some summery heat to be sticking around, and the whole of southeastern Australia is in for a prolonged warm spell with temperatures set to peak this coming weekend. 

  • For Adelaide, the hot weather started on Tuesday with a top of 34.1°C and continues this Wednesday with a top of 34°C expected, followed by 33°C on Thursday, 36°C on Friday, 39°C on Saturday, 36°C on Sunday, 36°C on Monday, and 32°C next Tuesday.
  • Melbourne will be the next capital to feel the heat, rising rapidly from the mid-20s in the working week to a scorching 38°C on Saturday, with top temps remaining in the 30s for at least a couple of days.
  • Canberra will also see a run of at least five days with maximums of 30°C or higher, while the east coast will be spared the hottest weather, with temps only nudging 30°C from Brisbane southwards to Sydney, although western Sydney will likely reach the mid-30s.

The culprit for this warm autumn spell is what's known as a "blocking high" – a strong high pressure system which forms further south than usual. Typically, blocking highs are slow-moving, which allows heat to build up as the progression of weather systems across southern Australia is blocked.

The Saturday chart above showing the high centred over the Tasman Sea is a classic example, with hot northerly winds circulating anticlockwise around the high.

The buildup of heat enabled by the blocking high will create low-to-severe intensity heatwave conditions in at least four states plus the ACT, with max temps reaching close to 40°C for up to a week in northwestern Victoria and far western New South Wales. 

Be sure to check our warnings page for the latest info on heatwaves and other severe weather.

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