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Dry and warm end to 2019 for most of Australia

Ben Domensino, Wednesday October 2, 2019 - 14:31 EST

After one of Australia's warmest and driest starts to a year on record, most of the country can expect more unusually warm and dry days during during the next cople of months.

Australia has entered October under the influence of a strong positive Indian Ocean Dipole. This climate driver will promote warm and dry weather in parts of Australia during the next one to two months, although it typically loses its influence on our weather by the end of the year.

It's worth pointing out that the Indian Ocean Dipole index reached its most positive value in at least 18 years during September.

On the other side of the country, the Paficic Ocean is still in a neutral phase, meaning neither El Nino or La Nina are currently occurring. This neutral pattern is expected to continue for the rest of the year.

Other factors that might influence Australia's weather in the coming months are a negative phase of the southern annular mode and unusually warm waters off our nation's northwest coast. 

The combination of these climate drivers suggests that relatively warm and dry weather should continue across most of the country as spring rolls into summer. 

Rainfall is expected to be below average for most of the country between October and December, except for parts of northwestern Australia and western Tasmania.

Days are expected to be warmer than usual for most areas between October and December, while nights should be cooler than average in some parts of the country.

Visit http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/#/overview/summary/ for more detailed climate outlooks.

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