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Boxing Day Test weather: English conditions early, Australian conditions later

Anthony Sharwood
Image: All eyes should be on the action at the MCG and not the skies for at least the first four days of the 2025 Boxing Day Test. Source: iStock/TkKurikawa
Image: All eyes should be on the action at the MCG and not the skies for at least the first four days of the 2025 Boxing Day Test. Source: iStock/TkKurikawa

It won’t be the classic "four seasons in a day" weather, but Melbourne will turn on four seasons worth of weather over the five-day duration of the Boxing Day Ashes Test, as Australia seeks to extend its 3-0 series lead over England from December 26 to December 30 at the MCG.

The good news for cricket fans is that while Melbourne's maximum will increase by as much as 15 degrees between Boxing Day (Friday) and the last two days of scheduled play (Monday and Tuesday), almost no rain is likely across the first four days before an approaching trough on day five potentially brings showers and storms.

Here's our day-by-day breakdown of weather conditions for the five scheduled days of play in Melbourne:

Image: Find the latest 7 day forecast for the MCG on the Weatherzone app.

Day 1 will begin with brisk southerly winds in the wake of a cold front which swept across Tasmania over the Christmas period. The coldest air and most of the moisture will stay south of Victoria, but there will still be an unseasonable chill at the MCG with a maximum around 17°C and the slight chance of a shower.

Day 2 will also be relatively cool with a maximum around 20°C. Skies will start to clear, with even a light shower appearing highly unlikely.

Day 3 will be baby bear's porridge, as in just right for players and spectators alike, with a maximum of 26°C under clear skies.

Day 4 is when things start to heat up, with a likely maximum around 32°C under sunny skies as winds start to swing around to the north.

Day 5 is when the weather starts to turn, with grey skies and a maximum around 31°C ahead of a fresh burst of cool air pushing through from the south. Melbourne often receives a band of showers and storms ahead of cool changes, with early indications suggesting that any damp weather will arrive in the afternoon/evening rather than the morning.

Climate statistics for Melbourne in December

  • Average maximum: 24.2°C
  • Average minimum: 13.0°C
  • Average monthly rainfall: 58.6mm (27.8mm to date as of December 24, 2025)
  • Average number of days reaching 35°C or higher: 2
  • Average number of days reaching 40°C or higher: 0.2
  • Hottest December maximum on record: 43.7°C
  • Coldest December maximum on record: 10.4°C

Our Melbourne forecast is here.

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