ACT 28-day Rainfall Forecast
low
med
low
low
low
low
med
high
low
low
med
med
low
med
low
low
low
low
| Chance of rainfall within district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| nil < 25% |
low 25% to 50% |
med 50% to 75% |
high ≥ 75% |
Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the southeast Pacific.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 12 March to 16 March, 27 March to 31 March, and 8 April to 12 April. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 14 March to 18 March, 31 March to 4 April, and 10 April to 14 April.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 March to 23 March, 27 March to 31 March, and 8 April to 12 April.
Forecast Explanation
This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Display your Local Weather here
automatically each time you visit us:
Rotates through Temperature,
Wind, Humidity and RainUse the Search Bar above
to find your Local, and go to the Local page
Click "Set My Local"
button next to the location name
Weather News
Return of summer for WA
13:29 EDT
After a wet first week of autumn in southwestern WA, the mercury will gradually rise in the week ahead, bringing summer temperatures back under clearer skies.
A last chance for a summery beach day in Sydney?
10:35 EDT
Following a grey, wet and riddled with pesky pandemic restrictions summer, Sydneysiders have generally missed out on enjoying the beautiful stretches of sand that dot our coastline. Skies will gradually clear up over the city during Sunday, allowing the mercury to climb just above average to 27 degrees celsius.
