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Changeable across southern parts of Australia as cold fronts approach from the southwest bringing rain to SE SA, Vic, Tas as well as southwest WA. High pressure will remain in control elsewhere bringing largely fine and settled conditions. A few showers possible for NE Qld.
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Today, 6:00AM UTC
Recent rain handy in SA but still a long way to go
Recent rain has already taken a few South Australian farming towns above the monthly average, but they still have a substantial long-term rainfall deficit to make up. Snowtown in the Mid North, and Cummins and Kimba on Eyre Peninsula, have received 47mm, 62mm, and 45mm, respectively, so far this month, with most falling last Wednesday. That makes it back-to-back months of above-average rainfall for Kimba. Image: Observed rainfall for month to date (to July 13, 2025) as a percentage of monthly average. In isolation or during a normal year, one could be led to believe all has been going well in these farming areas. However, for Snowtown and Cummins, this is the first wetter-than-average month in 13 months and nine months, respectively. For Kimba, it's the first time the northern Eyre Peninsula town has achieved back-to-back wetter-than-average months since 2022. Despite this healthy recent rain, Cummins, Snowtown and Kimba are still short of the long-term average for 24 months by 310mm, 300mm and 250mm, respectively. Deficits of this magnitude have been observed across much of the agricultural area, with most locations only receiving 50-60% of the average rainfall. As a result, soil moisture has made a promising recovery near the surface but is still quite dry deeper down. Image: Observed rainfall for 24 months to June 30, 2025 as a percentage of two-year average. During the past month or so, cold fronts and low pressure systems have become more frequent and have some tapped into an increase in moisture fed from the Indian Ocean. Looking ahead to the next few months, rainfall is likely to continue relatively frequently, occasionally due to a northwest cloudband, resulting in a near-normal season in most areas.
12 Jul 2025, 2:22AM UTC
Aussie snow deeper than last year only 6 weeks in
Australian mainland ski fields have achieved deeper natural snow than at any time in 2024, and it's only six weeks into winter, and snowfalls are expected on several days next week. Recent fresh snowfalls of 25-to-50 centimetres across the resorts took the depth of natural snow to new-season highs at all resorts and beyond last year's peaks at some. Image: Satellite, radar and precipitation observations in millimetres across the Alps and surrounds at 9 am EST Thursday, 10th July 2025. Image: Satellite, radar and precipitation observations in millimetres across the Alps and surrounds at 9 am EST Friday, 11th July 2025. On Friday 11th of July, the depth was measured at about 135cm at Spencers Creek (a proxy used to estimate depth at both Thredbo and Perisher), and 93cm at Falls Creek. Compared to last year's peaks, Thredbo and Perisher are about 10cm deeper and Falls Creek about 1cm deeper. The 135cm measured at Spencers Creek is also more than 2023, when the depth peaked at 131cm. The other resorts in New South Wales and Victoria are running on par with the 2024 depths of this time last year. In terms of natural cover on Friday, Mt Hotham is within 4cm, Mt Baw Baw within 10cm and Mt Buller within 15cm. This season, the resorts were blessed with a strong cold front containing ample moisture, getting the season off to a flyer. Since then, snow-bearing fronts became more frequent than during same time last winter and have benefited from feeds of moisture from the northwest. In between these front, the air has stayed cold enough to prevent significant melting. The relatively deep snow is made more significant by its timing, coinciding with school holidays and a weekend. This Saturday morning, resort snowcams highlighted the enjoyment in a broad snow-white backdrop under blue skies, almost as good as it gets for this time of year. Image: Observed temperatures at snow resorts and surrounds at 10 am EST Saturday, 12th July 2025. Looking ahead, further snowfalls are likely each day from this Sunday to Wednesday, potentially falling as low as about 1000 metres on both Monday and Tuesday. Image: Forecast temperatures and estimated lowest elevation of snowfalls at the resorts and surrounds on Tuesday, 15th July 2025. To keep up to date with snowcams and forecasts go to Snow and Ski Forecast.
11 Jul 2025, 6:06AM UTC
Weekend cold front to sweep across southern Australia
A cold front will bring a wintry mix of wind and showers across several states in southern Australia this weekend, along with a bout of fresh snow in the Alps. The satellite images below show the cold front approaching Australia from the west on Friday, with a large filed of speckled cloud revealing a pool of cold air in the wake of the front. Image: Visible satellite images showing a cold front approaching southwestern Australia on Friday, July 11, 2025. Showers and wind will increase over the southwest of WA on Friday night before the front sweeps across the state’s South West Land Division on Saturday. The map below shows how much rain is expected to fall across Friday and Saturday combined. Perth is in the region that could see about 5 to 15 mm of rain by Saturday night, with heavier falls expected further south. It will also be windy on Friday night and Saturday morning as the front approaches and sweeps through, although this won’t be a strong front by southwest Australian standards. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the 48 hours ending at 8pm AWST on Saturday, July 12. The cold front will march across the Bight on Saturday night into Sunday morning, before crossing southeastern Australia on Sunday afternoon and night. While not a strong cold front, this system will still bring a burst of wind and rain to parts of SA, Tas, Vic, southern NSW and the ACT on Sunday. Elevated areas of southeastern Australia will get particularly windy and could see severe weather warnings being issued for damaging winds. Image: Forecast wind gusts on Sunday afternoon. Showers will mainly occur in the afternoon and evening on Sunday, with a good chance of some wet weather in Melbourne, Adelaide and Hobart and possibly Canberra too. Once the cold air and moisture associated with this system reach the Australian Alps, we should see about 5 to 10 cm of fresh snow falling between Sunday afternoon and Monday morning. Be sure to check the latest forecasts and severe weather warnings in southern Australia this weekend.