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Ben Domensino, 19 Oct 2016, 2:41 AM UTC

Wet end to the week

Wet end to the week
All states and territories will receive rain between Friday and Monday, although some thirsty ares will miss out once again. Above average sea surface temperatures to Australia's north and east will provide the moisture to fuel a multi-state soaking at the end of this week. The trigger for rain and thunderstorms will be a broad trough, cold front and low pressure system, which will cross the country from west to east in the next five days. The front will arrive in the southwest corner of Western Australia today. As has been the trend during recent months, showers will remain light over the Southwest Land Division due to a lack of available moisture. Most areas will receive less than 5mm during the next 24 hours, including Perth. On Thursday, the system will run into more abundant moisture, causing rain and thunderstorms from the Kimberley and Top End, down through the interior and into South Australia. Strong northerly winds are likely in South Australia ahead of the front, with damaging gusts possible during the day. Friday is when rainfall will become more widespread. An upper trough moving over the Bight will case the surface trough, low and front to deepen, allowing rain, showers and thunderstorms to develop between the Kimberley and Tasmania. Later in the day, showers and storms will also develop over some inland areas of New South Wales and Queensland. The low is likely to cause strong winds with damaging gusts on Friday in Victoria and Tasmania. On Saturday, showers and thunderstorms will continue to spread eastwards across New South Wales and Queensland, while lingering through the Northern Territory and Western Australia's Kimberley. Canberra, Sydney, Brisbane and Darwin will all be affected. Rain will clear most areas by Monday and eastern Queensland by Tuesday as the system moves away from the east coast towards New Zealand. By the time it is over, the heaviest rain will have fallen over parts of the Kimberley, Northern Territory, southern and central Queensland and northeast New South Wales. Falls of 30-40mm are likely in these areas, with some location expected to see more than 50mm. Flood-affected parts of the Murray-Darling Basin will receive lighter falls this time, although flooding is possible as this rain will be falling into saturated catchments.
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