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Tristan Meyers, 23 Jan 2016, 4:23 AM UTC

Rain to help douse bushfires in TAS

Rain to help douse bushfires in TAS
The Tasmania Fire Service has been fighting some of what have been called the worst bushfires in years, as blazes threaten homes and delicate ecosystems. At nearly two-thirds of the way through summer, all reporting stations across the state with reliable records are reporting at or less than 51% of their summer rainfall average. Climatologically, Tasmania typically tends to get more rainfall at the start of summer than in February. However, there is some rainfall on the way for the Apple Isle, which could help bring relief to the rampant fires. Unfortunately, the showers are a high risk of being accompanied by thunderstorms which present a mixed bag for firies. On the one hand, the moisture-laden storms will douse isolated areas with heavy rainfall. However, strong downbursts in storms can cause embers to jump past fire fronts, exacerbating conditions for the fire fighters. Additionally, lightning can trigger new fires, much like a spark to kindling. A low pressure trough looks to deepen over the state from Sunday, bringing isolated showers. These look to persist on Monday, before becoming lighter on Tuesday. However, Wednesday looks to see the trough deepen further, with thundery showers delivering isolated, heavy rainfall a chance over the northeast, with totals of 25-50mm possible. As a low moves over on Thursday, showers and rain will spread across the west to the south, with more heavy showers possibly continuing into the weekend. Rainfall rates this intense can lead to flash flooding, so keep an eye on the latest weather warnings in your area.
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