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Ben McBurney, 02 Oct 2015, 8:54 PM UTC

Fire danger soaring as record October heat spreads to TAS

Fire danger soaring as record October heat spreads to TAS
Tasmania won't be spared from the record early spring heat affecting vast amounts of the country, and combined with strong winds on some days, will allow the fire danger to soar. A low pressure trough over the west of the country is combining with a very slow moving high over the east, causing clear skies across much of the nation and allowing a pool of heat to envelop the southeast. Hobart is amidst a five day spell (Friday 2nd-Tuesday 6th) that will average a touch below 26 degrees, a record for this time of the year. In fact, the only other comparable spell of heat in the entire month of October was way back in 1922, when it averaged a little over 26 degrees. Launceston will average around 24 degrees for the next four days, also a record this early in spring. However, Weak frontal systems near TAS are adding another dimension to the heat, increasing winds and allowing fire danger to soar. Today will be one of the worst days of the hot spell, with wind gusts reaching 100-110km/h, helping the fire danger to reach severe levels across the East Coast, Midlands and South East. After a brief lull on Sunday, gusty winds will return on Monday, increasing fire danger again. However, Tuesday could be the worst day, particularly in the south and east, with the hottest temperatures of the spell so far combining with wind gusts up to 100km/h. It is quite a turnaround that not many would have anticipated, after the state endured its coldest winter since 1966.
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