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Tristan Meyers, 23 May 2016, 1:10 AM UTC

Cold fronts finally migrating north

Cold fronts finally migrating north
The polar jet will push cold fronts further north than recent, bringing cooling and rain to New South Wales and the southern edge of Queensland. The blustery front that hit Western Australia over the weekend lost intensity, and it is now currently sweeping the southeast, where it brought widespread rain across Tasmania, Victoria and southern South Australia. Naracoorte collected 12mm since 9am yesterday morning, the best total since November last year. Locations that collected their best rain in two months include Kuitpo (15mm), Noarlunga (12mm), Cape Jaffa (9mm) and Padthaway (10mm). Additionally, widespread 10-15mm has fallen across western TAS, grading to around 1-3mm across the east. In VIC, rain and showers have eased as they progress further inland, mostly north of the ranges. This front will continue to move north over NSW, but it has lost much of its moisture and will mostly bring a cool and dry southwesterly change. It should reach Sydney by midday, improving the current poor air quality, and then as far north as Brisbane by tomorrow morning. TAS has been frequently battered by squally fronts in the past fortnight. However, these systems have failed significantly to alter weather as far north as NSW, aside from gusty showers in the Alpine region and high cloud in the east. This is the first in a series of fronts where its impacts will be felt as far north as southern QLD, which will finally help clear some of the unseasonable warm run of weather. This is being brought about by the position of the polar jet, which is now edging northwards. Each of the next few fronts will bring a burst of rain and wind, along with the odd storm. The next fronts will be weaker, and reach SA by Wednesday evening. However, these will bring a several-day rain event to NSW, with widespread totals in excess of 10mm west of the divide, along with isolated pockets exceeding 25mm. High pressure looks to make a return after this time next week, pushing fronts further south. This will bring drier, mild days and chillier nights.
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