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A trough is generating active storms across SA while a following low in the Bight is directing southerly winds and some showers across southern WA. An unstable airmass over the northern tropics is bringing showers and storms to the Top End and WA's north.
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Today, 4:35AM UTC
Melbourne will feel colder than 8°C for most of Saturday
A burst of very cold air for this time of year will chill Melbourne on Saturday after a brief outbreak of warmth on Friday. Friday's predicted top in Melbourne is 28°C, while on Saturday, the mercury is expected to peak at just 14°C – but due to showers and cold blustery southwesterlies, Saturday's apparent (or "feels like") temperature will be below 8°C from midday onwards. While rapid day-to-day temperature fluctuations are commonplace in Melbourne during spring, it’s still worth putting those two maximum temperatures in perspective. Melbourne can obviously get well up into the 40s in summer, but because a cool southerly so often follows extreme heat, the average maximum in January (the warmest month) is 26°C. This Friday’s high should be two degrees warmer. Melbourne’s average maximum in July (the coolest month) is 13.5°C. This Saturday’s high will be very much in that neighbourhood. So it’ll be a taste of summer, then a taste of winter for our southernmost mainland capital as the working week merges into the weekend, with the chance of snowfalls in the Victorian Alps (and Snowy Mountains of NSW) for the second time this week. Image: Maximum temperatures across Victoria and adjacent areas according to the ECMWF model for Friday, November 7, 2025. The cause is an approaching cold front. Ahead of the front, warm dry northerlies will push across Victoria. By Friday afternoon, a trough ahead of the front will generate widespread showers and storms, with showers likely in Melbourne by the evening. Behind the front, air with polar origins moves over most of Victoria, with persistent rain or showers keeping a firm lid on temperatures. Image: Maximum temperatures across Victoria and adjacent areas according to the ECMWF model for Saturday, November 8, 2025. While Saturday will be far from ideal for outdoor activities in Melbourne, it will continue the recent spell of wet days. Rain fell on four of the first five days of November 2025 in Melbourne, with 39mm accumulated to date, which is roughly two thirds of the monthly average of 59mm. With 5 to 10mm possible on Friday and 10-20mm on Saturday, it’s conceivable that Melbourne could exceed its November rainfall average after the first eight days of the month. That would make two consecutive months of above-average rainfall – a statistic any Melburnian with a garden would welcome after seven of the eight months from February through to September saw below-average rainfall totals. Image: Graph showing the last 12 months of Melbourne rainfall (compared to the monthly averages in pale blue) with the final column including rainfall up to November 5, 2025. Over the first 10 months of 2025, Melbourne had received only about 80% of its running rainfall average. Our Melbourne forecast is here.
Today, 3:16AM UTC
WA registers 1.5 million lightning pulses in two days
A massive amount of lightning has occurred over Western Australia during the last 48 hours as a low pressure system caused widespread thunderstorms across the state. Storms spread across WA on Tuesday and Wednesday as the low pressure system and an associated low pressure trough passed over the state while interacting with a stream of tropical moisture. This setup was ideal for thunderstorm development, with ample atmospheric instability and plenty of moisture to fuel storms throughout both day and night. Image: Composite satellite and lightning observations showing thunderstorms over WA on Wednesday, November 5, 2025. Source: Weatherzone Weatherzone’s lightning network detected around 1,552,200 lightning pulses over WA during the 48 hours ending at 8am AWST on Thursday. Some of these storms were severe, prompting warnings for large hail, damaging winds and heavy rain. A particularly intense area of thunderstorm activity developed over the South Interior and Goldfields on Wednesday afternoon and night. These storms caused around 655,200 lightning pulses within 600 km of Laverton between Wednesday afternoon and Thursday morning. Image: The red symbols show where lightning pulses were detected within 600 km of Laverton between 2pm AWST on Wednesday and 3am AWST on Thursday. Showers and thunderstorms will spread further east over the next few days as the trough continues to track across the country. This system will cause rain or storms over part of every state and territory between Thursday and Sunday. Severe thunderstorms are possible in several states over the next few days, so be sure to check the latest forecasts and warnings in your area.
05 Nov 2025, 5:58AM UTC
Rain and severe storms lash southern WA
Unseasonable rain is falling across large parts of Western Australia this Wednesday and is set to continue into Thursday as an active cut-off low pressure system and associated troughs cross the southern half of the state. While Perth caught only 7.2mm millimetres of rain overnight, numerous locations in the state’s South West Land Division received falls in the 10-20mm range in the 24 hours to 9am Wednesday. November is usually when the southwest starts to dry out dramatically, but rain and scattered storms continue this Wednesday from the Gascoyne to the Goldfields and plenty of places in between. Just after 2pm (AWST), the BoM issued a severe thunderstorm warning for large hailstones, damaging winds and heavy rainfall for people in parts of the Central West, Great Southern, Central Wheat Belt, Gascoyne, Goldfields, Lower West and South West forecast districts. Image: Combined satellite and radar loop for southwest WA in the four hours from 8:50am to 12:50pm (AWST) on November 5, 2025. The chart above shows the dynamic action of the low centred over the sea just off Geraldton this Wednesday. Bands of cloud with associated areas of rain (green on the Weatherzone radar) can be clearly seen pushing across a large area, with the rain arriving from an unusual northeasterly direction in places like Albany in the state’s South Coastal forecast district. 28.8 mm was recorded during a thunderstorm at Arradale, a weather station just southeast of Geraldton, in only half an hour just before 2pm. The wet weather will reach the Southern Interior and Eucla forecast districts by Thursday, and as this system tracks east, it’s worth noting that parts of WA’s southern and eastern interior have already seen unusually wet weather in recent times. For example: Kalgoorlie saw its heaviest day of October rainfall on record last month, with 60mm, and has picked up another 8.4mm from this event to 1pm (AWST) with more expected. Eucla, way out on the Nullarbor just 11km from the SA border, picked up 46mm on the first day of this month, on the back of almost 100mm in October. Its average rainfall in both months is only around 20mm. Image: The unusual sight of almost all of WA seeing average or above-average rainfall over a 3-month period from the start of August through to the end of October. Source: BoM. As the chart above shows, almost all of WA has had a comparatively wet time in the past three months – with the exception of the region around Esperance which is seeing handy falls this Wednesday. Even after a wet winter and early spring, most West Australians who live in the state’s southwest corner will welcome the current rain event after years of annual rainfall deficiencies, as they head into what are traditionally the driest months. READ MORE: Perth sets rainfall streak not seen in 18 years