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Rain & storms are scattering across WA & SA due to a trough & front which is bringing blustery winds to southern WA. Isolated, mainly light showers are affecting Tas, Vic & western NSW in moist, unstable air. Showers along the eastern seaboard are mainly in northeast NSW.
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Today, 3:56AM UTC
Wet in the southwest with rare WA snow possible
Moisture associated with a cold front generated significant rainfall in the southwestern corner of the country overnight, and an accompanying pool of cold air could cause snowfalls on the highest peaks of the Stirling Range in WA's Great Southern district on Monday evening. Let’s deal with the rain first and then look at the potential for a relatively rare West Australian snowfall. Rainfall totals exceed 25mm across a wide area The 12-hour satellite and radar loop below shows a narrow but quite intense rainband crossing WA’s South West Land Division on Sunday. Image: 12 hour combined radar and satellite loop over southwest WA on Sunday, June 14, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Notable rainfall totals in the 24 hours to 9am Monday included: 41.2 mm at Fouracres, a weather station in the South West forecast district. 40.4 mm at North Walpole in the South West forecast district, the town’s wettest day since March 2023. 39 mm at Eradu, just east of Geraldton in the Central West forecast district, while Geraldton Airport received 27.4 mm. 35.4 mm at Jerdacuttup, about 90 minutes west of Esperance in the South East Coastal forecast district. 29 mm at Denmark, just west of Albany in the South Coastal forecast district. 27.8 mm in the coastal Perth suburb of Swanbourne. 12.6 mm at Perth’s main city weather station. The fact that more than 30 mm of rain fell from the same rainband at locations that were almost 1000 km apart (in the case of Geraldton and Jerdacuttup) illustrates the scale of the system. Snow possible for Stirling Range Monday’s official BoM forecast for WA’s South Coastal forecast district predicts that snow is possible on the highest peaks of the Stirling Range on Monday evening, and for a brief pre-dawn period on Tuesday morning. Image: Forecast for Mount Barker (in WA’s South Coastal district, about 80 km SW of Bluff Knoll) on the Weatherzone app. Bluff Knoll is the 1099-metre highest summit of the Stirling Range, about an hour northeast of Albany. While there are no official statistics for the frequency of Bluff Knoll snowfalls, snow generally falls there at least once each winter. The trick is catching it. Because the mountain is barely high enough for snow, any snow that accumulates usually melts within hours or even minutes, which means you’ve generally got to be there when it’s happening to see it. Image: It’s not your classic winter wonderland landscape, but that’s definitely light snow (not hail) on the ground near the summit of Bluff Knoll. Source: Steve Sertis, Bibbulmun Track Foundation on Instagram. Over the years, numerous hikers have undertaken snow chases from the car park, from where it’s only about two hours each way to the summit and back. But beware: the upper part of the track is highly exposed, so it’s wise to carry warm, waterproof gear, head torches and an emergency beacon – not to mention food and water. For those who love a bit of geography, Western Australia’s highest peak is Mt Meharry at 1249 metres, 1600 kilometres north of Bluff Knoll in the state’s Pilbara Region. Obviously it’s far too warm up there for snow. Southwest WA weather outlook for the coming days Showers and cool temperatures will persist along WA’s southern coast in south to southeasterly stream in coming days. Perth skies should clear from Tuesday through to Saturday, although maximums will be a couple of degrees below the average June high of 19.5°C all week.
Today, 3:37AM UTC
Rain to soak parts of every Australian state this week
Wet and stormy weather will spread over parts of every Australian state and territory this week, June 15-21, as a powerful low pressure system and northwest cloudband impact the country. A slow-moving upper-level trough interacting with a steady feed of tropical moisture will cause a large northwest cloudband to form over Australia this week. This band of cloud and rain will be supported by a surface-based low pressure system centred to the south of Australia, which will also deliver an injection of cold air and blustery winds for some parts of the country. The map below shows mean sea level pressure combined with precipitable water (a measure of moisture availability in the atmosphere) in the middle of this week, showing the low pressure system to the south of Australia and moisture-laden air extending across the country from the northwest to southeast. Image: Modelled mean sea level pressure and precipitable water over Australia on Wednesday, June 17, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Monday to Wednesday: Rain building in Australia’s west, south and interior Cloud and rain will build over a broad area of western and southern Australia on Monday and Tuesday as the low pressure system and northwest cloudband develop. The heaviest rain during Monday and Tuesday is likely to fall over northern Tasmania, southern and western districts of SA, and along the south coast of WA. By Wednesday, the low will be well-developed over the Bight and a northwest cloudband will extend from South Australia up towards central Australia. Wednesday will be SA’s third consecutive day of widespread rain, which will increase the risk of localised flash flooding, particularly in areas that see thunderstorms. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the three days ending at 10 pm AEST on June 17, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. A surge of powerful winds will also develop over southern WA and possibly parts of SA on Wednesday as the low pressure system deepens over the Bight. This may include damaging wind gusts in some areas, most likely in WA. Thursday to Sunday: Rain spreading across Australia’s east and southeast The second half of this week will see rain spreading across parts of the NT, SA, Queensland, NSW, the ACT, Victoria and Tas as the northwest cloudband gradually moves further east. The northwest cloudband and its associated rainband will remain a prominent feature on Thursday and Friday, causing decent rainfall over a 3,500 km corridor extending from Tas up to the NT. There is some uncertainty regarding what will happen to the rainband as it moves over eastern Australia over the weekend. While rainfall should ease on Saturday, some computer models indicate that it could become reinvigorated on Sunday or Monday as a low pressure trough deepens over Qld and NSW. The maps below show how much rain is being predicted over Australia this week by two different computer models. Comparing the maps shows that there is broad model agreement that this week’s rain will be widespread and affect part of every state and territory. However, there is some disagreement about where and how much rain will fall, particularly over eastern Australia. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the seven days ending at 10 pm AEST on Sunday, June 21, 2026, according to the ECMWF model. Source: Weatherzone. Image: Forecast accumulated rain during the seven days ending at 4 am AEST on Monday, June 22, 2026, according to the GFS model. Source: Weatherzone. This week’s rain has the potential to cause flooding in several states and territories. Check the latest forecasts and warnings in your area throughout the week for the most up-to-date information.
14 Jun 2026, 4:58AM UTC
What is happening with the Indian Monsoon?
Just as Australia’s tropics see a monsoon season during the Southern Hemisphere’s summer, India and southeast Asia see their monsoon season in the Northern Hemisphere’s summer. Yet India has seen below-average monsoonal rain over the country so far this season. Central and western India have seen a significant rainfall deficit in 2026, mostly because the Indian monsoon has stopped in the country’s east. The dry and hot conditions over central India are so intense that heatwave conditions have been declared for the districts of Vidarbha, Marathwada and Madhya Maharashtra by the Indian Meteorological Department. Image: Percentage difference of cumulative rainfall in 2026 to average rainfall this far in the year for each district (Indian Meteorological Department) So, what is causing this pause in the reach of the Indian Monsoon? A low pressure system which developed over the Mediterranean Sea a fortnight ago slowly traversed the Levant, inland Middle East and Central Asia. The system brought rain, storms and unseasonal snow as it moved away from its home basin of the Mediterranean. This type of system is called a Western Disturbance, and as they move further over land, they draw in upper-level moisture. In this case, the Indian Monsoon loaned itself as a basin for upper-level moisture that this Western Disturbance drew upon. These Disturbances are often stopped by the Himalayas and tend to precipitate themselves dry over India’s north. Image: Map of forecast temperature anomalies, highlighting cold anomalies associated with the movement of a Western Disturbance from June 2nd to June 7th 2026 (DTN APAC using ECMWF). In reality the system moved slower and continues to linger over the Himalaya to June 14th. Consequently, a dry airmass developed in between the moisture of the Western Disturbance in the northwest and the Indian Monsoon in the southeast, leading to the heatwave conditions over the country’s interior. Image: Satellite image of water vapour and forecast wind streamlines over India (Himawari Satellite) Another factor to possibly contributing to the extent of the Indian Monsoon in 2026 is El Nino. El Nino changes the atmospheric circulation over the entire globe, so it doesn’t just effect Australia (see what El Nino means for Australia here). The monsoon tends to strengthen in La Nina events and weaken in El Ninos, though not always, given that other atmospheric factors can be bigger contributors to the monsoon. As seen in the plot below, between 1950 and 2012 there were 14 recorded El Nino events, with 10 resulting in below average monsoonal rainfall and 5 of which were considered droughts. Image: Plot showing an El Nino Southern Oscillation Index (ONI) and the anomalous rainfall from the Indian monsoon per year from 1950 to 2012 (NOAA, adapted from Kumar et al. 2006) It is the combination of the dry airmass over central India, which acts as a wall to the monsoon’s northern reach and the Western Disturbance to the north which are leading to the current dry and warm conditions over India’s western interior. But El Nino may have had an impact on the start of the monsoon and will continue to impact the Indian Monsoon for the rest of the season, contributing to below average rainfall and heatwave conditions over the country.