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Troughs through the NT's north and south, moving into western Qld and eastern WA are generating showers and thunderstorms. A firm high pressure ridge is causing onshore winds to bring the odd shower to eastern Qld and NSW while keeping the remainder of the country dry.
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Today, 3:43AM UTC
Wet week ahead for multiple Australian states
Rain and thunderstorms will spread over parts of the Australian outback this week, affecting at least five states and territories. It’s also going to be a wet week for the country’s east coast. High pressure driving moisture over Australia A large high pressure system moving slowly over Tasmania and the Tasman Sea this week will cause moisture-laden easterly winds to flow across eastern, northern and central Australia. Image: Modelled precipitable water and mean sea level pressure, showing moisture-laden air over central and northern Australia on Friday, May 15, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. These persistent and moist easterly winds will generate showers each day this week along parts of the country’s east coast, extending from southern New South Wales up to northern Queensland. Further inland, tropical moisture will feed into a slow-moving low pressure trough to cause showers and thunderstorms over a broad area of northern, central and southeastern Australia. The map below shows how much rain one computer model is predicting this week, with rain expected to fall in part of every state and territory during the next seven days. Image: Forecast accumulated rain this week, according to the ECMWF model. Source: Weatherzone. Heavy inland rain This week’s outback showers and storms will mainly affect parts of Queensland, the Northern Territory and South Australia between Monday and Friday, with stormy weather possibly extending towards the south of SA, including Adelaide, from Wednesday onwards. While rain and thunderstorm activity will generally be hit and miss for much of this week, a more substantial rainband could develop from this weekend into early next week. Some computer models suggest that this rainband could soak a broad area of central and southeastern Australia from Saturday onwards. Image: Synoptic outlook on the Weatherzone app for Australia on Thursday, May 14, 2026. Source: Weatherzone. Some areas of central Australia should see accumulated falls of around 30 to 60 mm this week, with potential for isolated areas of more than 100 mm. This much rain can cause flooding, particularly in places that still have swollen rivers from recent rainfall. Anyone planning on travelling through central Australia during the next couple of weeks should check the latest forecast, weather warnings and road closures for the most up to date information.
10 May 2026, 5:17AM UTC
Autumn high opens window for hazard reduction burns in NSW
A strong high pressure system over southern Australia created a settled autumn weather window across NSW this weekend, allowing fire crews to carry out hazard reduction burns in parts of the Blue Mountains National Park and Royal National Park. Fig. 1: MSLP analysis at 10am AEST on Saturday 9th May 2026, showing a strong high pressure system south of the mainland and a broad ridge extending across NSW. Image: BoM. The setup aligns well with the NSW RFS guidance for low intensity hazard reduction burning, which points to temperatures below 25°C, relative humidity around 50% and rising, winds below 15 km/h in the open and stable atmospheric conditions. These conditions help keep fire behaviour slow and manageable, while still allowing dry surface fuels to burn. However, the same stable weather that makes burns easier to control can also trap smoke near the ground, causing temporary air quality and visibility impacts in nearby communities. Burns were carried out on Saturday 9th May and were also planned for Sunday 10th May, taking advantage of this stable weather pattern while fuels were dry enough to burn but winds and temperatures remained manageable. Fig. 2: Smoke plumes from hazard reduction burns in the Blue Mountains and near Royal National Park were visible from space on Saturday 9th May 2026, with smoke drifting eastwards over the Tasman Sea under a stable high pressure pattern. Image: NASA Worldview, using MODIS Terra/Aqua Corrected Reflectance True Colour imagery. The burns may cause short-term impacts across affected areas, including visible smoke, temporary park and trail closures, restricted access and reduced visibility on nearby roads. These measures are put in place to keep the public safe while crews manage the burns and assess the area afterwards. Fig. 3: Smoke from hazard reduction burning seen from a window near Royal National Park. Image: Maryam. Fig. 4: Smoke haze affecting visibility along the Princes Highway near Royal National Park during hazard reduction burning on Saturday evening. Image: Transport for NSW. While hazard reduction burns can bring temporary smoke and access impacts, this weekend’s high pressure pattern provided the type of mild, stable weather window needed to reduce fuel loads before more dangerous bushfire weather returns later in the year.
09 May 2026, 5:13AM UTC
Mother's Day Forecast
Regardless of the chilly opening to this Mother’s Day weekend for most of the country, we still want to make Mother’s Day special. A high pressure system sitting over the Bight has kept most of the country dry today with the odd shower in areas near the country’s southern and northeastern coasts. That system is not going anywhere tomorrow, so the weather is looking pretty much the same as today for the entire country. The bad news, we will have a chilly evening again for non-tropical regions, with a cool and frosty morning to start Mother’s Day. Then for the state capitals of Adelaide, Melbourne and Brisbane we can expect a mostly cloudy day, whereas Hobart, Canberra and Sydney will enjoy mostly sunny days with a slight wind chill on the horizon. Image: Minimum temperatures expected on Sunday 10th May, 2026 But do not fret because that is perfect weather for a cozy and warm breakfast in bed, and for all those who haven’t a clue what to get mum; she wouldn’t be able to resist a comfy blanket or a new set of pyjamas in this weather. The good news is that despite the cloud in the south, there will be little rain over Australia’s major cities, with only a light sprinkle in the forecast for northeast New South Wales and southeast Queensland, including Brisbane. So it would be a lovely day for a rare early winter picnic in the fallen leaves, a nice nature walk or a dip in the warmer than average beach waters. Image: Sea surface temperature anomalies (BoM) No matter what you have planned tomorrow, stay warm. And to all the mothers: Happy Mother’s Day!