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A few showers and the odd storm over QLD's far north and the NT's eastern Top End in humid easterly winds. Light showers over eastern Qld and northeast NSW in moist southeasterly winds around a high. Showers for coastal SA & southwest Vic with an approaching cold front.

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Min

Max

Mostly CloudySydneyNSW

18.7°C

15°C
27°C

Clearing ShowerMelbourneVIC

11.0°C

11°C
16°C

Mostly SunnyBrisbaneQLD

18.2°C

17°C
27°C

Mostly CloudyPerthWA

15.4°C

12°C
24°C

Mostly CloudyAdelaideSA

11.3°C

10°C
18°C

Mostly SunnyCanberraACT

13.9°C

9°C
21°C

Clearing ShowerHobartTAS

9.5°C

8°C
16°C

Mostly SunnyDarwinNT

27.2°C

24°C
33°C

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Today, 6:40AM UTC

Australia's tropical cyclone season coming to an end

The 2023-24 Australian tropical cyclone season is almost over and while it was a quiet season based on overall numbers, some of the landfalling systems had a big impact. The Australian tropical cyclone season officially runs from November until April. During this time, we usually see an average of about 9 to 10 tropical cyclones in Australia’s area of responsibility. Only eight named tropical cyclones formed or moved into the Australian region during the 2023-24 season, making this a below-average season based on the overall number. However, with four tropical cyclones making landfall over Australia, this has still been an active season based on impacts, particularly for Queensland. The eight tropical cyclones in Australia’s area of responsibility this season were: Severe Tropical Cyclone Jasper Severe Tropical Cyclone Anggrek Severe Tropical Cyclone Kirrily Tropical Cyclone Lincoln Severe Tropical Cyclone Neville Severe Tropical Cyclone Megan Severe Tropical Cyclone Olga Tropical Cyclone Paul Of the eight tropical cyclones in the Australian region this season, Jasper, Kirrily, Lincoln and Megan made landfall on the Australian mainland. Images: The eight tropical cyclones in Australia’s area of responsibility during the 2023-24 season. Image credit: NASA Worldview Severe Tropical Cyclone Jasper Jasper was the first tropical cyclone of the 2023-24 season in Australia, forming over the Coral Sea in early December and becoming the earliest category four tropical cyclone in the Australian region since 2005. Tropical Cyclone Jasper made landfall in northern Qld on Wednesday, December 13, 2023, crossing the coast between Port Douglas and Cooktown, in the vicinity of Wujal Wujal, as a category two system. Jasper was the earliest tropical cyclone in the satellite era to make landfall on Australia’s east coast. The remnants of Tropical Cyclone Jasper lingered over northern Qld for a number of days after making landfall, producing around 2 metres of rain in five days. This deluge caused the worst flooding in more than 100 years near Cairns. Severe Tropical Cyclone Kirrily Kirrily was the third tropical cyclone of the season in Australia’s area of responsibility. It formed over the Coral Sea in late January 2024 and peaked at category three strength, before weakening to category two intensity as it crossed the Qld coast to the north of Townsville on January 25. Kirrily lingered over eastern Australia into early February and caused widespread rain in Qld and NSW. The moisture associated with the former tropical cyclone eventfully drifted south and produced a huge cloud band over the Tasman Sea, which extended more than 5000 km from NSW to beyond New Zealand. Tropical Cyclone Lincoln While Lincoln existed only briefly as a tropical cyclone, it was a long-lasting system that delivered rain to a broad area of northern Australia in February. Lincoln became a tropical cyclone over the southwest Gulf of Carpentaria on February 16 shortly before making landfall over the NT’s Carpentaria coast to the east of Port Arthur. After making landfall, Lincoln’s remnant low pressure system traversed the NT and WA’s Kimberley district. This overland journey caused heavy outback rain and flooding, which cut isolated communities and cut off roads, including the Stuart and Great Northern Highways. The low pressure system then went on to bring some welcome rain to the parched Gascoyne region in WA towards the end of February. Severe Tropical Cyclone Megan Megan followed a similar path to Lincoln, forming over the Gulf of Carpentaria in mid-March before crossing the NT’s Carpentaria coast. However, Megan was much stronger than Lincoln at landfall, crossing the coast as a category three severe tropical cyclone. The remnants of Tropical Cyclone Megan caused heavy rain and flooding to extend across the central inland of the NT in the days after it made landfall. Looking ahead, there are no signs of tropical cyclone activity in the Australian region during the remainder of April. While tropical cyclone activity becomes less likely from May onwards, it is possible for systems to develop near Australia outside the official season.

Today, 12:07AM UTC

Wind returning to southeastern Australia

After a prolonged period of light winds, a surge of powerful winds and cool air will push through southeastern Australia during the next 48 hours.  As we wrote about last week the National Electricity Market (NEM) saw very low wind power generation during the seven days leading up to Thursday, April 18, with the daily wind generation having been under 41 GWh/day for this period.  Wind power has improved slightly during the past week, with wind power increasing for a few days over last weekend. The chart below shows that the winds across the NEM have already increased in response to a cold front approaching SA and Vic on Tuesday.  The increase in wind power is associated with a cold front sweeping across southeastern Australia, after a stubborn high-pressure system forced many cold fronts south for over a week.  The map below shows the cold front marching across the Bight, approaching SA on Tuesday morning. You can also see a broad area of speckled cloud in the Bight, which is a tell-tale sign that a large mass of cold polar air has broken away from the Antarctic region and is venturing into the relatively warm mid-latitudes.      Image: Himawari-9 satellite image at 9:30am AEST on Tuesday, April 23.  Northwesterly winds will continue to strengthen ahead of the cold front on Tuesday in SA and Vic before a strong southwesterly change hits Adelaide on Tuesday afternoon and Melbourne in the evening.   The images below show the wind gust forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon.      Image: Instantaneous wind gust forecast at 1pm AEST on Tuesday (top) (bottom)and Wednesday, April 23 and 24, according to ECMWF  While most of this wind should hit the wind power ‘sweet spot’, cut outs could occur at southeastern Vic and southern NSW wind farms late Tuesday into Wednesday. Generally, cut outs occur when wind speeds exceed 90km/h (25 m/s), which is when the wind turbines are turned off to prevent damage.  In the image above you can see the front and associated southerly change moving up the NSW coast on Wednesday, hitting Sydney on Wednesday afternoon.   Winds will then become light later this week as another high-pressure system moves into the Bight.   Cool change coming  Ahead of this change, much of southeastern Australia has experienced pleasant autumnal weather, with Sydney’s temperature for the next two days reaching 27°C. However, there will be a large temperature contrast ahead and behind the cold front in the next few days. The image below shows forecast air temperatures around 1.5km above sea level on Wednesday morning, showing the cool airmass moving over parts of SA, VIC, Tas.      Behind the cold front strong southwesterly winds will cause temperatures to plummet to around 2-3°C below average across southern Australia;  Melbourne and Adelaide's temperature dropping to around 16-18°C for several days following the front.   Hobart’s temperature will drop from 22°C on Tuesday to 15°C on Wednesday.   Sydney’s temperature will go from 5°C above average on Wednesday to average on Thursday.  The coolest air will move over Tas, bringing snow to the alpine region there.   Looking ahead, temperatures will recover later this week ahead of another cold front and burst of wind power early next week. 

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22 Apr 2024, 6:32AM UTC

Anzac Day dawn service weather around Australia

Anzac Day is this Thursday, so we thought we’d give you a brief weather forecast for each capital city for those attending the dawn service. And for those who live outside the capitals, just type your postcode into the search bar on the Weatherzone website or app for your local forecast. The big picture Overall, this is going to be a dry week for most parts of Australia. The main weather action is midweek in the southeast of the country, as you can see on Wednesday's synoptic chart below, with a cold front whipping through Tasmania and Victoria. This is what you could call a classic autumn cold front, meaning the showers, cold air and blustery winds won't penetrate as far north as they often do in winter. But the front will still drag enough cool air northwards to make Thursday morning chilly for anyone attending a dawn service anywhere in southeastern Australia, Tasmania included. Melbourne Melbourne can expect a minimum of 10°C and a maximum of 16°C on Anzac Day but beware, that 10-degree temperature around dawn will feel a whole lot colder with westerly winds and occasional showers.   Sydney Sydney will have mild minimums and a top in the high 20s on Wednesday, but cooler air will arrive overnight, making the Anzac Day minimum of 15°C feel a lot cooler in the southwesterly winds, on the way to a max of 22°C. At least it should be dry. Brisbane Brisbane could just about be the pick of the capitals on Anzac Day, with a min of 17°C, a max of 27°C, clear skies and light winds. Canberra Locals will tell you that Canberra always has its first frost a week either side of Anzac Day, and it came on cue this Monday morning. Anzac Day will come close again, with a minimum of 4°C on the way to a top of 19, so rug up if you’re attending the Anzac Day Dawn Service at the Australian War Memorial. Image: It's always chilly on Anzac Day morning at the Australian War Memorial In Canberra. Source: iStock. Perth Perth locals would love nothing more than an absolute deluge any day of the week right now, even on Anzac Day. You won’t be surprised to learn it's not coming this Thursday or any time in at least the next week. Expect clear skies and a minimum of 12°C on the way to a top of 25°C. Adelaide The cold front will clip Adelaide on Tuesday afternoon, dropping max temps by seven or eight degrees between the first half and the second half of the working week. There's not much rain potential, though, and Anzac Day has only a very slight chance of a shower, with a minimum of 10°C and a max of 19°C. Hobart As we told you last week, the whole of Tasmania has been very dry to date in 2024, and while Wednesday looks showery for Hobart, Anzac Day should see a return to cool but mostly dry conditions with a minimum of 9°C and a top of 15°C. Winds should be blustery even around dawn, so wear an extra layer. Darwin The NT capital is looking at a range of 25°C to 35°C. Did you expect anything different? Lest we forget.

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Today, 12:07AM UTC

Wind returning to southeastern Australia

After a prolonged period of light winds, a surge of powerful winds and cool air will push through southeastern Australia during the next 48 hours.  As we wrote about last week the National Electricity Market (NEM) saw very low wind power generation during the seven days leading up to Thursday, April 18, with the daily wind generation having been under 41 GWh/day for this period.  Wind power has improved slightly during the past week, with wind power increasing for a few days over last weekend. The chart below shows that the winds across the NEM have already increased in response to a cold front approaching SA and Vic on Tuesday.  The increase in wind power is associated with a cold front sweeping across southeastern Australia, after a stubborn high-pressure system forced many cold fronts south for over a week.  The map below shows the cold front marching across the Bight, approaching SA on Tuesday morning. You can also see a broad area of speckled cloud in the Bight, which is a tell-tale sign that a large mass of cold polar air has broken away from the Antarctic region and is venturing into the relatively warm mid-latitudes.      Image: Himawari-9 satellite image at 9:30am AEST on Tuesday, April 23.  Northwesterly winds will continue to strengthen ahead of the cold front on Tuesday in SA and Vic before a strong southwesterly change hits Adelaide on Tuesday afternoon and Melbourne in the evening.   The images below show the wind gust forecast for Tuesday and Wednesday afternoon.      Image: Instantaneous wind gust forecast at 1pm AEST on Tuesday (top) (bottom)and Wednesday, April 23 and 24, according to ECMWF  While most of this wind should hit the wind power ‘sweet spot’, cut outs could occur at southeastern Vic and southern NSW wind farms late Tuesday into Wednesday. Generally, cut outs occur when wind speeds exceed 90km/h (25 m/s), which is when the wind turbines are turned off to prevent damage.  In the image above you can see the front and associated southerly change moving up the NSW coast on Wednesday, hitting Sydney on Wednesday afternoon.   Winds will then become light later this week as another high-pressure system moves into the Bight.   Cool change coming  Ahead of this change, much of southeastern Australia has experienced pleasant autumnal weather, with Sydney’s temperature for the next two days reaching 27°C. However, there will be a large temperature contrast ahead and behind the cold front in the next few days. The image below shows forecast air temperatures around 1.5km above sea level on Wednesday morning, showing the cool airmass moving over parts of SA, VIC, Tas.      Behind the cold front strong southwesterly winds will cause temperatures to plummet to around 2-3°C below average across southern Australia;  Melbourne and Adelaide's temperature dropping to around 16-18°C for several days following the front.   Hobart’s temperature will drop from 22°C on Tuesday to 15°C on Wednesday.   Sydney’s temperature will go from 5°C above average on Wednesday to average on Thursday.  The coolest air will move over Tas, bringing snow to the alpine region there.   Looking ahead, temperatures will recover later this week ahead of another cold front and burst of wind power early next week. 

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18 Apr 2024, 3:20AM UTC

Generation gone with the wind

A weeklong stretch of low wind power was broken on Wednesday evening, as a weak cold front marched across southern Australia.  The chart below shows that the National Electricity Market (NEM) has endured a weeklong stretch of low wind generation, with wind power providing around 6% of the NEM’s electricity, down from last year’s average of 13.1% (Mon, April 15 to Wed, April 17).    The daily wind generation has been under 41 GWh/day for the last seven days leading up to Thursday, April 18. The calmest winds occurred on Sunday, April 14 with only 24 GWh/day produced or 4.6% of grid demand.   To put this in perspective, the average daily wind generation during the last year up to Wednesday, April 17, 2024, was 71 GWh/day, according to data from the open NEM.  This prolonged period of low wind was caused by blocking high pressure systems sitting over southern Australia, forcing cold fronts or strong wind further south.  The image below shows the Mean Sea Level Pressure chart on the calmest day, Sunday, April 14, with high pressure stubbornly sitting over the southern half of the country.  Image: Mean Sea Level Pressure Analysis at 4am AEST on Sunday, April 14. Source: Bureau of Meteorology.  As we mentioned earlier today, a positive Southern Annular Mode (SAM) has led to consistent high pressure systems positioned over latitudes well south of Australia during the first three months of the year and during this week. This has kept cold fronts south of the mainland, and even south of Tasmania.   READ MORE: WHAT IS THE SAM?   The period of light winds ended abruptly on Wednesday evening, with WattClarity reporting that wind production peaking above 3,000 MW at 9:10pm AEST.  The increased wind power on Wednesday night, was caused by a couple of factors;  A weak cold front swept across the southeast on Wednesday, bringing stronger winds.  A very shallow temperature inversion formed in the early evening protecting the surface from the stronger winds, but the wind turbine hub-height (150 metres above the ground) winds remained strong at around 28-38 km/h in SA.  Temperature inversions form at night when the ground cools quicker than the air above it, meaning that the temperature increases with height for a thin layer of the atmosphere.   During autumn, the temperature inversions are commonly shallow meaning that while the wind could be weak at the surface, the hub heights could continue to experience strong winds.  A similar phenomenon could happen again tonight across southern Australia, with another cold front passing across the south.  Looking ahead, light winds are expected to continue from Friday as a stubborn high-pressure system builds over the Bight until early to mid-next week.   

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