Wimmera 28-day Rainfall Forecast
low
low
low
low
low
low
low
med
| Chance of rainfall within district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| nil < 25% |
low 25% to 50% |
med 50% to 75% |
high ≥ 75% |
Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 30 November to 4 December, 5 December to 9 December, and 9 December to 13 December. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 November to 26 November, 3 December to 7 December, and 17 December to 21 December.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 9 December to 13 December.
Forecast Explanation
This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Display your Local Weather here
automatically each time you visit us:
Rotates through Temperature,
Wind, Humidity and RainUse the Search Bar above
to find your Local, and go to the Local page
Click "Set My Local"
button next to the location name
Weather News
Queensland bushfire threat continues, water-bombing helicopter crash-lands on Darling Downs
21:32 EDT
The pilot of a water-bombing helicopter has walked away with minor injuries after crash-landing while battling a blaze at Pechey, west of Brisbane.
NSW bushfires: Three charged for stealing equipment as police probe 'suspicious' blazes
20:09 EDT
NSW Police have charged two men with stealing firefighting equipment during yesterday's bushfire crisis, as they probe several "suspicious" blazes around the state.
Fire, climate change and prescribed burning: What do the experts have to say?
19:10 EDT
As flames destroyed lives and homes in recent days, there's been a lot of debate about past fires, finger-pointing over prescribed burning, questioning the influence of climate change, or if indeed it was the right time to be talking about it at all.
