North Central 28-day Rainfall Forecast
med
low
low
med
low
low
med
med
low
low
low
low
low
med
low
low
low
| Chance of rainfall within district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| nil < 25% |
low 25% to 50% |
med 50% to 75% |
high ≥ 75% |
Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 27 September to 1 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 24 October to 28 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 12 October to 16 October.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 27 September to 1 October, 13 October to 17 October, and 24 October to 28 October.
Forecast Explanation
This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Display your Local Weather here
automatically each time you visit us:
Rotates through Temperature,
Wind, Humidity and RainUse the Search Bar above
to find your Local, and go to the Local page
Click "Set My Local"
button next to the location name
Weather News
Pandanus trees suffering pest attacks see up to 80 per cent lost along Queensland coast
08:36 EST
Pandanus trees along the coast of Agnes Water, south of Gladstone, were once admired by Captain Cook and botanist Sir Joseph Banks when they came to shore in 1770.
DIY recycled watering system that 'mimics rain' keeps garden alive in drought-stricken Queensland city
19:28 EST
As Queensland's Darling Downs continues to experience one of its worst droughts on record, a couple has developed a recycled watering system that mimics rain.
Warm September night for Tasmania ahead of front
13:25 EST
Tasmania just had a very warm September night, the second night in a row that minimum temperatures across the state were reporting well above average. Warm air from mainland Australia has filtered down to the southeastern parts of the country, forced further south by strong winds from the interior associated with an approaching cold front.
