Lower South East 28-day Rainfall Forecast
med
low
med
high
low
low
med
low
low
med
med
med
low
med
med
med
high
med
med
med
high
low
low
low
low
| Chance of rainfall within district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| nil < 25% |
low 25% to 50% |
med 50% to 75% |
high ≥ 75% |
Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 17 June to 21 June, 21 June to 25 June, and 27 June to 1 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 22 June to 26 June.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 4 June to 8 June, 21 June to 25 June, and 27 June to 1 July.
Forecast Explanation
This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Display your Local Weather here
automatically each time you visit us:
Rotates through Temperature,
Wind, Humidity and RainUse the Search Bar above
to find your Local, and go to the Local page
Click "Set My Local"
button next to the location name
Weather News
Sound and snow
13:51 EST
Snow transforms landscapes into winter wonderlands, but it also does more than just change the visuals.
Morning fog blankets parts of NSW and ACT
10:18 EST
Parts of New South Wales and the Australian Capital Territory were greeted with a thick fog on Saturday morning thanks, in part, to a slow-moving high pressure system.
