Wide Bay & Burnett 28-day Rainfall Forecast

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
low
12
low
13
low
14
15
low
16
low
17
low
18
low
19
low
20
low
21
med
22
low
23
med
24
high
25
26
27
low
28
29
Chance of rainfall within district
nil
< 25%
low
25% to 50%
med
50% to 75%
high
≥ 75%

Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 8 August to 12 August, 16 August to 20 August, and 1 September to 5 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 10 August to 14 August, 21 August to 25 August, and 3 September to 7 September.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 8 August to 12 August, 15 August to 19 August, and 22 August to 26 August.

Issued Jul 31

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

Display Your Local Weather

Weather News

Portland's roads melted during last month's heatwave. So what does this extreme weather event tell us about climate change?

19:18 EST

Ever imagined a city so hot that the road melts and parts of the transport system start to warp and twist? What about an unprecedented cold snap that froze power lines in the usually balmy state of Texas?  Or bushfire smoke travelling more than 4,000 kilometres from America's west coast to New York City, causing air pollution nine times the recommended level? And Germany recording roughly double the amount of rain expected for the entire month of July in just two days.

Winter blast to return to the southeast

13:02 EST

A cold front may be impacting southeastern Australia today, but it's the next system that will bring the significantly cooler conditions.

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