Lower Burdekin 28-day Rainfall Forecast
low
low
low
med
low
low
low
low
low
| Chance of rainfall within district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| nil < 25% |
low 25% to 50% |
med 50% to 75% |
high ≥ 75% |
Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 28 October to 1 November, 1 November to 5 November, and 17 November to 21 November. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 4 November to 8 November, 11 November to 15 November, and 17 November to 21 November.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 28 October to 1 November, 2 November to 6 November, and 18 November to 22 November.
Forecast Explanation
This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Display your Local Weather here
automatically each time you visit us:
Rotates through Temperature,
Wind, Humidity and RainUse the Search Bar above
to find your Local, and go to the Local page
Click "Set My Local"
button next to the location name
Weather News
Record early-season heat in northern Australia
15:07 EDT
Yesterday was exceptionally hot in northern Australia, with a weather station in WA registering the Southern Hemisphere's first 45ºC of the season.
Tornado in Brisbane
12:44 EDT
An intense severe thunderstorm caused a tornado in Brisbane on Friday morning.
