Central Highlands 28-day Rainfall Forecast

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
low
25
low
26
low
27
low
28
29
30
Oct 1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
low
10
low
11
low
12
13
Chance of rainfall within district
nil
< 25%
low
25% to 50%
med
50% to 75%
high
≥ 75%

Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 3 October to 7 October, 12 October to 16 October, and 18 October to 22 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 October to 12 October.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 10 October to 14 October, and 14 October to 18 October.

Issued Sep 15

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

Display Your Local Weather

Weather News

Don't count on Sydney's sunshine to stick around

15:53 EST

It was an aptly named Sunday today, with temperatures reaching 28 degrees in the city, and hitting 30 degrees for western Sydney.   A very weak seabreeze and increasing cloud will keep the temperatures up overnight, with the eastern suburbs looking to only drop to 16-to-18 degrees overnight.  On Monday, it will be another warm one.

Proper cold change crossing southern Australia

09:05 EST

This time of year is notable for its big weather swings and this week is no exception with some places in the south of the country expected to cool by as much as 15-20 degrees in 24 hours.

Crickets are the answer for farming family struggling with drought

08:27 EST

When beach volleyball player Zachery Schubert began a degree in nutrition, he did not expect to emerge as a cricket farmer.