Sydney 28-day Rainfall Forecast
low
low
low
high
low
med
low
low
low
low
low
med
low
| Chance of rainfall within district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| nil < 25% |
low 25% to 50% |
med 50% to 75% |
high ≥ 75% |
Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively slow moving in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the south Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 21 August to 25 August, 25 August to 29 August, and 31 August to 4 September. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 8 August to 12 August, 12 August to 16 August, and 22 August to 26 August.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 10 August to 14 August, 14 August to 18 August, and 20 August to 24 August.
Forecast Explanation
This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Display your Local Weather here
automatically each time you visit us:
Rotates through Temperature,
Wind, Humidity and RainUse the Search Bar above
to find your Local, and go to the Local page
Click "Set My Local"
button next to the location name
Weather News
Wild and woolly day in the Australian Alps with temps that feel like minus 17
13:15 EST
It's a wild, windy and snowy Tuesday in the high country of NSW and Victoria, with consistent wind gusts heading towards 100 km/h and steady snow falling.
Fresh fish off the menu in West Australia's wild south coast winter
02:59 EST
Restaurants and markets on the south coast of Western Australia are short on local seafood this winter as ongoing poor weather keeps commercial fishers onshore.
