South Coast 28-day Rainfall Forecast
low
low
med
low
med
med
med
med
med
low
low
low
low
low
high
med
high
low
low
med
med
low
med
low
| Chance of rainfall within district | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| nil < 25% |
low 25% to 50% |
med 50% to 75% |
high ≥ 75% |
Issue Notes
The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of the southwest Indian Ocean, Western Australia, the southeast Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 11 March to 15 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 1 March to 5 March, 6 March to 10 March, and 14 March to 18 March.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 12 March to 16 March, 17 March to 21 March, and 24 March to 28 March.
Forecast Explanation
This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.
The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.
In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.
-
Display your Local Weather here
automatically each time you visit us:
Rotates through Temperature,
Wind, Humidity and RainUse the Search Bar above
to find your Local, and go to the Local page
Click "Set My Local"
button next to the location name
Weather News
Cyclone Esther expected to form in Gulf overnight near NT-Queensland border
00:19 EDT
The Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) says Tropical Cyclone Esther is expected to form overnight and pass close to the tiny Northern Territory community of Robinson River on Monday.
Flooding rain spreads west across southern and central Queensland inland
16:47 EDT
More heavy rain is possible across Queensland's southern and central inland areas today in the wake of severe storms leading to flash flooding overnight.
Twin tropical cyclones odds on for northern Australia
15:17 EDT
Two active tropical cyclones are a high chance over northern Australian waters on Monday.
