Warmer, wetter winter forecastWednesday May 22, 2013 - 15:33 EST
The Bureau of Meteorology is predicting a slightly warmer and wetter winter for Tasmania this year.
The seasonal outlook is for above-average temperatures, especially during the day, mostly because of warm ocean temperatures around the island.
There is also a chance the state will receive above-average rainfall, particularly in the east.
Climate prediction manager Andrew Watkins says the bureau is now using a more sophisticated model for its outlooks.
"The new model is based purely upon physics so it looks at how the oceans and the land and the atmosphere and even the ice down in Antarctica, how they all behave according to the laws of physics and how they all interact," he said.
Mr Watkins says the difference may not be huge.
"When we're talking about above-average temperatures over a long period of time, like a season, we might only be talking say a degree or so - we're not talking about heatwaves and going back to summer."
"It's going to be winter as per normal but the odds are on it being slightly warmer than average."
© ABC 2013
More breaking news
Grantham flood inquiry: Three people missing after 2011 deluge in Queensland never found, commission hears
Three people who went missing during the deadly 2011 Grantham flood have never been found, an inquiry in Queensland has heard.
Emergency workers have launched another rescue operation for people stranded in heavy snow, this time for 10 people snowed in at Lake Dobson in Mount Field National Park, about 75 kilometres north-west of Hobart.
Drought concessional loan scheme to be re-opened within days, says Federal Government drought coordinator
A new "drought coordinator" working on the border of Victoria and South Australia, says the next round of drought concessional loans will be opened within days and funding boosts will be announced for a list of service providers.