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Soggy spring coming for Eastern Australia

Flint Duxfield, Wednesday July 24, 2013 - 13:39 EST
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The Bureau's predictions show a strong chance of well above average rainfall in south eastern Australia. - ABC

This year's grain harvest was looking a little shaky earlier in the season, but all signs are now pointing to a much better year, for the east coast at least.

The Bureau of Meteorology's seasonal outlook shows more rain and cooler temperatures for Victoria, NSW, Southern Queensland and parts of South Australia.

Southern Western Australia and Tasmania buck the trend, with average rainfall and higher temperatures predicted.

The Bureau's manager of climate prediction services, Dr Andrew Watkins, says Victoria and NSW in particular have an 80 per cent chance of a much wetter spring.

"When the odds are quite high, of course it means there is an increased chance of getting higher rainfall totals," he said.

"You'd expect it to be not really close to average, you'd expect it to be a reasonable amount above in many areas but not necessarily all."

At the moment, the El Nino Southern Oscilliation (ENSO) index is in a neutral phase, meaning that Australia isn't being affected by either a La Nina or El Nino patterns.

Dr Watkins says that there have been some indications of a shift in the ENSO.

"The Bureau's model is pushing things a little more towards La Nina," he said.

"But when you look at all the models around the world...things are looking most likely to be neutral for the rest of the year.

"The Indian Ocean will probably remain favourable for rainfall through at least until October of this year."


© ABC 2013

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