Fairfax Media Network

Weather News

Soggy spring coming for Eastern Australia

Flint Duxfield, Wednesday July 24, 2013 - 13:39 EST
ABC image
The Bureau's predictions show a strong chance of well above average rainfall in south eastern Australia. - ABC

This year's grain harvest was looking a little shaky earlier in the season, but all signs are now pointing to a much better year, for the east coast at least.

The Bureau of Meteorology's seasonal outlook shows more rain and cooler temperatures for Victoria, NSW, Southern Queensland and parts of South Australia.

Southern Western Australia and Tasmania buck the trend, with average rainfall and higher temperatures predicted.

The Bureau's manager of climate prediction services, Dr Andrew Watkins, says Victoria and NSW in particular have an 80 per cent chance of a much wetter spring.

"When the odds are quite high, of course it means there is an increased chance of getting higher rainfall totals," he said.

"You'd expect it to be not really close to average, you'd expect it to be a reasonable amount above in many areas but not necessarily all."

At the moment, the El Nino Southern Oscilliation (ENSO) index is in a neutral phase, meaning that Australia isn't being affected by either a La Nina or El Nino patterns.

Dr Watkins says that there have been some indications of a shift in the ENSO.

"The Bureau's model is pushing things a little more towards La Nina," he said.

"But when you look at all the models around the world...things are looking most likely to be neutral for the rest of the year.

"The Indian Ocean will probably remain favourable for rainfall through at least until October of this year."


- ABC

© ABC 2013

More breaking news

Sydney Morning Herald
ABC News
National Nine News
News Limited

Display Your Local Weather

Weather News

NSW weather: Forbes warned to evacuate as Lachlan River nears unexpectedly high peak

12:27 EST

At least 100 homes have been inundated with water and people have been evacuated from Forbes in central-western NSW, as floodwaters cut off roads and cause widespread damage to crops.

NSW Weather: Forbes farmers brace for extensive crop losses from flooding

12:20 EST

Farmers near Forbes in the New South Wales central west are bracing for extensive loses as their crops continue to be inundated with flood waters, which are expected to peak later today.

Canberra splashes out

11:08 EST

With a few showers and storms on the cards today and throughout the week ahead, will Canberra break it's September rain record? With Lake George looking more like a wetland than a wasteland, the additional amount of rain hasn't gone unnoticed.