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Qld's seasonal cyclone outlook released but no drought-breaking rain

Monday October 14, 2013 - 12:39 EDT

Queensland is set to have a typical cyclone season this summer, but there is no drought breaking rains predicted for the state's west.

The bureau has released its annual tropical cyclone season outlook predicting an average cyclone season.

The bureau has forecast about four cyclones, with one crossing the Queensland coast in the first quarter of next year.

However, bureau regional director Rob Webb says while a normal wet season is predicted for the tropics, the outlook for the inland is grim.

"We've just broken all sorts of temperature records for the first part of this year - the warmest first nine months of the year, the warmest September across Queensland," he said.

"Those kinds of things on top of the dry conditions have really made things parched out over much of Queensland.

"It does seem there will be a continuation of these hot conditions - we've just seen record after record break."

Mr Webb says the broad climate drivers are neutral.

"In La Nina years, we tend to see an increase in the number of cyclones about the Coral Sea," he said.

"El Nino - we see a decrease and neutral is somewhere in between.

"That's the strongest pointer we have in terms of predicting the numbers of tropical cyclones and it's not giving us any help, because we're in between La Nina and El Nino at the moment."


© ABC 2013

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