The bureau says for the last month of winter and the first two months of spring, rainfall in Tasmania should be average apart from the state's northeast.
Ian Barnes Keoghan from the bureau says climate influences don't indicate above average or below average rainfall for most of Tasmania for August, September and October.
Ian Barnes Keoghan says the state should have warmer than average night and day temperatures for the three months and that warming of the Pacific has primed the climate system for an El Nino.
The Bureau today released a video which explains the seasonal outlook for Australia which can be seen on the bureau's website
© ABC 2014
16:50 EDT A spectacular storm hit parts of South East Queensland in the closing hours of voting in the state election.