No extra rainfall on the Tasmania horizonTony Briscoe, Thursday July 24, 2014 - 14:00 EST
The bureau says for the last month of winter and the first two months of spring, rainfall in Tasmania should be average apart from the state's northeast.
Ian Barnes Keoghan from the bureau says climate influences don't indicate above average or below average rainfall for most of Tasmania for August, September and October.
Ian Barnes Keoghan says the state should have warmer than average night and day temperatures for the three months and that warming of the Pacific has primed the climate system for an El Nino.
The Bureau today released a video which explains the seasonal outlook for Australia which can be seen on the bureau's website
© ABC 2014
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A tropical low off north Queensland has a high chance of developing into a cyclone and making landfall by early next week, the Bureau of Meteorology (BOM) says.
Queensland may see its first tropical cyclone in two years in coming days, although the situation is still hard to call.
It runs one of the most-viewed websites in Australia and broadcasts its weather forecasts and warnings around the country each day.