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Rob Sharpe, 06 Feb 2014, 11:34 PM UTC

Monsoon rain avoiding drought affected areas

Monsoon rain avoiding drought affected areas
Drought-stricken farmers in Australia's east are longing for rain, but its only falling in the north and west, where good rain has already fallen. Tropical moisture is typically the source of drought-breaking rains for inland Australia, and there is lots of it. However this rain isn't making its way to where it is most needed. Most parts of inland WA saw great rain earlier in summer when Tropical Cyclone Christine brought flooding rain to some parts as it decayed on its way to the south of the state. Meanwhile, farmers in New South Wales, Queensland and South Australia are still hoping for rain as lows and troughs have failed to direct widespread drought-breaking rain into these states. Today, a tropical low is deepening near the WA and NT border and could move into the Joseph Bonaparte Gulf to become a cyclone. The more likely option is for it to move west over the Kimberley, potentially popping out the other side as a cyclone. Even if the system fails to reach cyclone strength it will bring bucket loads of rainfall through the Kimberley and eastern parts of the Pilbara. The system is then likely to take a similar track to Tropical Cyclone Christine across inland WA, drawing in the tropical moisture all the way to the south of the state. Unfortunately this moisture is unlikely to make it into the east once again. A high pressure ridge will remain pretty strong through the next seven days, maintaining fairly dry conditions. The following seven days should see a bit more rain, most likely in central Queensland, but its not looking special at this stage.
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