The weather bureau has implemented a new system of forecasting the seasonal outlook called Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia, or POAMA.
Climatologist Ian Barnes Keoghan says the new system will help predict the three month outlook closer to what we can expect the weather to do.
He says the latest seasonal outlook for Tasmania for the three months of winter was done under POAMA.
But Ian Barnes Keoghan says there is little joy for farmers if they are expecting above average rainfall.
He says the predictions for the winter months are neutral.
The only upside of the seasonal outlook is a prediction for a "warm winter".
© ABC 2013
17:25 EST Farmers say Australia urgently needs a new national plan for drought, after Agriculture Department figures reveal less than half the funds allocated for Commonwealth concessional loans schemes .