Improvement to seasonal weather outlookTony Briscoe, Thursday May 23, 2013 - 16:06 EST
The weather bureau has implemented a new system of forecasting the seasonal outlook called Predictive Ocean Atmosphere Model for Australia, or POAMA.
Climatologist Ian Barnes Keoghan says the new system will help predict the three month outlook closer to what we can expect the weather to do.
He says the latest seasonal outlook for Tasmania for the three months of winter was done under POAMA.
But Ian Barnes Keoghan says there is little joy for farmers if they are expecting above average rainfall.
He says the predictions for the winter months are neutral.
The only upside of the seasonal outlook is a prediction for a "warm winter".
© ABC 2013
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Parts of Australia's eastern seaboard could receive more than a month's worth of rain in the next week, raising the risk of flooding during the opening days of autumn.
Melbourne may have avoided a scorching 40-degree day this summer, but warm weather is going to continue into autumn, the Bureau of Meteorology says.
Parts of the New South Wales coast are in for their biggest downpours since last winter, bringing a much needed drink to gardens and parks but also causing some flooding.