you are not logged in | login or join us

Midlands 28-day Rainfall Forecast

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
30
high
31
high
Jun 1
high
2
low
3
med
4
5
low
6
med
7
med
8
med
9
10
low
11
low
12
low
13
14
low
15
16
low
17
med
18
low
19
low
20
med
21
high
22
high
23
med
24
low
25
low
26
med
Chance of rainfall within district
nil
< 25%
low
25% to 50%
med
50% to 75%
high
≥ 75%

Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, the southeast Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 5 June to 9 June, 25 June to 29 June, and 30 June to 4 July. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 26 May to 30 May.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 5 June to 9 June, 17 June to 21 June, and 28 June to 2 July.

Issued May 28

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

Site search


Enter a postcode or town name for local weather, or text to search the site. » advanced search

Dungog prepares for weekend of music amid devastating storm recovery

ABC image 07:25 EST The Hunter Valley town of Dungog, which was devastated by last month's storms and flooding, is kicking off its annual music festival today.

Help with Weatherzone