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Riverland 28-day Rainfall Forecast

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
21
22
23
24
25
low
26
27
low
28
high
29
high
30
low
Oct 1
2
3
low
4
5
6
7
low
8
high
9
10
11
12
13
low
14
low
15
16
high
17
18
low
Chance of rainfall within district
nil
< 25%
low
25% to 50%
med
50% to 75%
high
≥ 75%

Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are five main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, eastern Australia, the south Pacific, and South America.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 9 October to 13 October, 17 October to 21 October, and 21 October to 25 October. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 6 October to 10 October.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 26 September to 30 September, 9 October to 13 October, and 17 October to 21 October.

Issued Sep 19

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

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Queensland livestock agent says rain will bring big bullock prices in the new year

ABC image 15:19 EST Editor's note: This story has been updated to clarify that the higher prices predicted by livestock agent Kevin Currie would be paid for dressed weight and not live weight bullocks, as was suggested in the original story.

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