Fairfax Media Network

Eastern Eyre Peninsula 28-day Rainfall Forecast

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
10
11
12
13
14
15
16
17
18
19
20
21
22
23
low
24
25
26
27
28
29
30
31
Jan 1
2
3
low
4
5
6
low
Chance of rainfall within district
nil
< 25%
low
25% to 50%
med
50% to 75%
high
≥ 75%

Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has been relatively fast moving in recent weeks. There are seven main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the southwest Indian Ocean, the Indian Ocean, Western Australia, New Zealand, the southeast Pacific, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 14 December to 18 December, 21 December to 25 December, and 5 January to 9 January. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 15 December to 19 December, 24 December to 28 December, and 29 December to 2 January.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 19 December to 23 December, 2 January to 6 January, and 6 January to 10 January.

Issued Dec 9

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

Display Your Local Weather

Weather News

Outback property Willowie sells prior to auction for first time since 1920

12:24 EDT

The drought in outback Queensland has forced a family to sell the sheep property they have called home for almost 100 years.

A year of Australian weather captured in a calendar

11:22 EDT

Photographs of weather phenomena around Australia, some of them capturing rare events, have been chosen for the 2017 Australian Weather Calendar.

Perfect storm photos: storm chasers give up their tips for taking best pic

11:00 EDT

While most Queenslanders sheltered inside during the past week of severe storms, a breed of professional photographers known as storm chasers were outside, braving the danger to get the best possible shot.