Fairfax Media Network

Wide Bay & Burnett 28-day Rainfall Forecast

Sun
Mon
Tue
Wed
Thu
Fri
Sat
12
med
13
low
14
15
16
med
17
med
18
med
19
med
20
med
21
med
22
low
23
24
25
26
high
27
low
28
low
29
low
Mar 1
low
2
low
3
low
4
low
5
low
6
low
7
low
8
low
9
10
low
Chance of rainfall within district
nil
< 25%
low
25% to 50%
med
50% to 75%
high
≥ 75%

Issue Notes

The hemispheric long wave pattern has remained stable in recent weeks. There are six main troughs. Currently the most significant troughs are near the longitudes of South Africa, the Indian Ocean, New Zealand, the south Pacific, South America, and the Atlantic Ocean.
Summary:
Over southern and eastern Australia the cold front events with potential to bring widespread rain are now expected about 24 February to 28 February, 6 March to 10 March, and 15 March to 19 March. Rain events originating in the tropics and moving south are possible about 16 February to 20 February, 28 February to 3 March, and 13 March to 17 March.
Over Western Australia the strongest cold fronts should occur about 18 February to 22 February, 24 February to 28 February, and 29 February to 4 March.

Issued Feb 11

Forecast Explanation

This forecast is produced by a multi-model ensemble consisting of dynamical atmospheric models, which are forced by the latest observed atmosphere, ocean, land and ice conditions. The models are designed to simulate features of the real atmosphere, including the daily movement of long and short wave patterns in the Southern Hemisphere.

The future probability of rain in each district is estimated using output from the multi-model ensemble, combined with historical information about the difference between the model forecasts and observed rainfall.

In this deterministic framework the skill of the forecast tends to decrease with time, however the forecasts are updated daily to provide the latest estimates of rainfall probability out to 28 days.

Display Your Local Weather

Weather News

Perth to receive recycled hot air

11:13 EDT

Australia's western capital equaled its record of four consecutive days over 40 yesterday, with more heat to return.

Drought scheme helping western Qld contractors secure work raises $90,000

10:50 EDT

A western Queensland church has raised more than $90,000 for a scheme to keep rural contractors in work during the ongoing drought.

Farm Management Deposits changes will give farmers chance to help themselves, once they have cash to spare

07:44 EDT

The Federal Government has introduced legislation to overhaul the Farm Management Deposits scheme, which it says will help farmers to help themselves.